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HRHealthcare Realty Trust IncorpoSell4.6·$19.12-0.78%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A healthcare real estate trust trading above its near-term technical resistance with a quality profile below the minimum investment threshold — no competitive moat, declining revenue, an elevated put/call ratio of 3.25 signaling heavy institutional hedging, and a flagged dividend sustainability concern — presents an unfavorable risk/reward that argues for exiting or avoiding the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Price Above Target Negative GeometryStable
  • Quality Below Minimum FloorStable
  • Elevated Put Call Institutional HedgingDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo (HR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.12: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Healthcare Realty Trust is a self-managed REIT owning 502 consolidated outpatient medical properties totaling $10.3 billion in gross investment near hospital campuses across the U.S. Revenue comes from multi-year leases to physicians, surgery centers, and health systems at 90.4%... Read more

$19.12-2.2% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#15 of 16 REIT - Healthcare Facilities
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield7.43%
IncomeYield4.98%(5y avg 6.06%)Payout251.53%
Stop $18.56Target $21.99(default +15%)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$21.50+12.4%12 analysts
$21.99our TP
$19.12price
$21.50mean
$18
$24

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.12: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-06

Recent Developments — Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo

Generated 2026-09-06T06:51:58Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: medical office/outpatient
Target reached (-2.2% upside)
Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)273.1
Mkt Cap$6.6B
EV/EBITDA15.7
Profit Mgn-7.6%
ROE-1.9%
Rev Growth-4.3%
Beta0.81
Dividend4.98%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C3.00bearish
IV75%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertymedical office/outpatient
    10-K Item 1: 'Medical office/outpatient 2| $| 9,306,615 | | 26,690 | | 481 | | 89.6 | %'
  • LOWGeographicDallas, TX
    10-K Item 1A: 'investment concentrations of greater than 5% of its total investments in the Dallas, TX (9.5%), Seattle, WA (6.1%), Houston, TX (6.0%), and Charlotte, NC (5.4%) markets'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.3
Growth Rank
1.3
Value Rank
4.4

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.8
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Macd
6.7
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
3.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Dividend: 5.0%
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $18.73Resistance $19.69

Price Targets

$19
$22
A.Upside-2.2%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.2% upside)
! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.12: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $18.56. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.99 (-2.2% upside). Prior stop was $18.56. Stop-loss: $18.56.

What are the risks of investing in HR?

Concentration risk — Property Type: medical office/outpatient; Target reached (-2.2% upside); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).

Is HR overvalued or undervalued?

Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 273.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HR?

21 analysts cover HR with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo do?Healthcare Realty Trust is a self-managed REIT owning 502 consolidated outpatient medical properties totaling $10.3...

Healthcare Realty Trust is a self-managed REIT owning 502 consolidated outpatient medical properties totaling $10.3 billion in gross investment near hospital campuses across the U.S. Revenue comes from multi-year leases to physicians, surgery centers, and health systems at 90.4% portfolio occupancy. No single tenant exceeded 10% of consolidated revenues in 2025.

Related stocks: OHI (Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc) · AHR (American Healthcare REIT, Inc.) · DOC (Healthpeak Properties, Inc.) · SBRA (Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc.) · NHP (National Healthcare Properties,)
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