Skip to main content

Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo (HR) Stock Analysis

SellHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.20: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 13.00; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Healthcare Realty Trust is a self-managed REIT owning 502 medical office and outpatient healthcare properties totaling ~$10.3 billion gross investment across the United States as of December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from rents paid by physician practices, health systems, and... Read more

$20.20-0.2% A.UpsideScore 3.6/10#13 of 13 REIT - Healthcare Facilities
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield2.02%
IncomeYield4.71%(5y avg 6.00%)Payout251.53%
Stop $19.40Target $20.16(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$20.45+1.3%11 analysts
$20.16our TP
$20.20price
$20.45mean
$18
$22

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.20: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 13.00; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 3.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-11.9% upside)
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-204.0
Mkt Cap$7.2B
EV/EBITDA16.4
Profit Mgn-17.3%
ROE-4.2%
Rev Growth-6.5%
Beta0.82
Dividend4.71%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C13.00bearish
IV44%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicDallas, TX9.5%
    10-K Item 1A: 'the Company had investment concentrations of greater than 5% of its total investments in the Dallas, TX (9.5%), Seattle, WA (6.1%), Houston, TX (6.0%), and Charlotte, NC (5.4%) markets'
  • MEDIUMPropertymedical office/outpatient
    10-K Item 1: 'Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated is a self-managed and self-administered real estate investment trust ("REIT") that owns, leases, manages, acquires, finances, develops and redevelops income-producing real estate properties associated primarily with the delivery of outpatient healthcare services'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-23Item 4.01HIGH
    Audit Committee elected to replace BDO USA, P.C. with Deloitte & Touche LLP as independent registered public accounting firm effective February 19, 2026. BDO reports contained no adverse opinions or qualifications; no disagreements with BDO cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -6.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.9
Declining revenue: -6%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -17.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.5
Current Ratio
1.3
Moat
4.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Operating Margin
4.6
Fcf Quality
5.5
Gross Margin
8.4
FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 12%, FCF yield 2.0%)No competitive moat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.8
Growth Rank
0.8
Value Rank
6.2

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
2.1
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
6.1
P Ocf
6.9
P/OCF: 15.5x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
82 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.85Resistance $20.57

Price Targets

$19
$20
A.Upside-0.2%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.20: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 13.00; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $19.40. Score 3.6/10, high confidence.

What is the HR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.16 (-0.2% upside). Prior stop was $19.40. Stop-loss: $19.40.

What are the risks of investing in HR?

Target reached (-11.9% upside); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is HR overvalued or undervalued?

Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -204.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HR?

21 analysts cover HR with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $20.

What does Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo do?Healthcare Realty Trust is a self-managed REIT owning 502 medical office and outpatient healthcare properties totaling...

Healthcare Realty Trust is a self-managed REIT owning 502 medical office and outpatient healthcare properties totaling ~$10.3 billion gross investment across the United States as of December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from rents paid by physician practices, health systems, and other healthcare tenants. No single tenant accounts for 10% or more of revenues; largest geographic concentrations are Dallas TX (9.5%) and Seattle WA (6.1%).

Related stocks: OHI (Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc) · SBRA (Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc.) · MPT (Medical Properties Trust, Inc.) · AHR (American Healthcare REIT, Inc.) · VTR (Ventas, Inc.)