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HONAHoneywell Aerospace Inc.Sell4.9·$165.30-2.66%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

HONA shows strong fundamental quality and best-in-class peer margins with a recent cluster of analyst attention, but a missing current price from the upstream data feed means no trade setup could be computed this run.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Peer MarginsDeteriorating
  • Strong Fundamental Quality ScoreDeteriorating
  • Recent Analyst Attention ClusterDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Honeywell Aerospace Inc. (HONA) Stock Analysis

SellShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. At $165.30, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Honeywell Aerospace Inc. manufactures and supplies aircraft components, avionics, engines, and systems for airframe manufacturing, commercial airline, military and defense, business aviation, and space markets, as well as other markets in the aerospace industry. The company... Read more

$165.30+18.7% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#59 of 62 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Stop $153.62Target $196.02(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$225.31+36.3%13 analysts
$196.02our TP
$165.30price
$225.31mean
$306

Sell if holding. At $165.30, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202682d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive insider activity
Risks
Earnings estimates trending DOWN
Weak overall score: 4.9/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)51.3
P/E (Fwd)18.5
Mkt Cap$53.8B
EV/EBITDA19.3
Profit Mgn10.9%
ROE
Rev Growth5.4%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C2.93bearish
IV57%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.8

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
3.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Rsi
3.5
Ma Position
3.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $150.03Resistance $222.54

Price Targets

$154
$196
A.Upside+18.7%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HONA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $165.30, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $153.62. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HONA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $196.02 (+18.7% upside). Prior stop was $153.62. Stop-loss: $153.62.

What are the risks of investing in HONA?

Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Weak overall score: 4.9/10; Weak growth.

Is HONA overvalued or undervalued?

Honeywell Aerospace Inc. trades at a P/E of 51.3 (forward 18.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HONA?

21 analysts cover HONA with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $225.

What does Honeywell Aerospace Inc. do?Honeywell Aerospace Inc. manufactures and supplies aircraft components, avionics, engines, and systems for airframe...

Honeywell Aerospace Inc. manufactures and supplies aircraft components, avionics, engines, and systems for airframe manufacturing, commercial airline, military and defense, business aviation, and space markets, as well as other markets in the aerospace industry. The company offers actuation products, air and thermal management products, auxiliary power units, cabin management and entertainment products, cockpit systems and displays, electric power products, engines, health and usage monitoring products, lighting products, microelectronics, navigation products and radios, recorders and transmitters, satellite communications, sensors, space products, terrain and traffic awareness, vehicle turbochargers, weather radars, and wheels and braking systems. It also provides aerospace trading, asset availability, cabin connectivity, maintenance and service plans, certifications, training, and other flight services; and GoDirect Trade, an e-commerce platform that offers access to new and used air transport and business aircraft parts. The company's platform includes business jets, airlines/cargo planes, helicopters, defense, space, general aviation, and automotive platforms. It provides products and services to military fixed and rotary wing operators in South America, Latin America, Africa, and the Middle East. The company was founded in 1914 and is based in Phoenix, Arizona. Honeywell Aerospace Inc. is as a prior subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc.

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