Skip to main content
HONHoneywell International Inc.Sell4.7·$231.02+4.18%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

A large industrial conglomerate with four consecutive earnings beats and constructive price momentum, but trading just below near-term resistance with only 3.4% headroom to the take-profit target, elevated leverage, and a muted growth profile — the setup favors patience for a better entry rather than adding at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Price At Near Term ResistanceStable
  • Consistent Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Elevated Leverage Constrains FlexibilityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Honeywell International Inc. (HON) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Industrials · Conglomerates

Sell if holding. At $231.02, A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. international operations; Concentration risk — Supplier: single or sole-source components in Aerospace Technologies.

Honeywell International Inc. engages in the aerospace technologies, industrial automation, building automation, and energy and sustainability solutions businesses in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The Aerospace Technologies segment offers auxiliary power units,... Read more

$231.02+7.4% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#14 of 19 Conglomerates
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.03%
IncomeYield4.14%(5y avg 2.06%)Payout74.12%
Stop $213.77Target $246.96(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$240.50+4.1%8 analysts
$246.96our TP
$231.02price
$240.50mean
$164
$272

Sell if holding. At $231.02, A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. international operations; Concentration risk — Supplier: single or sole-source components in Aerospace Technologies. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — Honeywell International Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jun 15, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Four directors (Craig Arnold, William Ayer, D. Scott Davis, Deborah Flint) notified the Board they will resign effective immediately prior to consummation of the planned Aerospace Technologies spin-off. Each is expected to join the board of Honeywell Aerospace Inc.

Generated 2026-07-06T04:40:27Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202619d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. international operations
Concentration risk — Supplier: single or sole-source components in Aerospace Technologies
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.3
P/E (Fwd)24.3
Mkt Cap$72.8B
EV/EBITDA11.6
Profit Mgn10.9%
ROE24.3%
Rev Growth2.4%
Beta0.93
Dividend4.14%
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.54bullish
IV62%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicnon-U.S. international operations
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our international operations, including U.S. exports, represent more than half of the Company’s sales'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle or sole-source components in Aerospace Technologies
    10-K Item 1A: 'Many major components, product equipment items, and raw materials, particularly in Aerospace Technologies, are procured or subcontracted on a single or sole-source basis'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-15Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Four directors (Craig Arnold, William Ayer, D. Scott Davis, Deborah Flint) notified the Board they will resign effective immediately prior to consummation of the planned Aerospace Technologies spin-off. Each is expected to join the board of Honeywell Aerospace Inc.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-02Item 5.02LOW
    Jillian Evanko, CEO of Duravant LLC, appointed as Independent Director and Audit Committee member effective June 1, 2026. She will stand for election at the 2027 Annual Meeting. No departures cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.1

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume
6.7
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $215.43Resistance $252.00

Price Targets

$214
$247
A.Upside+6.9%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.0% upside)
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HON stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $231.02, A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. international operations; Concentration risk — Supplier: single or sole-source components in Aerospace Technologies. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $213.77. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

What is the HON stock price target?

Take-profit target: $246.96 (+7.4% upside). Prior stop was $213.77. Stop-loss: $213.77.

What are the risks of investing in HON?

Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. international operations; Concentration risk — Supplier: single or sole-source components in Aerospace Technologies; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is HON overvalued or undervalued?

Honeywell International Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.3 (forward 24.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HON?

33 analysts cover HON with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $241.

What does Honeywell International Inc. do?Honeywell International Inc. engages in the aerospace technologies, industrial automation, building automation, and...

Honeywell International Inc. engages in the aerospace technologies, industrial automation, building automation, and energy and sustainability solutions businesses in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The Aerospace Technologies segment offers auxiliary power units, propulsion engines, integrated avionics, connectivity services, electric power systems, management and technical services, environmental control systems, engine controls, flight safety products, communications products, navigation hardware, data and software applications, radar and surveillance systems, aircraft lighting, advanced systems and instruments, satellite and space components, and aircraft wheels and brakes. This segment also provides thermal systems; spare parts; and repair, overhaul, and maintenance services. The Industrial Automation segment provides automation control and instrumentation products and services; smart energy products; sensing technologies, including custom-engineered sensors and related services; gas detection technologies and personal protective equipment; and system design automation equipment, as well as software and analytics for manufacturing, distribution, and fulfillment operations. The Building Automation segment provides software applications for building control and optimization; sensors, switches, control systems, and instruments for energy management; access control; video surveillance; fire products; and installation, maintenance, and system upgrade services. The Energy and Sustainability Solutions segment, through its UOP business, delivers licensed process technology, equipment, engineering, catalysts, adsorbents, and services for refining, petrochemicals, low-carbon energy, gas and LNG, and industrial solutions, as well as connectivity, data integration, and software solutions. The company was formerly known as AlliedSignal, Inc. Honeywell International Inc. was founded in 1885 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.

Related stocks: VMI (Valmont Industries, Inc.) · MMM (3M Company) · LTM (LATAM Airlines Group S.A.) · GPN (Global Payments Inc.) · ZTO (ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.)
Home Stocks HON

Latest news

Latest News

Stockinvestor.com82d ago
GuruFocus75d ago
MarketBeat76d ago
UBND thành phố Hải Phòng76d ago
Yahoo Finance83d ago
Yahoo Finance80d ago
MarketBeat81d ago
MarketBeat81d agoEarnings
MarketBeat78d ago
MarketBeat78d ago
Seeking Alpha76d ago
TipRanks77d agoMerger Acquisition
GuruFocus77d agoMerger Acquisition
TIKR.com77d ago
Yahoo Finance79d ago
Benzinga5d agoAnalyst
Benzinga5d ago
Benzinga6d agoAnalyst
Benzinga6d ago
Benzinga6d agoProduct
Loading more...