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Honeywell International Inc. (HON) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Industrials · Conglomerates

Sell if holding. At $213.90, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 4.4%.

Honeywell International Inc. engages in the aerospace technologies, industrial automation, building automation, and energy and sustainable solutions businesses in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company's Aerospace Technologies segment offers auxiliary power... Read more

$213.90+4.4% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#8 of 9 Conglomerates
Stop $202.76Target $223.11(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$247.90+15.9%25 analysts
$223.11our TP
$213.90price
$247.90mean
$198
$294

Sell if holding. At $213.90, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 4.4%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.4%
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5
Weak overall score: 4.8/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.5
P/E (Fwd)18.3
Mkt Cap$133.3B
EV/EBITDA18.7
Profit Mgn10.9%
ROE24.3%
Rev Growth2.4%
Beta0.92
Dividend2.26%
Rating analysts35

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
IV40%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-16Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement On March 16, 2026, Honeywell International Inc., a Delaware corporation ("Honeywell"), repaid in full all outstanding obligations under, and terminated, its $1.0 billion fixed rate term loan credit agreement, dated as of August 12, 2024, with the ban...
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-06Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Delaware | | 1-8974 | | 22-2640650 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) | | (Commission File Number) | | (I.R.S. Employer Identification Number) | | ---|---|--- 855 S.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.1

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.5
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 22)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
22 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $207.83Resistance $236.83

Price Targets

$203
$223
A.Upside+4.3%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.8:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HON stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $213.90, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 4.4%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $202.76. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

What is the HON stock price target?

Take-profit target: $223.11 (+4.4% upside). Prior stop was $202.76. Stop-loss: $202.76.

What are the risks of investing in HON?

Thin upside margin: 4.4%; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

Is HON overvalued or undervalued?

Honeywell International Inc. trades at a P/E of 33.5 (forward 18.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HON?

35 analysts cover HON with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $248.

What does Honeywell International Inc. do?Honeywell International Inc. engages in the aerospace technologies, industrial automation, building automation, and...

Honeywell International Inc. engages in the aerospace technologies, industrial automation, building automation, and energy and sustainable solutions businesses in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company's Aerospace Technologies segment offers auxiliary power units, propulsion engines, integrated avionics, connectivity services, electric power systems, management and technical services, environmental control and electric power systems, engine controls, flight safety, communications, navigation hardware, data and software applications, radar and surveillance systems, aircraft lighting, advanced systems and instruments, satellite and space components, and aircraft wheels and brakes; thermal systems; and spare parts; repair, overhaul, and maintenance services. Its Industrial Automation segment provides automation control and instrumentation products and services; smart energy products; sensing technologies with custom-engineered sensors and services; gas detection technologies and personal protective equipment; and system design automation equipment, as well as software and analytics for manufacturing, distribution, and fulfillment operations. Its Building Automation segment provides software applications for building control and optimization; sensors, switches, control systems, and instruments for energy management; access control; video surveillance; fire products; and installation, maintenance, and upgrade of systems. The company's Energy and Sustainability Solutions segment, through its UOP business, delivers licensed process technology, equipment, engineering, catalysts, adsorbents, and services for refining, petrochemicals, low-carbon energy, gas and LNG, and industrial solutions; as well as connectivity, data integration and software solutions. Honeywell International Inc. was founded in 1885 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.

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