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HDLSUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING Sell6.3·$13.67+4.99%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Super Hi International screens cheap and cash-generative even after a sharp technical breakdown, but a confirmed downtrend and back-to-back earnings misses argue for waiting on a repair rather than chasing the favorable headline risk/reward.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Post Selloff ValuationImproving
  • Strong Cash ConversionStable
  • Confirmed Technical BreakdownStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING (HDL) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $13.67: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Overbought (RSI 75).

Super Hi International Holding Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the restaurant operation and delivery business in Asia, North America, Europe, Oceania, and internationally. It owns and operates Haidilao restaurants. The company also offers food delivery services;... Read more

$13.67+15.6% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#3 of 32 Restaurants
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.77%
Stop $12.87Target $15.24(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$17.93+31.2%3 analysts
$15.24our TP
$13.67price
$17.93mean
$21

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $13.67: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Overbought (RSI 75). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Sep 1, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Overbought (RSI 75)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.1
P/E (Fwd)14.9
Mkt Cap$797M
EV/EBITDA5.3
Profit Mgn3.3%
ROE7.4%
Rev Growth14.2%
Beta0.54
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.1
52w Position
2.4
Support Resistance
2.8
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.8>=5.5A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
75 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.25Resistance $13.55

Price Targets

$13
$15
A.Upside+15.6%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-01 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HDL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $13.67: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Overbought (RSI 75). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Prior stop was $12.87. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HDL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.24 (+15.6% upside). Prior stop was $12.87. Stop-loss: $12.87.

What are the risks of investing in HDL?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Overbought (RSI 75); Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is HDL overvalued or undervalued?

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING trades at a P/E of 27.1 (forward 14.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HDL?

12 analysts cover HDL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $18.

What does SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING do?Super Hi International Holding Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the restaurant operation and delivery...

Super Hi International Holding Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the restaurant operation and delivery business in Asia, North America, Europe, Oceania, and internationally. It owns and operates Haidilao restaurants. The company also offers food delivery services; and sells hot pot condiment products and food under the Haidilao brand and secondary brands to local guests and retailers. The company was incorporated in 2022 and is headquartered in Singapore.

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