Skip to main content
HDLSUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING Sell6.2·$13.67+4.99%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Super Hi International screens cheap and cash-generative even after a sharp technical breakdown, but a confirmed downtrend and back-to-back earnings misses argue for waiting on a repair rather than chasing the favorable headline risk/reward.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Post Selloff ValuationImproving
  • Strong Cash ConversionStable
  • Confirmed Technical BreakdownDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING (HDL) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $13.67 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Super Hi International Holding Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the restaurant operation and delivery business in Asia, North America, Europe, Oceania, and internationally. It owns and operates Haidilao restaurants. The company also offers food delivery services;... Read more

$13.67+15.6% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#4 of 32 Restaurants
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.95%
Stop $12.87Target $15.24(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$17.93+31.2%3 analysts
$15.24our TP
$13.67price
$17.93mean
$21

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $13.67 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 76. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Sep 1, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum
Overbought (RSI 76)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.4
P/E (Fwd)14.5
Mkt Cap$776M
EV/EBITDA5.3
Profit Mgn3.3%
ROE7.4%
Rev Growth14.2%
Beta0.54
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.8
Support Resistance
2.3
52w Position
2.4
Gap
5.0

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
2.6
Ma Position
6.0
Macd
8.9
Overbought bear rally (RSI 76)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
76 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.00Resistance $13.55

Price Targets

$13
$15
A.Upside+15.6%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-01 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HDL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $13.67 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 76. Prior stop was $12.87. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HDL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.24 (+15.6% upside). Prior stop was $12.87. Stop-loss: $12.87.

What are the risks of investing in HDL?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum; Overbought (RSI 76).

Is HDL overvalued or undervalued?

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING trades at a P/E of 26.4 (forward 14.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HDL?

12 analysts cover HDL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $18.

What does SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING do?Super Hi International Holding Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the restaurant operation and delivery...

Super Hi International Holding Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the restaurant operation and delivery business in Asia, North America, Europe, Oceania, and internationally. It owns and operates Haidilao restaurants. The company also offers food delivery services; and sells hot pot condiment products and food under the Haidilao brand and secondary brands to local guests and retailers. The company was incorporated in 2022 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Related stocks: ARCO (Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.) · CHA (Chagee Holdings Limited) · LOCO (El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.) · SHAK (Shake Shack, Inc.) · NATH (Nathan's Famous, Inc.)
Home Stocks HDL

Latest news

No recent news