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HDLSUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING Sell6.1·$11.91-3.95%
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SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING (HDL) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.91 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Super Hi International Holding Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the restaurant operation and delivery business in Asia, North America, Europe, Oceania, and internationally. It owns and operates Haidilao restaurants. The company also offers food delivery services;... Read more

$11.91+24.0% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#4 of 32 Restaurants
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.46%
Stop $11.87Target $15.24(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 4.8:1
Analyst target$17.93+50.6%3 analysts
$15.24our TP
$11.91price
$17.93mean
$21

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.91 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 26, MACD bearish. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 59d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Sep 1, 202659d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 24%
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.6
P/E (Fwd)13.5
Mkt Cap$723M
EV/EBITDA4.9
Profit Mgn3.3%
ROE7.4%
Rev Growth14.2%
Beta0.54
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.7
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Macd
3.8
Capitulation risk (RSI 26, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 4.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 59d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
26 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.00Resistance $13.73

Price Targets

$12
$15
A.Upside+28.0%
A.R:R4.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 1.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-01 (59d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HDL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.91 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 26, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $11.87. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HDL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.24 (+24.0% upside). Prior stop was $11.87. Stop-loss: $11.87.

What are the risks of investing in HDL?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is HDL overvalued or undervalued?

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING trades at a P/E of 24.6 (forward 13.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HDL?

12 analysts cover HDL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $18.

What does SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING do?Super Hi International Holding Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the restaurant operation and delivery...

Super Hi International Holding Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the restaurant operation and delivery business in Asia, North America, Europe, Oceania, and internationally. It owns and operates Haidilao restaurants. The company also offers food delivery services; and sells hot pot condiment products and food under the Haidilao brand and secondary brands to local guests and retailers. The company was incorporated in 2022 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Related stocks: CHA (Chagee Holdings Limited) · ARCO (Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.) · LOCO (El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.) · NATH (Nathan's Famous, Inc.) · SHAK (Shake Shack, Inc.)
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