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HBANHuntington Bancshares IncorporaHold5.9·$17.36-0.22%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Huntington Bancshares is an industry growth leader with 34% year-over-year revenue expansion and constructive technical momentum — RSI at 66, bullish MACD, and rising volume accumulation — but 60% commercial loan concentration creates meaningful credit-cycle sensitivity, and with only 4.0% upside to the analyst target and an unfavorable risk-reward ratio, the setup limits the appeal of new exposure at the current price.

Thesis pillars

  • Commercial Loan Concentration RiskDeteriorating
  • Revenue Growth Peer LeadershipImproving
  • Constructive Technical MomentumDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Huntington Bancshares Incorpora (HBAN) Stock Analysis

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loan portfolio (60.0%); Thin upside margin: 5.7%.

Huntington Bancshares is a multi-state regional bank holding company headquartered in Columbus, Ohio, operating more than 1,000 branches across 14 states through two segments: Consumer & Regional Banking and Commercial Banking. The bank held between $100 billion and $250 billion... Read more

$17.36+5.7% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#137 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.56%(5y avg 4.35%)Payout47.69%sustainable
Stop $16.55Target $18.35(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$20.39+17.5%18 analysts
$18.35our TP
$17.36price
$20.39mean
$23

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loan portfolio (60.0%); Thin upside margin: 5.7%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Huntington Bancshares Incorpora

About Huntington Bancshares Incorpora

Huntington Bancshares held between $100 billion and $250 billion in total consolidated assets at December 31, 2025, ranking first in deposit market share in Columbus, Ohio (44%), Cleveland, Ohio, and Grand Rapids, Michigan across more than 1,000 branches in 14 states. The Federal Reserve serves as primary regulator of the consolidated organization, with Huntington National Bank supervised by the OCC as a national banking association. The bank completed the $1.7 billion acquisition of Veritex Holdings on October 20, 2025, adding $12.0 billion in assets, and operates two segments — Consumer & Regional Banking and Commercial Banking.

Huntington earns revenue from a mix of net interest income on its loan and deposit books and fee income from capital markets, investment management, mortgage banking, and payments. Consumer & Regional Banking serves individuals and small businesses through branches, ATMs, online banking, call centers, and national partnerships, offering dealer financing, wealth management, and consumer-friendly features such as 24-Hour Grace and Asterisk-Free Checking. Commercial Banking targets mid-market to large corporate clients in verticals including healthcare, technology, government, and financial sponsors, offering lending, treasury management, asset finance, and capital markets. At December 31, 2025, 60% of the loan portfolio comprised commercial loans — commercial and industrial, commercial real estate, and lease financing — which carry higher credit risk than residential mortgages but generate higher yields. The February 2026 acquisition of Cadence Bank, a $54 billion-asset regional bank headquartered in Houston and Tupelo, for approximately $8.1 billion increased branch count to nearly 1,400 across 21 states.

Show full overview

Huntington's Cadence acquisition is expected to cause total average consolidated assets to exceed $250 billion in the fourth quarter of 2026, triggering a transition from Category IV to Category III banking organization status under Federal Reserve rules. Category III classification would subject the bank to additional enhanced prudential standards, including limitations on aggregate net credit exposures to any single unaffiliated counterparty and full LCR and NSFR requirements with an 85% outflow adjustment. The Federal Reserve revised its LFI Rating System in November 2025 to allow a firm with no more than one deficient-1 rating to be considered well managed, adjusting one supervisory standard even as the Category III reclassification tightens capital and liquidity requirements.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From Huntington Bancshares Incorpora's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 22, 202689d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loan portfolio (60.0%)
Thin upside margin: 5.7%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.4
P/E (Fwd)9.2
Mkt Cap$35.1B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn26.1%
ROE9.0%
Rev Growth47.1%
Beta0.95
Dividend3.56%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C9.54bearish
IV36%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial loan portfolio60%
    10-K Item 1A: '60% of our loan portfolio was comprised of loans in our commercial loan portfolio, which includes commercial and industrial loans, commercial real estate loans, and lease financing'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.06Resistance $18.58

Price Targets

$17
$18
A.Upside+5.7%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-22 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HBAN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $17.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loan portfolio (60.0%); Thin upside margin: 5.7%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $18.35 (+5.7%), stop $16.55 (−4.9%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HBAN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.35 (+5.7% upside). Target $18.35 (+5.7%), stop $16.55 (−4.9%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Stop-loss: $16.55.

What are the risks of investing in HBAN?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial loan portfolio (60.0%); Thin upside margin: 5.7%.

Is HBAN overvalued or undervalued?

Huntington Bancshares Incorpora trades at a P/E of 13.4 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HBAN?

25 analysts cover HBAN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $20.

What does Huntington Bancshares Incorpora do?Huntington Bancshares is a multi-state regional bank holding company headquartered in Columbus, Ohio, operating more...

Huntington Bancshares is a multi-state regional bank holding company headquartered in Columbus, Ohio, operating more than 1,000 branches across 14 states through two segments: Consumer & Regional Banking and Commercial Banking. The bank held between $100 billion and $250 billion in total consolidated assets at December 31, 2025, earning revenue from commercial and consumer lending, deposit services, capital markets, and investment management.

Related stocks: SFBS (ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc.) · AUB (Atlantic Union Bankshares Corpo) · COLB (Columbia Banking System, Inc.) · ONB (Old National Bancorp) · INDB (Independent Bank Corp.)
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