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HALHalliburton CompanyHold5.8·$33.07-0.87%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Halliburton has beaten consensus earnings estimates in each of the three most recent quarters at an average positive surprise of roughly 13%, trades at a forward P/E of 13.1x with a PEG of 1.0, and converts earnings to free cash flow at 132% — but with only 4.3% headroom to the analyst target and a reward-to-risk ratio below the 1.5-to-1 threshold, the setup favors patience over new capital deployment at the current price.

Thesis pillars

  • Superior Free Cash Flow ConversionImproving
  • Thin Upside Limits New EntryDeteriorating
  • Earnings Execution ConsistencyStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Halliburton Company (HAL) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $33.07, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum.

Halliburton provides oilfield services and products through two segments — Completion and Production, and Drilling and Evaluation — to energy companies in more than 70 countries. Total revenue declined 3% in 2025 vs. 2024 with $2.9 billion in operating cash flows; 39% of... Read more

$33.07+18.3% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#16 of 37 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.36%
IncomeYield2.04%(5y avg 1.73%)Payout35.60%sustainable
Stop $31.41Target $39.28(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst target$43.64+32.0%25 analysts
$39.28our TP
$33.07price
$43.64mean
$29
$53

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $33.07, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 85d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Halliburton Company

About Halliburton Company

Halliburton's two operating segments — Completion and Production (C&P) and Drilling and Evaluation (D&E) — finished 2025 with operating margins of 17% and 15%, respectively, after total revenue declined 3% year-over-year. The company generated $2.9 billion in cash flows from operations in 2025, with the United States contributing 39% of consolidated revenue and no other single country exceeding 10%. Over 46,000 employees across 146 nationalities operated in more than 70 countries, with approximately 22% subject to collective bargaining agreements.

Halliburton generates service revenue tied to the energy capital expenditure cycle — when E&P companies increase drilling and completion activity, demand for C&P (cementing, stimulation, artificial lift, completion tools) and D&E (directional drilling, logging-while-drilling, formation evaluation, Landmark software) rises correspondingly. Hydraulic fracturing constitutes a significant portion of C&P revenue and is subject to potential federal and state legislation that could impose additional restrictions. Capital expenditures were maintained at approximately 6% of revenue in 2025, matching the company's stated target, with 2026 focus directed at the Zeus IQ electric fracturing platform, iCruise rotary steerable systems, and LOGIX automation. Raw materials — including proppants (primarily sand), chemicals, metals, and electronic components — are described as normally readily available, though market conditions can trigger supply constraints. Long-term, fixed-price integrated project management contracts for national oil companies carry additional cost over-run risk if customers provide inaccurate information or operate in politically unstable jurisdictions.

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Regulatory risk for Halliburton concentrates in two distinct threads. Hydraulic fracturing — a significant portion of C&P revenue — faces potential federal, state, or local restrictions that could make it more difficult to complete oil and gas wells. Tariff policy adds cost uncertainty: in April 2025, the Trump Administration imposed a baseline 10% tariff on all imports plus additional reciprocal tariffs, many effective August 2025, with the U.S. Supreme Court reviewing the legality of certain measures as of early 2026. Existing sanctions against Venezuela, Russia, and other countries have already limited operations in those markets, and any expansion of trade restrictions may further constrain Halliburton's international revenue base.

See also: Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

From Halliburton Company's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 20, 202685d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.5
P/E (Fwd)11.4
Mkt Cap$27.9B
EV/EBITDA8.2
Profit Mgn7.2%
ROE14.9%
Rev Growth3.7%
Beta0.72
Dividend2.04%
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C2.49bearish
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$23-30.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicUnited States39%
    10-K Item 1: 'based on the location of services provided and products sold 39%, 40%, and 44%, respectively, of our consolidated revenue was from the United States (U.S.)'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Macd
6.3
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+5.7%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 85d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.38Resistance $36.20

Price Targets

$31
$39
A.Upside+18.3%
A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-20 (85d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HAL stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $33.07, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $39.28 (+18.8%), stop $31.41 (−5.3%), A.R:R 2.8:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HAL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $39.28 (+18.3% upside). Target $39.28 (+18.8%), stop $31.41 (−5.3%), A.R:R 2.8:1. Stop-loss: $31.41.

What are the risks of investing in HAL?

Negative momentum.

Is HAL overvalued or undervalued?

Halliburton Company trades at a P/E of 17.5 (forward 11.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HAL?

33 analysts cover HAL with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $44.

What does Halliburton Company do?Halliburton provides oilfield services and products through two segments — Completion and Production, and Drilling and...

Halliburton provides oilfield services and products through two segments — Completion and Production, and Drilling and Evaluation — to energy companies in more than 70 countries. Total revenue declined 3% in 2025 vs. 2024 with $2.9 billion in operating cash flows; 39% of consolidated revenue came from the United States, and the company employed over 46,000 people representing 146 nationalities.

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