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TechnipFMC plc (FTI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $73.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: customer (15.5% of 2025 revenue) (15.5%); Concentration risk — Customer: customer (14.0% of 2025 revenue) (14.0%).

TechnipFMC provides fully integrated subsea and surface technology solutions to oil and gas companies globally, operating through Subsea and Surface Technologies segments. Two customers accounted for 15.5% and 14.0% of 2025 consolidated revenue; customers are major integrated... Read more

$73.88+3.1% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#6 of 31 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.37%
IncomeYield0.27%Payout7.66%sustainable
Stop $69.28Target $76.18(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$73.95+0.1%21 analysts
$76.18our TP
$73.88price
$73.95mean
$45
$90

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $73.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: customer (15.5% of 2025 revenue) (15.5%); Concentration risk — Customer: customer (14.0% of 2025 revenue) (14.0%). Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val6.1Qual5.9Grw7.7Mom5.4Sent6.0Ins3.4Peer4.9Tech6.1Risk7.05.9OVERALL

Recent Developments — TechnipFMC plc

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: customer (15.5% of 2025 revenue) (15.5%)
Concentration risk — Customer: customer (14.0% of 2025 revenue) (14.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.1
P/E (Fwd)21.2
Mkt Cap$29.3B
EV/EBITDA15.5
Profit Mgn10.6%
ROE33.4%
Rev Growth11.6%
Beta0.74
Dividend0.27%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.39bearish
IV45%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomercustomer (15.5% of 2025 revenue)16%
    10-K Item 1: 'Two different customers accounted for 15.5%, and 14.0%, of our consolidated revenue in 2025, respectively.'
  • HIGHCustomercustomer (14.0% of 2025 revenue)14%
    10-K Item 1: 'Two different customers accounted for 15.5%, and 14.0%, of our consolidated revenue in 2025, respectively.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-01Item 5.02LOW
    At TechnipFMC's May 1, 2026 Annual General Meeting, shareholders approved Amendment No. 1 to the 2022 Incentive Award Plan (adopted by Board Feb 16, 2026). Routine compensatory arrangement approval; no officer departure or appointment.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 64d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
41 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $69.88Resistance $77.73

Price Targets

$69
$76
A.Upside+3.1%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (64d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FTI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $73.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: customer (15.5% of 2025 revenue) (15.5%); Concentration risk — Customer: customer (14.0% of 2025 revenue) (14.0%). Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $76.18 (+3.1%), stop $69.28 (−6.6%), A.R:R -1.6:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FTI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $76.18 (+3.1% upside). Target $76.18 (+3.1%), stop $69.28 (−6.6%), A.R:R -1.6:1. Stop-loss: $69.28.

What are the risks of investing in FTI?

Concentration risk — Customer: customer (15.5% of 2025 revenue) (15.5%); Concentration risk — Customer: customer (14.0% of 2025 revenue) (14.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is FTI overvalued or undervalued?

TechnipFMC plc trades at a P/E of 28.1 (forward 21.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FTI?

27 analysts cover FTI with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $74.

What does TechnipFMC plc do?TechnipFMC provides fully integrated subsea and surface technology solutions to oil and gas companies globally,...

TechnipFMC provides fully integrated subsea and surface technology solutions to oil and gas companies globally, operating through Subsea and Surface Technologies segments. Two customers accounted for 15.5% and 14.0% of 2025 consolidated revenue; customers are major integrated and national oil companies.

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