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TechnipFMC plc (FTI) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $76.41 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: oil and natural gas.

TechnipFMC is a technology provider to the traditional and new energy industries offering integrated subsea and surface technology solutions across its Subsea and Surface Technologies segments, with approximately 22,000 employees globally. Revenue is directly tied to oil and gas... Read more

$76.41+0.1% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#19 of 32 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Stop $71.61Target $76.22(resistance)A.R:R -2.0:1
Analyst target$67.86-11.2%21 analysts
$76.22our TP
$76.41price
$67.86mean
$45
$83

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $76.41 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: oil and natural gas. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: oil and natural gas
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.3% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.5
P/E (Fwd)22.4
Mkt Cap$30.8B
EV/EBITDA17.1
Profit Mgn9.7%
ROE29.6%
Rev Growth6.3%
Beta0.71
Dividend0.26%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.81bearish
IV52%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommodityoil and natural gas
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are substantially dependent on conditions in the oil and natural gas industry'
  • MEDIUMCustomerlimited number of customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'our business relies on a limited number of customers'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -2.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $68.57Resistance $77.78

Price Targets

$72
$76
A.Upside-0.2%
A.R:R-2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-19.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FTI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $76.41 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: oil and natural gas. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $71.61. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FTI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $76.22 (+0.1% upside). Prior stop was $71.61. Stop-loss: $71.61.

What are the risks of investing in FTI?

Concentration risk — Commodity: oil and natural gas; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.3% away).

Is FTI overvalued or undervalued?

TechnipFMC plc trades at a P/E of 33.5 (forward 22.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FTI?

27 analysts cover FTI with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $68.

What does TechnipFMC plc do?TechnipFMC is a technology provider to the traditional and new energy industries offering integrated subsea and surface...

TechnipFMC is a technology provider to the traditional and new energy industries offering integrated subsea and surface technology solutions across its Subsea and Surface Technologies segments, with approximately 22,000 employees globally. Revenue is directly tied to oil and gas industry capital spending and exploration activity levels.

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