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GTThe Goodyear Tire & Rubber CompSell4.8·$6.61+2.32%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Goodyear Tire presents a combination of below-minimum business quality, declining revenue, two consecutive earnings misses in the most recent quarters, and confirmed technical weakness that makes it difficult to construct a credible investment case at current levels, with the stock offering essentially no upside to its near-term ceiling and an unfavorable risk/reward.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Well Below MinimumStable
  • Revenue Decline Margin PressureStable
  • Consecutive Earnings MissesStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp (GT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.61: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Goodyear Tire & Rubber manufactures and sells tires across three global segments — Americas, EMEA, and Asia Pacific — with net sales of $18,280 million and a net loss of $1,721 million in 2025, operating 49 plants in 19 countries. Approximately 84% of 2025 sales were tire units;... Read more

$6.61+2.0% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#31 of 37 Auto Parts
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield7.69%
Stop $6.13Target $6.72(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$7.46+12.8%7 analysts
$6.72our TP
$6.61price
$7.46mean
$9

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.61: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and 8k serious 2.05. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-1.6% upside)
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)10.2
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA8.1
Profit Mgn-11.6%
ROE-50.0%
Rev Growth-8.7%
Beta1.12
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.21bearish
IV69%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerOE customers19%
    10-K Item 1A: 'sales to our OE customers accounted for approximately 19% of our net sales in 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-20Item 2.05MEDIUM
    Goodyear approved EMEA rationalization plan on March 16, 2026 reducing approximately 400 net positions across multiple countries. Pre-tax charges expected $100M-$110M with cash outflows over 2026-2029. Actions substantially complete by 2028; expected EMEA operating income improvement of $35M-$40M in 2028 and ~$50M annually thereafter.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.1
Roa
0.6
Moat
2.5
Current Ratio
4.1
Piotroski F
4.4
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.9
Value Rank
9.4

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.0
Support Resistance
2.2
Bollinger
2.3
Gap
5.0
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVE8K SERIOUS 2.05Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.61Resistance $6.86

Price Targets

$6
$7
A.Upside+1.7%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.61: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Prior stop was $6.13. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $6.72 (+2.0% upside). Prior stop was $6.13. Stop-loss: $6.13.

What are the risks of investing in GT?

Target reached (-1.6% upside); Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).

Is GT overvalued or undervalued?

The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GT?

22 analysts cover GT with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $7.

What does The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp do?Goodyear Tire & Rubber manufactures and sells tires across three global segments — Americas, EMEA, and Asia Pacific —...

Goodyear Tire & Rubber manufactures and sells tires across three global segments — Americas, EMEA, and Asia Pacific — with net sales of $18,280 million and a net loss of $1,721 million in 2025, operating 49 plants in 19 countries. Approximately 84% of 2025 sales were tire units; the company operates roughly 750 retail outlets and is one of the largest commercial truck tire retreaders globally.

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