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The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp (GT) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.60: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.50; Below-average business quality.

Goodyear is one of the world's largest tire manufacturers with three segments—Americas (largest), EMEA, and Asia Pacific—recording $18.28B net sales and a $1.72B net loss in 2025. Revenue comes from replacement and OE tire sales manufactured in 49 facilities across 19 countries;... Read more

$5.60+15.7% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#25 of 27 Auto Parts
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield9.04%
Stop $5.38Target $6.49(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$7.46+33.2%7 analysts
$6.49our TP
$5.60price
$7.46mean
$9

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.60: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 19, MACD bearish. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)6.7
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA7.9
Profit Mgn-11.6%
ROE-50.0%
Rev Growth-8.7%
Beta1.18
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish
IV70%elevated
Max Pain$1-82.1% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-20Item 2.05MEDIUM
    EMEA rationalization plan approved March 16, 2026: net reduction of ~400 positions across multiple EMEA countries ($100-110M total charges, ~$35-40M annual EBITDA improvement in 2028). Substantially complete by 2028.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.1
Roa
0.6
Moat
2.5
Current Ratio
4.1
Piotroski F
4.4
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
1.2
Volume
1.8
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 19, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
9.6
GatesMomentum 1.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
19 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.55Resistance $7.47

Price Targets

$5
$6
A.Upside+15.9%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 1.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.60: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 19, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $5.38. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $6.49 (+15.7% upside). Prior stop was $5.38. Stop-loss: $5.38.

What are the risks of investing in GT?

Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).

Is GT overvalued or undervalued?

The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GT?

22 analysts cover GT with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $7.

What does The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp do?Goodyear is one of the world's largest tire manufacturers with three segments—Americas (largest), EMEA, and Asia...

Goodyear is one of the world's largest tire manufacturers with three segments—Americas (largest), EMEA, and Asia Pacific—recording $18.28B net sales and a $1.72B net loss in 2025. Revenue comes from replacement and OE tire sales manufactured in 49 facilities across 19 countries; ~63,000 employees worldwide. The company completed its Goodyear Forward transformation plan in 2025 delivering ~$1.5B in run-rate cost savings.

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