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The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp (GT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.00: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Goodyear is one of the world's largest tire manufacturers with Americas, EMEA, and Asia Pacific segments and 49 facilities in 19 countries, generating $18.3B in net sales in 2025. It serves OE automakers and replacement markets and operates approximately 750 retail outlets. The... Read more

$7.00+11.0% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#21 of 26 Auto Parts
Stop $6.52Target $7.78(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$8.94+27.8%7 analysts
$7.78our TP
$7.00price
$8.94mean
$7
$10

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.00: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 6.0), Material insider selling (11 sells, 0.32% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)6.7
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA6.9
Profit Mgn-9.4%
ROE-41.3%
Rev Growth-0.6%
Beta1.18
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV80%elevated
Max Pain$1-85.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerOE customers19%
    10-K Item 1A: 'sales to our OE customers accounted for approximately 19% of our net sales in 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-20Item 2.05MEDIUM
    Goodyear approved EMEA rationalization plan March 16, 2026 to streamline sales/distribution model. Net reduction approximately 400 positions; pre-tax charges $100-110M; cash outflows $100-110M spread 2026-2029. Substantially complete by 2028.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.8
Operating Margin
1.4
Current Ratio
4.2
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.8
Value Rank
9.6

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.7
Support Resistance
3.4
Bollinger
4.5

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
4.5
Macd
6.9
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MEarnings in 6 days
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $6.46Resistance $7.29

Price Targets

$7
$8
A.Upside+11.1%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 6.0), Material insider selling (11 sells, 0.32% of cap)
! Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.00: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Prior stop was $6.52. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.78 (+11.0% upside). Prior stop was $6.52. Stop-loss: $6.52.

What are the risks of investing in GT?

Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 6.0), Material insider selling (11 sells, 0.32% of cap).

Is GT overvalued or undervalued?

The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GT?

22 analysts cover GT with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $9.

What does The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp do?Goodyear is one of the world's largest tire manufacturers with Americas, EMEA, and Asia Pacific segments and 49...

Goodyear is one of the world's largest tire manufacturers with Americas, EMEA, and Asia Pacific segments and 49 facilities in 19 countries, generating $18.3B in net sales in 2025. It serves OE automakers and replacement markets and operates approximately 750 retail outlets. The company completed its Goodyear Forward transformation plan in 2025.

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