Skip to main content
GPNGlobal Payments Inc.Hold5.8·$93.05-1.88%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The combination of 63% revenue growth, an 80% free cash flow margin, four consecutive earnings beats, and a forward P/E of 4.2x creates a compelling fundamental case; the primary risk is that price momentum has broken down sharply and the stock must stabilize before the fundamental strengths can be expressed in the share price.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow GenerationImproving
  • Revenue Growth LeadershipStable
  • Price Momentum BreakdownImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Global Payments Inc. (GPN) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldValueGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $93.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.6% away).

Global Payments is a payments technology company providing merchant acceptance, payment processing and business management software across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Latin America, with approximately 26,000 team members worldwide. In January 2026, the company... Read more

$93.05-1.8% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#8 of 29 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield31.35%
IncomeYield1.13%(5y avg 0.93%)Payout47.39%sustainable
Stop $86.54Target $107.01(default +15%)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$101.50+9.1%28 analysts
$107.01our TP
$93.05price
$101.50mean
$60
$194

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $93.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.6% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202680d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.6% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)42.0
P/E (Fwd)6.0
Mkt Cap$25.1B
EV/EBITDA9.8
Profit Mgn-9.2%
ROE2.4%
Rev Growth68.6%
Beta0.78
Dividend1.13%
Rating analysts39

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.35bullish
IV56%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.7
Support Resistance
1.4
52w Position
9.5
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $77.25Resistance $95.58

Price Targets

$87
$107
A.Upside-1.8%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GPN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $93.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.6% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $107.01 (+15.0%), stop $86.54 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GPN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $107.01 (-1.8% upside). Target $107.01 (+15.0%), stop $86.54 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $86.54.

What are the risks of investing in GPN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.6% away).

Is GPN overvalued or undervalued?

Global Payments Inc. trades at a P/E of 42.0 (forward 6.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GPN?

39 analysts cover GPN with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $102.

What does Global Payments Inc. do?Global Payments is a payments technology company providing merchant acceptance, payment processing and business...

Global Payments is a payments technology company providing merchant acceptance, payment processing and business management software across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Latin America, with approximately 26,000 team members worldwide. In January 2026, the company acquired Worldpay Holdco from Fidelity National Information Services and GTCR for roughly $6.2 billion in cash plus 43.3 million shares, simultaneously divesting its Issuer Solutions business to FIS for approximately $7.7 billion in cash plus FIS's Worldpay stake.

Related stocks: DLB (Dolby Laboratories) · RBA (RB Global, Inc.) · TRI (Thomson Reuters Corp) · CPRT (Copart, Inc.) · FA (First Advantage Corporation)
Home Stocks GPN

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat17d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance17d agoEarnings
MarketBeat17d ago
The Globe and Mail108d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat108d agoEarnings
The Globe and Mail24d ago
GuruFocus31d ago
Traders Union122d ago
The Globe and Mail122d agoAnalyst
Seeking Alpha3d ago
Yahoo Finance101d ago
MarketBeat10d ago
TradingView10d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance10d ago
TradingView10d ago
MarketBeat10d agoEarnings
Seeking Alpha10d agoEarnings
CNN10d ago
Cnn.com10d ago
Finance.yahoo.com10d ago
Loading more...