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GPNGlobal Payments Inc.Hold5.5·$91.63-0.15%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The combination of 63% revenue growth, an 80% free cash flow margin, four consecutive earnings beats, and a forward P/E of 4.2x creates a compelling fundamental case; the primary risk is that price momentum has broken down sharply and the stock must stabilize before the fundamental strengths can be expressed in the share price.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow GenerationStable
  • Revenue Growth LeadershipStable
  • Price Momentum BreakdownDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Global Payments Inc. (GPN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldValueGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $91.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away).

Global Payments is a payments technology company providing merchant acceptance, payment processing and business management software across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Latin America, with approximately 26,000 team members worldwide. In January 2026, the company... Read more

$91.63+1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#12 of 31 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield32.40%
IncomeYield1.08%(5y avg 0.93%)Payout47.39%sustainable
Stop $86.61Target $92.83(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$103.14+12.6%28 analysts
$92.83our TP
$91.63price
$103.14mean
$60
$194

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $91.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 59d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202659d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.7% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)44.1
P/E (Fwd)5.7
Mkt Cap$24.3B
EV/EBITDA9.7
Profit Mgn-9.2%
ROE2.4%
Rev Growth68.6%
Beta0.78
Dividend1.08%
Rating analysts39

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C7.69bearish
IV50%normal
Max Pain$130+41.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 59d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $84.20Resistance $95.88

Price Targets

$87
$93
A.Upside+1.6%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.6% upside)
! News modifier +2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (59d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GPN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $91.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $92.83 (+1.3%), stop $86.61 (−5.8%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GPN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $92.83 (+1.6% upside). Target $92.83 (+1.3%), stop $86.61 (−5.8%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Stop-loss: $86.61.

What are the risks of investing in GPN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8).

Is GPN overvalued or undervalued?

Global Payments Inc. trades at a P/E of 44.1 (forward 5.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GPN?

39 analysts cover GPN with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $103.

What does Global Payments Inc. do?Global Payments is a payments technology company providing merchant acceptance, payment processing and business...

Global Payments is a payments technology company providing merchant acceptance, payment processing and business management software across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Latin America, with approximately 26,000 team members worldwide. In January 2026, the company acquired Worldpay Holdco from Fidelity National Information Services and GTCR for roughly $6.2 billion in cash plus 43.3 million shares, simultaneously divesting its Issuer Solutions business to FIS for approximately $7.7 billion in cash plus FIS's Worldpay stake.

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