Skip to main content
GOOSCanada Goose Holdings Inc. SuboSell5.0·$8.97-2.18%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Canada Goose has delivered four consecutive earnings misses, trades above its resistance-based price target with a negative risk/reward ratio, and is in a confirmed long-term downtrend—a combination that offers no favorable entry geometry and places the stock below the minimum investable market-cap threshold.

Thesis pillars

  • Four Consecutive Earnings MissesStable
  • Price Above Target Negative AsymmetryDeteriorating
  • Confirmed Long Term DowntrendDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subo (GOOS) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Earnings in 4 days (2026-07-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.97: Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.07; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Canada Goose Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells performance luxury outerwear, apparel, footwear, and accessories for men, women, youth, children, and babies. It operates through three segments: Direct-to-Consumer, Wholesale, and... Read more

$8.97-7.0% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#11 of 14 Apparel Manufacturing
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield22.19%
Stop $8.49Target $9.77(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$9.50+5.9%5 analysts
$9.77our TP
$8.97price
$9.50mean
$7
$13

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.97: Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.07; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 32, MACD bearish. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-7.0% upside)
Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)55.6
P/E (Fwd)10.5
Mkt Cap$868M
EV/EBITDA6.6
Profit Mgn1.5%
ROE4.7%
Rev Growth17.9%
Beta1.76
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.07bearish
IV81%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MEarnings in 4 days

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Vol Acceleration
2.9
Macd
3.3
Rsi
3.5
Volume
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.0%/30d — confirmed downtrendVolume surge (2.1x avg) on selloff
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
32 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.75Resistance $9.97

Price Targets

$8
$10
A.Upside-7.0%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.0% upside)
! Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0)
! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GOOS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.97: Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.07; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 32, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $8.49. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GOOS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.77 (-7.0% upside). Prior stop was $8.49. Stop-loss: $8.49.

What are the risks of investing in GOOS?

Target reached (-7.0% upside); Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0).

Is GOOS overvalued or undervalued?

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subo trades at a P/E of 55.6 (forward 10.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GOOS?

15 analysts cover GOOS with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subo do?Canada Goose Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells performance luxury...

Canada Goose Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells performance luxury outerwear, apparel, footwear, and accessories for men, women, youth, children, and babies. It operates through three segments: Direct-to-Consumer, Wholesale, and Other. The company offers leisure wear, including knitwear, sweats, and t-shirts; outerwear products, including rain and everyday collections, jackets for everyday occasions, fleece, and vests; footwear and accessories products, such as sneakers, boots, hats, scarves, gloves, hood trims, socks, bags and eyewear; and lightweight and heavyweight down jackets for the fall, winter, and spring seasons. It sells its products through e-commerce channels and directly operated retail stores. The company offers its products under Canada Goose, Snow Goose, and Baffin brands in Canada, the United States, North America, Greater China, rest of the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. Canada Goose Holdings Inc. was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: KTB (Kontoor Brands, Inc.) · FIGS (FIGS, Inc.) · COLM (Columbia Sportswear Company) · PVH (PVH Corp.) · OXM (Oxford Industries, Inc.)
Home Stocks GOOS

Latest news

Latest News

Investing.com Nigeria74d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance81d ago
MSN81d ago
Yahoo Finance82d ago
TipRanks73d ago
MSN73d ago
Seeking Alpha73d agoEarnings
TipRanks73d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance73d ago
GuruFocus73d ago
KING5.com73d agoEarnings
KTVB73d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com73d agoEarnings
MSN80d agoEarnings
MSN80d ago
Business Wire82d agoEarnings
AD HOC NEWS79d ago
Benzinga72d ago
Benzinga72d ago
Benzinga73d ago
Loading more...