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GOOSCanada Goose Holdings Inc. SuboHold4.9·$9.95-1.39%
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Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subo (GOOS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.95, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Target reached (-16.9% upside); Market cap $0.98B below $1B minimum.

Canada Goose Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells performance luxury outerwear, apparel, footwear, and accessories for men, women, youth, children, and babies. It operates through three segments: Direct-to-Consumer, Wholesale, and... Read more

$9.95+2.6% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#10 of 13 Apparel Manufacturing
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield19.66%
Stop $9.35Target $10.21(resistance)A.R:R -2.6:1
Analyst target$9.50-4.5%5 analysts
$10.21our TP
$9.95price
$9.50mean
$7
$13

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.95, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Target reached (-16.9% upside); Market cap $0.98B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 43. Market cap $0.98B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-16.9% upside)
Market cap $0.98B below $1B minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)63.1
P/E (Fwd)11.9
Mkt Cap$980M
EV/EBITDA7.2
Profit Mgn1.5%
ROE4.7%
Rev Growth17.9%
Beta1.78
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.59bullish
IV64%elevated
Max Pain$16+60.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
2.9
Support Resistance
4.2
Bollinger
4.3
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R -2.6=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.30Resistance $10.42

Price Targets

$9
$10
A.Upside+2.6%
A.R:R-2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-16.9% upside)
! Market cap $0.98B below $1B minimum
! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GOOS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.95, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Target reached (-16.9% upside); Market cap $0.98B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 43. Market cap $0.98B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $10.21 (+2.6%), stop $9.35 (−6.4%), A.R:R -2.6:1. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GOOS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.21 (+2.6% upside). Target $10.21 (+2.6%), stop $9.35 (−6.4%), A.R:R -2.6:1. Stop-loss: $9.35.

What are the risks of investing in GOOS?

Target reached (-16.9% upside); Market cap $0.98B below $1B minimum.

Is GOOS overvalued or undervalued?

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subo trades at a P/E of 63.1 (forward 11.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GOOS?

15 analysts cover GOOS with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subo do?Canada Goose Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells performance luxury...

Canada Goose Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells performance luxury outerwear, apparel, footwear, and accessories for men, women, youth, children, and babies. It operates through three segments: Direct-to-Consumer, Wholesale, and Other. The company offers leisure wear, including knitwear, sweats, and t-shirts; outerwear products, including rain and everyday collections, jackets for everyday occasions, fleece, and vests; footwear and accessories products, such as sneakers, boots, hats, scarves, gloves, hood trims, socks, bags and eyewear; and lightweight and heavyweight down jackets for the fall, winter, and spring seasons. It sells its products through e-commerce channels and directly operated retail stores. The company offers its products under Canada Goose, Snow Goose, and Baffin brands in Canada, the United States, North America, Greater China, rest of the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. Canada Goose Holdings Inc. was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: KTB (Kontoor Brands, Inc.) · LEVI (Levi Strauss & Co) · FIGS (FIGS, Inc.) · COLM (Columbia Sportswear Company) · VFC (V.F. Corporation)
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