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Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subo (GOOS) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Target reached (-13.0% upside); Market cap $0.93B below $1B minimum.

Canada Goose Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells performance luxury outerwear, apparel, footwear, and accessories for men, women, youth, children, and babies. It operates through three segments: Direct-to-Consumer, Wholesale, and... Read more

$9.50+27.7% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#12 of 13 Apparel Manufacturing
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield20.73%
Stop $9.21Target $12.13(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$9.50+0.0%5 analysts
$12.13our TP
$9.50price
$9.50mean
$7
$13

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Target reached (-13.0% upside); Market cap $0.93B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 27, MACD bearish. Market cap $0.93B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subo

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-13.0% upside)
Market cap $0.93B below $1B minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)56.3
P/E (Fwd)11.2
Mkt Cap$930M
EV/EBITDA6.9
Profit Mgn1.5%
ROE4.7%
Rev Growth17.9%
Beta1.77
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.30bearish
IV62%elevated
Max Pain$3-73.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
4.9
Capitulation risk (RSI 27, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Volatile — 5.0% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
3.0
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Beta
4.1
Debt Equity
4.5
Short Interest
4.8
Elevated put/call: 2.30High IV: 62%Above max pain $2

Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static

News Sentiment
0.0
Analyst Rating
5.0
Price Target
5.0
Negative news sentiment (-1.00)

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5A.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
27 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.49Resistance $12.38

Price Targets

$9
$12
A.Upside+27.7%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.0% upside)
! Market cap $0.93B below $1B minimum
! Momentum score 2.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GOOS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Target reached (-13.0% upside); Market cap $0.93B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 27, MACD bearish. Market cap $0.93B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $12.13 (+27.7%), stop $9.21 (−3.1%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GOOS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.13 (+27.7% upside). Target $12.13 (+27.7%), stop $9.21 (−3.1%), A.R:R -1.3:1. Stop-loss: $9.21.

What are the risks of investing in GOOS?

Target reached (-13.0% upside); Market cap $0.93B below $1B minimum.

Is GOOS overvalued or undervalued?

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subo trades at a P/E of 56.3 (forward 11.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GOOS?

15 analysts cover GOOS with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subo do?Canada Goose Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells performance luxury...

Canada Goose Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells performance luxury outerwear, apparel, footwear, and accessories for men, women, youth, children, and babies. It operates through three segments: Direct-to-Consumer, Wholesale, and Other. The company offers leisure wear, including knitwear, sweats, and t-shirts; outerwear products, including rain and everyday collections, jackets for everyday occasions, fleece, and vests; footwear and accessories products, such as sneakers, boots, hats, scarves, gloves, hood trims, socks, bags and eyewear; and lightweight and heavyweight down jackets for the fall, winter, and spring seasons. It sells its products through e-commerce channels and directly operated retail stores. The company offers its products under Canada Goose, Snow Goose, and Baffin brands in Canada, the United States, North America, Greater China, rest of the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. Canada Goose Holdings Inc. was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

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