Canada Goose has delivered four consecutive earnings misses, trades above its resistance-based price target with a negative risk/reward ratio, and is in a confirmed long-term downtrend—a combination that offers no favorable entry geometry and places the stock below the minimum investable market-cap threshold.
Thesis pillars
- Four Consecutive Earnings Misses↑Improving
- Price Above Target Negative Asymmetry→Stable
- Confirmed Long Term Downtrend↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days
Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subo (GOOS) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $8.27 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Canada Goose Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells performance luxury outerwear, apparel, footwear, and accessories for men, women, youth, children, and babies. It operates through three segments: Direct-to-Consumer, Wholesale, and... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $8.27 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated Oct 29, 2026Recent Developments — Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subo
Latest news
- NEWS Canada Goose Holdings, Inc. (TSX:GOOS): What Could Move This Canadian Retail Stock Next? - kalkine.ca — kalkine.ca Oct 29, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Earnings Preview: Canada Goose (GOOS) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 29, 2026 negative
- NEWS Canada Goose (NYSE:GOOS) Stock Price Breaks Below 50 Day Moving Average - Here's Why - MarketBeat — MarketBeat Oct 29, 2026 negative
- NEWS Canada Goose Holdings (TSX:GOOS) Stock Forecast & Analyst Predictions - Simply Wall St — Simply Wall St Oct 29, 2026 neutral
- NEWS GOOS Maintained by UBS -- Price Target Lowered to $9.00 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus Oct 29, 2026 negative
Latest item Oct 29, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:49:37Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $8.27 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Prior stop was $7.71. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.
Analyst target $8.20 reached (−0.8% from $8.27); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $7.71. Stop-loss: $7.71.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0.
Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subo trades at a P/E of 20.2 (forward 10.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
18 analysts rate GOOS, with a consensus score of 2.7/5. 6 analysts publish price targets averaging $9.
What does Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subo do?Canada Goose Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells performance luxury...
Canada Goose Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells performance luxury outerwear, apparel, footwear, and accessories for men, women, youth, children, and babies. It operates through three segments: Direct-to-Consumer, Wholesale, and Other. The company offers leisure wear, including knitwear, sweats, and t-shirts; outerwear products, including rain and everyday collections, jackets for everyday occasions, fleece, and vests; footwear and accessories products, such as sneakers, boots, hats, scarves, gloves, hood trims, socks, bags and eyewear; and lightweight and heavyweight down jackets for the fall, winter, and spring seasons. It sells its products through e-commerce channels and directly operated retail stores. The company offers its products under Canada Goose, Snow Goose, and Baffin brands in Canada, the United States, North America, Greater China, rest of the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. Canada Goose Holdings Inc. was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.