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Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subo (GOOS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.32 — A.R:R is negative (-2.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Canada Goose Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells performance luxury outerwear, apparel, footwear, and accessories for men, women, youth, children, and babies. It operates through three segments: Direct-to-Consumer, Wholesale, and... Read more

$11.32+7.2% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#9 of 13 Apparel Manufacturing
Stop $10.68Target $12.13(resistance)A.R:R -2.8:1
Analyst target$10.00-11.7%5 analysts
$12.13our TP
$11.32price
$10.00mean
$7
$13

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.32 — A.R:R is negative (-2.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 21d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)69.6
P/E (Fwd)15.2
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA12.8
Profit Mgn1.5%
ROE4.2%
Rev Growth14.2%
Beta1.78
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.18bullish
IV63%elevated
Max Pain$3-77.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Macd
3.3
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
3.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R -2.8=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 21d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.38Resistance $12.38

Price Targets

$11
$12
A.Upside+7.2%
A.R:R-2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-23.1% upside)
! Momentum score 2.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-21 (21d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GOOS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.32 — A.R:R is negative (-2.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $10.68. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GOOS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.13 (+7.2% upside). Prior stop was $10.68. Stop-loss: $10.68.

What are the risks of investing in GOOS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is GOOS overvalued or undervalued?

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subo trades at a P/E of 69.6 (forward 15.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GOOS?

15 analysts cover GOOS with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subo do?Canada Goose Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells performance luxury...

Canada Goose Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells performance luxury outerwear, apparel, footwear, and accessories for men, women, youth, children, and babies. It operates through three segments: Direct-to-Consumer, Wholesale, and Other. The company offers leisure wear, including knitwear, sweats, and t-shirts; outerwear products, including windwear, jackets, fleece, and vests; footwear and accessories products, such as sneakers, boots, hats, scarves, gloves, hood trims, socks, bags, and eyewear; and lightweight and heavyweight down jackets for the fall, winter, and spring seasons. It sells its products through e-commerce channels and directly operated retail stores. The company offers its products under Canada Goose, Snow Goose, and Baffin brands in Canada, the United States, North America, Greater China, rest of the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. Canada Goose Holdings Inc. was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

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