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GMABGenmab A/SSell5.7·$28.50+3.11%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A high-quality biotech franchise with 25% revenue growth, strong margins, and a risk/reward ratio of approximately 5-to-1 is navigating a phase of technical deterioration — including a death cross and two consecutive earnings misses — that represents a near-term headwind rather than a structural change, provided quality fundamentals remain intact.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Durable MarginsStable
  • Strong Revenue Growth TrajectoryStable
  • Favorable Risk Reward AsymmetryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Genmab A/S (GMAB) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. At $28.50, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Overbought (RSI 81).

Genmab A/S, a biotechnology company, develops antibody-based products and product candidates for the treatment of cancer and other diseases in Denmark. The company markets EPKINLY and TEPKINLY for adult patients with relapsed or refractory (R/R) diffuse large b-cell lymphoma... Read more

$28.50+12.3% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#42 of 258 Biotechnology
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.74%
Stop $26.94Target $32.03(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$36.82+29.2%11 analysts
$32.03our TP
$28.50price
$36.82mean
$42

Sell if holding. At $28.50, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Overbought (RSI 81). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — Genmab A/S

Generated 2026-07-06T04:40:26Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Overbought (RSI 81)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.8
P/E (Fwd)15.6
Mkt Cap$17.5B
EV/EBITDA16.0
Profit Mgn21.0%
ROE15.0%
Rev Growth25.3%
Beta0.69
DividendNone
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.00bearish
IV65%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.6
Gap
5.0
52w Position
6.1
GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
81 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $24.09Resistance $28.78

Price Targets

$27
$32
A.Upside+12.4%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GMAB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $28.50, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Overbought (RSI 81). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $26.94. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GMAB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $32.03 (+12.3% upside). Prior stop was $26.94. Stop-loss: $26.94.

What are the risks of investing in GMAB?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Overbought (RSI 81).

Is GMAB overvalued or undervalued?

Genmab A/S trades at a P/E of 21.8 (forward 15.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GMAB?

25 analysts cover GMAB with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $37.

What does Genmab A/S do?Genmab A/S, a biotechnology company, develops antibody-based products and product candidates for the treatment of...

Genmab A/S, a biotechnology company, develops antibody-based products and product candidates for the treatment of cancer and other diseases in Denmark. The company markets EPKINLY and TEPKINLY for adult patients with relapsed or refractory (R/R) diffuse large b-cell lymphoma (DLBCL), large B-cell lymphoma, and follicular lymphoma (FL); and Tivdak for adult patients with recurrent/metastatic cervical cancer with disease progression on or after chemotherapy. It is also developing Epcoritamab for R/R DLBCL and FL, first line DLBCL and FL, B-cell non-Hodgkin lymphoma, R/R chronic lymphocytic leukemia and Richter's syndrome, and aggressive mature B-cell neoplasms in pediatric patients; tisotumab vedotin for solid tumors; Acasunlimab for solid tumors and non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC); Rinatabart Sesutecan for platinum resistant ovarian cancer and solid tumors; GEN1059, GEN1055, and GEN1057 for solid tumors; and GEN1286 for advanced solid tumors. In addition, the company offers DARZALEX/DARZALEX FASPRO for multiple myeloma (MM) and light-chain Amyloidosis; RYBREVANT for NSCLC; TECVAYLI and TALVEY for R/R MM; Kesimpta for Relapsing multiple sclerosis; and TEPEZZA for thyroid eye disease. Further, it is developing Amivantamab for recurrent/metastatic head and neck cancer, and advanced or metastatic colorectal cancer; Amlenetug for multiple system atrophy; Inclacumab for vaso-occulsive crises in sickle cell diseases; and Mim8 for hemophilia A. The company has a collaboration agreement with AbbVie Inc., Pfizer Inc., BioNTech SE, Johnson & Johnson, Medarex, Inc., Bristol Myers Squibb Corporation, Lundbeck A/S, Amgen Inc., Novo Nordisk A/S, and argenx. Genmab A/S was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Copenhagen, Denmark.

Related stocks: AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · ARGX (argenx SE) · HRMY (Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I) · ALNY (Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · ADMA (ADMA Biologics Inc)
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