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Genmab A/S (GMAB) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $25.68 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Genmab A/S, a biotechnology company, develops antibody-based products and product candidates for the treatment of cancer and other diseases in Denmark. The company markets EPKINLY and TEPKINLY for adult patients with relapsed or refractory (R/R) diffuse large b-cell lymphoma... Read more

$25.68+27.2% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#25 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.13%
Stop $24.58Target $32.66(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.3:1
Analyst target$37.55+46.2%11 analysts
$32.66our TP
$25.68price
$37.55mean
$48

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $25.68 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Genmab A/S

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.8 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
High-quality business
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.0
P/E (Fwd)14.4
Mkt Cap$16.2B
EV/EBITDA4.1
Profit Mgn21.0%
ROE15.0%
Rev Growth25.3%
Beta0.69
DividendNone
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.86bearish
IV50%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
2.4
Vol Acceleration
2.9
Rsi
4.5
Volume
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weaknessVolume surge (2.1x avg) on selloff
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R 4.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $25.34Resistance $28.28

Price Targets

$25
$33
A.Upside+27.2%
A.R:R4.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 3.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GMAB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $25.68 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $24.58. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GMAB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $32.66 (+27.2% upside). Prior stop was $24.58. Stop-loss: $24.58.

What are the risks of investing in GMAB?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is GMAB overvalued or undervalued?

Genmab A/S trades at a P/E of 20.0 (forward 14.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GMAB?

27 analysts cover GMAB with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $38.

What does Genmab A/S do?Genmab A/S, a biotechnology company, develops antibody-based products and product candidates for the treatment of...

Genmab A/S, a biotechnology company, develops antibody-based products and product candidates for the treatment of cancer and other diseases in Denmark. The company markets EPKINLY and TEPKINLY for adult patients with relapsed or refractory (R/R) diffuse large b-cell lymphoma (DLBCL), large B-cell lymphoma, and follicular lymphoma (FL); and Tivdak for adult patients with recurrent/metastatic cervical cancer with disease progression on or after chemotherapy. It is also developing Epcoritamab for R/R DLBCL and FL, first line DLBCL and FL, B-cell non-Hodgkin lymphoma, R/R chronic lymphocytic leukemia and Richter's syndrome, and aggressive mature B-cell neoplasms in pediatric patients; tisotumab vedotin for solid tumors; Acasunlimab for solid tumors and non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC); Rinatabart Sesutecan for platinum resistant ovarian cancer and solid tumors; GEN1059, GEN1055, and GEN1057 for solid tumors; and GEN1286 for advanced solid tumors. In addition, the company offers DARZALEX/DARZALEX FASPRO for multiple myeloma (MM) and light-chain Amyloidosis; RYBREVANT for NSCLC; TECVAYLI and TALVEY for R/R MM; Kesimpta for Relapsing multiple sclerosis; and TEPEZZA for thyroid eye disease. Further, it is developing Amivantamab for recurrent/metastatic head and neck cancer, and advanced or metastatic colorectal cancer; Amlenetug for multiple system atrophy; Inclacumab for vaso-occulsive crises in sickle cell diseases; and Mim8 for hemophilia A. The company has a collaboration agreement with AbbVie Inc., Pfizer Inc., BioNTech SE, Johnson & Johnson, Medarex, Inc., Bristol Myers Squibb Corporation, Lundbeck A/S, Amgen Inc., Novo Nordisk A/S, and argenx. Genmab A/S was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Copenhagen, Denmark.

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