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GMABGenmab A/SSell5.6·$35.32
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A high-quality biotech franchise with 25% revenue growth, strong margins, and a risk/reward ratio of approximately 5-to-1 is navigating a phase of technical deterioration — including a death cross and two consecutive earnings misses — that represents a near-term headwind rather than a structural change, provided quality fundamentals remain intact.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Durable Margins→Stable
  • Strong Revenue Growth Trajectory→Stable
  • Favorable Risk Reward Asymmetry↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Genmab A/S (GMAB) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $35.32 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.0% away).

Genmab A/S, a biotechnology company, develops antibody-based products and product candidates for the treatment of cancer and other diseases in Denmark. The company markets EPKINLY and TEPKINLY for adult patients with relapsed or refractory (R/R) diffuse large b-cell lymphoma... Read more

$35.32-3.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#60 of 258 Biotechnology
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.07%
Stop $33.82Target $40.62(default +15%)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$39.14+10.8%11 analysts
$40.62our TP
$35.32price
$39.14mean
$32
$45

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $35.32 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.0% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25

Recent Developments — Genmab A/S

Generated 2026-09-25T20:57:25Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.8 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.0% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.6
P/E (Fwd)21.9
Mkt Cap$21.4B
EV/EBITDA17.8
Profit Mgn19.1%
ROE14.0%
Rev Growth24.9%
Beta0.70
DividendNone
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C8.67bearish
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$30-15.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
2.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Speculative
RSI
66 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.21Resistance $35.66

Price Targets

$34
$41
A.Upside-3.6%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.6% upside)
! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GMAB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $35.32 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.0% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $33.82. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GMAB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $40.62 (-3.6% upside). Prior stop was $33.82. Stop-loss: $33.82.

What are the risks of investing in GMAB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.0% away); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is GMAB overvalued or undervalued?

Genmab A/S trades at a P/E of 27.6 (forward 21.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GMAB?

27 analysts cover GMAB with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Genmab A/S do?Genmab A/S, a biotechnology company, develops antibody-based products and product candidates for the treatment of...

Genmab A/S, a biotechnology company, develops antibody-based products and product candidates for the treatment of cancer and other diseases in Denmark. The company markets EPKINLY and TEPKINLY for adult patients with relapsed or refractory (R/R) diffuse large b-cell lymphoma (DLBCL), large B-cell lymphoma, and follicular lymphoma (FL); and Tivdak for adult patients with recurrent/metastatic cervical cancer with disease progression on or after chemotherapy. It is also developing Epcoritamab for R/R DLBCL and FL, first line DLBCL and FL, B-cell non-Hodgkin lymphoma, R/R chronic lymphocytic leukemia and Richter's syndrome, and aggressive mature B-cell neoplasms in pediatric patients; tisotumab vedotin for solid tumors; Acasunlimab for solid tumors and non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC); Rinatabart Sesutecan for platinum resistant ovarian cancer and solid tumors; GEN1059, GEN1055, and GEN1057 for solid tumors; and GEN1286 for advanced solid tumors. In addition, the company offers DARZALEX/DARZALEX FASPRO for multiple myeloma (MM) and light-chain Amyloidosis; RYBREVANT for NSCLC; TECVAYLI and TALVEY for R/R MM; Kesimpta for Relapsing multiple sclerosis; and TEPEZZA for thyroid eye disease. Further, it is developing Amivantamab for recurrent/metastatic head and neck cancer, and advanced or metastatic colorectal cancer; Amlenetug for multiple system atrophy; Inclacumab for vaso-occulsive crises in sickle cell diseases; and Mim8 for hemophilia A. The company has a collaboration agreement with AbbVie Inc., Pfizer Inc., BioNTech SE, Johnson & Johnson, Medarex, Inc., Bristol Myers Squibb Corporation, Lundbeck A/S, Amgen Inc., Novo Nordisk A/S, and argenx. Genmab A/S was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Copenhagen, Denmark.

Related stocks: HRMY (Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I) · ASND (Ascendis Pharma A/S) · AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · ARGX (argenx SE) · ALNY (Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.)
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