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GMABGenmab A/SSell5.4·$33.60-2.35%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A high-quality biotech franchise with 25% revenue growth, strong margins, and a risk/reward ratio of approximately 5-to-1 is navigating a phase of technical deterioration — including a death cross and two consecutive earnings misses — that represents a near-term headwind rather than a structural change, provided quality fundamentals remain intact.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Durable MarginsStable
  • Strong Revenue Growth TrajectoryStable
  • Favorable Risk Reward AsymmetryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Genmab A/S (GMAB) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.60 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Genmab A/S, a biotechnology company, develops antibody-based products and product candidates for the treatment of cancer and other diseases in Denmark. The company markets EPKINLY and TEPKINLY for adult patients with relapsed or refractory (R/R) diffuse large b-cell lymphoma... Read more

$33.60+0.6% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#107 of 259 Biotechnology
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.22%
Stop $31.92Target $33.79(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$38.84+15.6%11 analysts
$33.79our TP
$33.60price
$38.84mean
$32
$43

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.60 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05

Recent Developments — Genmab A/S

Generated 2026-09-05T17:17:00Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.8 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.1
P/E (Fwd)21.1
Mkt Cap$20.7B
EV/EBITDA17.3
Profit Mgn19.1%
ROE14.0%
Rev Growth24.9%
Beta0.70
DividendNone
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.75bearish
IV49%normal
Max Pain$25-25.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $30.52Resistance $34.66

Price Targets

$32
$34
A.Upside+0.6%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.6% upside)
! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GMAB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.60 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $31.92. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GMAB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.79 (+0.6% upside). Prior stop was $31.92. Stop-loss: $31.92.

What are the risks of investing in GMAB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is GMAB overvalued or undervalued?

Genmab A/S trades at a P/E of 27.1 (forward 21.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GMAB?

27 analysts cover GMAB with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Genmab A/S do?Genmab A/S, a biotechnology company, develops antibody-based products and product candidates for the treatment of...

Genmab A/S, a biotechnology company, develops antibody-based products and product candidates for the treatment of cancer and other diseases in Denmark. The company markets EPKINLY and TEPKINLY for adult patients with relapsed or refractory (R/R) diffuse large b-cell lymphoma (DLBCL), large B-cell lymphoma, and follicular lymphoma (FL); and Tivdak for adult patients with recurrent/metastatic cervical cancer with disease progression on or after chemotherapy. It is also developing Epcoritamab for R/R DLBCL and FL, first line DLBCL and FL, B-cell non-Hodgkin lymphoma, R/R chronic lymphocytic leukemia and Richter's syndrome, and aggressive mature B-cell neoplasms in pediatric patients; tisotumab vedotin for solid tumors; Acasunlimab for solid tumors and non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC); Rinatabart Sesutecan for platinum resistant ovarian cancer and solid tumors; GEN1059, GEN1055, and GEN1057 for solid tumors; and GEN1286 for advanced solid tumors. In addition, the company offers DARZALEX/DARZALEX FASPRO for multiple myeloma (MM) and light-chain Amyloidosis; RYBREVANT for NSCLC; TECVAYLI and TALVEY for R/R MM; Kesimpta for Relapsing multiple sclerosis; and TEPEZZA for thyroid eye disease. Further, it is developing Amivantamab for recurrent/metastatic head and neck cancer, and advanced or metastatic colorectal cancer; Amlenetug for multiple system atrophy; Inclacumab for vaso-occulsive crises in sickle cell diseases; and Mim8 for hemophilia A. The company has a collaboration agreement with AbbVie Inc., Pfizer Inc., BioNTech SE, Johnson & Johnson, Medarex, Inc., Bristol Myers Squibb Corporation, Lundbeck A/S, Amgen Inc., Novo Nordisk A/S, and argenx. Genmab A/S was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Copenhagen, Denmark.

Related stocks: HRMY (Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I) · AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · ASND (Ascendis Pharma A/S) · INCY (Incyte Corporation) · ADMA (ADMA Biologics Inc)
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