Graco Inc. (GGG) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
Sell if holding. At $75.67, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.8%; Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas sales (60.0%).
Graco is a global manufacturer of fluid handling equipment — pumps, meters, valves, and spray equipment — used in industrial, construction, automotive, and process markets. It earns revenue through proprietary equipment sales and aftermarket parts in the Americas, EMEA, and Asia... Read more
Sell if holding. At $75.67, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.8%; Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas sales (60.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Graco Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Graco Inc. (GGG) Misses Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS Graco (NYSE:GGG) Misses Q1 CY2026 Revenue Estimates, Stock Drops - StockStory — StockStory negative
- NEWS Graco (NYSE:GGG) Misses Q1 CY2026 Revenue Estimates, Stock Drops - FinancialContent — FinancialContent negative
- NEWS Graco (NYSE:GGG) Issues Earnings Results, Misses Expectations By $0.08 EPS - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
- NEWS Graco shares slide after quarterly misses, underlying weakness (GGG:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha negative
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicAmericas sales60%10-K Item 1A: 'sales in the Americas represented approximately 60 percent of our Company's total sales'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-02Item 5.02MEDIUMGraco announced the retirement of CFO Mark W. Lowe and the appointment of Anuj Gupta as Senior Vice President and CFO, effective March 2, 2026.SEC filing →
- 2026-02-13Item 5.02LOWGraco director Jack W. Carter submitted his resignation from the Board of Directors, effective February 13, 2026.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $75.67, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.8%; Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas sales (60.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Prior stop was $72.89. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $80.04 (+5.8% upside). Prior stop was $72.89. Stop-loss: $72.89.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas sales (60.0%); Thin upside margin: 5.8%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0.
Graco Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.4 (forward 22.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
16 analysts cover GGG with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $92.
What does Graco Inc. do?Graco is a global manufacturer of fluid handling equipment — pumps, meters, valves, and spray equipment — used in...
Graco is a global manufacturer of fluid handling equipment — pumps, meters, valves, and spray equipment — used in industrial, construction, automotive, and process markets. It earns revenue through proprietary equipment sales and aftermarket parts in the Americas, EMEA, and Asia Pacific regions.