Graco Inc. (GGG) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup · Temp Headwind edge
Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
Sell if holding. At $76.17, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.1%; Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas sales (60.0%).
Graco is a global manufacturer of fluid handling equipment — pumps, meters, valves, and spray equipment — used in industrial, construction, automotive, and process markets. It earns revenue through proprietary equipment sales and aftermarket parts in the Americas, EMEA, and Asia... Read more
Sell if holding. At $76.17, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.1%; Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas sales (60.0%). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 32, MACD bearish. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — Graco Inc.
Latest news
- Graco Inc. (GGG) Misses Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- Graco (NYSE:GGG) Misses Q1 CY2026 Revenue Estimates, Stock Drops - StockStory — StockStory negative
- Graco (NYSE:GGG) Misses Q1 CY2026 Revenue Estimates, Stock Drops - FinancialContent — FinancialContent negative
- Graco (NYSE:GGG) Issues Earnings Results, Misses Expectations By $0.08 EPS - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
- Graco shares slide after quarterly misses, underlying weakness (GGG:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha negative
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicAmericas sales60%10-K Item 1A: 'sales in the Americas represented approximately 60 percent of our Company's total sales'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-02Item 5.02MEDIUMGraco announced the retirement of CFO Mark W. Lowe and the appointment of Anuj Gupta as Senior Vice President and CFO, effective March 2, 2026.SEC filing →
- 2026-02-13Item 5.02LOWGraco director Jack W. Carter submitted his resignation from the Board of Directors, effective February 13, 2026.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $76.17, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.1%; Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas sales (60.0%). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 32, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $73.31. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $80.04 (+5.1% upside). Prior stop was $73.31. Stop-loss: $73.31.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas sales (60.0%); Thin upside margin: 5.1%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Graco Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.9 (forward 22.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
16 analysts cover GGG with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $92.
What does Graco Inc. do?Graco is a global manufacturer of fluid handling equipment — pumps, meters, valves, and spray equipment — used in...
Graco is a global manufacturer of fluid handling equipment — pumps, meters, valves, and spray equipment — used in industrial, construction, automotive, and process markets. It earns revenue through proprietary equipment sales and aftermarket parts in the Americas, EMEA, and Asia Pacific regions.