Greenfire Resources is a deep-value E&P name at 8.6x forward P/E, undercut by cash burn, a 4-quarter earnings miss streak, and a failed momentum gate, with quality scoring far below the engine's 4.0 floor.
Thesis pillars
- Cash Burning And Declining Revenue→Stable
- Perfect Earnings Miss Streak→Stable
- Momentum Gate Failure Blocks Entry→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.57: Quality below floor (1.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Greenfire Resources Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and operation of oil and gas properties in the Athabasca oil sands region of Alberta, Canada. The company's principal asset includes the Hangingstone Facilities which consist of... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.57: Quality below floor (1.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
5 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Revenue shrinking — -19.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.57: Quality below floor (1.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $5.18. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $5.82 (+4.5% upside). Prior stop was $5.18. Stop-loss: $5.18.
Quality below floor (1.1 < 4.0).
Greenfire Resources Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 8.6). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts cover GFR with a consensus score of 2.3/5.
What does Greenfire Resources Ltd. do?Greenfire Resources Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and operation of oil...
Greenfire Resources Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and operation of oil and gas properties in the Athabasca oil sands region of Alberta, Canada. The company's principal asset includes the Hangingstone Facilities which consist of the Expansion Asset and the Demo Asset located in south of Fort McMurray, Alberta. Greenfire Resources Ltd. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.