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GFIGold Fields LimitedBuy Wait7.2·$35.46+5.13%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Gold Fields is a high-quality franchise with a wide economic moat, 71% year-over-year growth, and an attractive forward valuation near 7 times earnings, though an extreme put/call ratio and a pullback below the 200-day moving average suggest elevated near-term uncertainty.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Earnings GrowthStable
  • Attractive Forward ValuationStable
  • High Quality Wide Moat FranchiseStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Gold Fields Limited (GFI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $37.79 but a supporting gate (fundamentals / technicals) still blocks BUY_NOW.

Gold Fields Limited operates as a gold producer with reserves and resources in South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru, Canada, and Chile. It also explores for gold, copper and silver deposits. Gold Fields Limited was founded in 1887 and is based in Sandton, South Africa.

$35.46+46.6% A.UpsideScore 7.2/10#3 of 41 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield8.03%
IncomeYield6.54%(5y avg 2.87%)Payout20.00%sustainable
Entry $37.79(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $34.03Target $49.40(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$56.78+60.1%8 analysts
$49.40our TP
$35.46price
$56.78mean
$75

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $37.79 but a supporting gate (fundamentals / technicals) still blocks BUY_NOW. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. V9 Gate blocked: SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Score 7.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on sector concentration cap sector=basic materials count=3 cap=3. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 25, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong overall score: 7.2/10
High-quality business
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.0
P/E (Fwd)6.3
Mkt Cap$31.7B
EV/EBITDA12.6
Profit Mgn40.8%
ROE51.9%
Rev Growth71.4%
Beta0.52
Dividend6.54%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.45bullish
IV182%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 ceiling hits

GatesSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Basic Materials count=3 cap=3Momentum 5.6>=5.5A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $31.35Resistance $41.27

Price Targets

$34
$38
$49
A.Upside+39.3%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %2%
Max %3.9%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3
! SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-25 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GFI stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $37.79 but a supporting gate (fundamentals / technicals) still blocks BUY_NOW. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. V9 Gate blocked: SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Target $49.40 (+39.3%), stop $34.03 (−4.2%), A.R:R 3.4:1. Score 7.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GFI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.40 (+46.6% upside). Target $49.40 (+39.3%), stop $34.03 (−4.2%), A.R:R 3.4:1. Stop-loss: $34.03.

Is GFI overvalued or undervalued?

Gold Fields Limited trades at a P/E of 9.0 (forward 6.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about GFI?

14 analysts cover GFI with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $57.

What does Gold Fields Limited do?Gold Fields Limited operates as a gold producer with reserves and resources in South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru,...

Gold Fields Limited operates as a gold producer with reserves and resources in South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru, Canada, and Chile. It also explores for gold, copper and silver deposits. Gold Fields Limited was founded in 1887 and is based in Sandton, South Africa.

Related stocks: ORLA (Orla Mining Ltd.) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · OGC (OceanaGold Corporation) · AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines Limited) · CGAU (Centerra Gold Inc.)
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