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GEVGE Vernova Inc.Hold5.6·$1119.00-1.35%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

GE Vernova's wide economic moat and best-in-class margins underpin a pattern of dramatically exceeding earnings expectations, but a forward multiple near 40 times and significant geographic and supplier concentration cap the risk/reward at current price levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Geographic Supplier Concentration RiskStable
  • Wide Moat Best In Class MarginsStable
  • Earnings Beat Streak Outsized SurprisesStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

GE Vernova Inc. (GEV) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1119.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: semiconductor chips and critical materials; Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. Onshore Wind RPO (60.0%).

GE Vernova manufactures and services power generation and grid equipment through three segments — Power, Wind, and Electrification — with an installed base generating approximately 25% of the world's electricity. Spun off from General Electric on April 2, 2024, the company... Read more

$1119.00+0.2% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#18 of 58 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield3.11%
IncomeYield0.18%Payout5.11%sustainable
Stop $1035.19Target $1115.35(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$1212.33+8.3%34 analysts
$1115.35our TP
$1119.00price
$1212.33mean
$836
$1424

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1119.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: semiconductor chips and critical materials; Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. Onshore Wind RPO (60.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 18d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202618d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive momentum
Wide economic moat
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: semiconductor chips and critical materials
Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. Onshore Wind RPO (60.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.6
P/E (Fwd)45.4
Mkt Cap$299.1B
EV/EBITDA86.2
Profit Mgn23.8%
ROE75.7%
Rev Growth16.3%
Beta0.94
Dividend0.18%
Rating analysts41

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.29bearish
IV81%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersemiconductor chips and critical materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'Certain inputs are limited or sole-sourced...including semiconductor chips and critical materials (such as specialty metals and rare earths).'
  • HIGHGeographicU.S. Onshore Wind RPO60%
    10-K Item 1: 'The U.S. market currently represents approximately 60% of Onshore Wind's equipment RPO.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 18d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $855.57Resistance $1178.20

Price Targets

$1035
$1115
A.Upside-0.3%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.2% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (18d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GEV stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1119.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: semiconductor chips and critical materials; Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. Onshore Wind RPO (60.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $1115.35 (-0.3%), stop $1035.19 (−8.1%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GEV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1115.35 (+0.2% upside). Target $1115.35 (-0.3%), stop $1035.19 (−8.1%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $1035.19.

What are the risks of investing in GEV?

Concentration risk — Supplier: semiconductor chips and critical materials; Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. Onshore Wind RPO (60.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is GEV overvalued or undervalued?

GE Vernova Inc. trades at a P/E of 32.6 (forward 45.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GEV?

41 analysts cover GEV with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $1212.

What does GE Vernova Inc. do?GE Vernova manufactures and services power generation and grid equipment through three segments — Power, Wind, and...

GE Vernova manufactures and services power generation and grid equipment through three segments — Power, Wind, and Electrification — with an installed base generating approximately 25% of the world's electricity. Spun off from General Electric on April 2, 2024, the company employs approximately 75,000 people globally and held approximately $94.4 billion in remaining performance obligations as of December 31, 2025.

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