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PHParker-Hannifin CorporationHold5.7·$995.02-1.60%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Parker-Hannifin has delivered four consecutive earnings beats averaging 7.2% above estimates with a wide economic moat and operating margins of 17%, but the stock is richly valued at a forward P/E of 26.9x and trades at its analyst price target leaving little near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Margin LeadershipStable
  • Four Quarter Earnings ExcellenceDeteriorating
  • Rich Valuation Limited UpsideStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH) Stock Analysis

HoldQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $995.02, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 5.0%.

Parker-Hannifin designs, manufactures, and supports motion and control technology solutions for aerospace & defense, industrial equipment, transportation, off-highway, energy, and HVAC & refrigeration markets in 44 countries. Its two segments — Diversified Industrial (67% of... Read more

$995.02+5.0% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#15 of 57 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.32%
IncomeYield0.77%(5y avg 1.22%)Payout25.98%sustainable
Stop $952.32Target $1044.86(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$1160.95+16.7%23 analysts
$1044.86our TP
$995.02price
$1160.95mean
$680
$1358

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $995.02, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 5.0%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 68d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Parker-Hannifin Corporation

About Parker-Hannifin Corporation

Parker-Hannifin generated $21.5 billion in net sales for fiscal 2026, with the Diversified Industrial segment contributing 67% and Aerospace Systems the remaining 33%. Backlog stood at $12.8 billion as of June 30, 2026, up from $11.0 billion a year earlier, with about 70% scheduled for delivery within the next twelve months. Sales from locations outside the United States held steady near 36% for the third consecutive year, and the company employed approximately 59,850 people, over half at foreign subsidiaries.

Parker-Hannifin sells highly engineered, differentiated products to original equipment manufacturers and to distributors serving the aftermarket replacement market, with the Diversified Industrial segment reaching customers through field sales employees and independent distributors worldwide and the Aerospace Systems segment selling directly to OEMs and end users through regional sales organizations for both original-equipment and aftermarket repair business on commercial and defense aircraft programs. No single product accounted for more than 1% of net sales in fiscal 2026, reflecting a base of hundreds of thousands of individual part numbers. Primary raw materials include steel, brass, copper, aluminum, nickel, rubber, and thermoplastics, which the company says are available from numerous sources, alongside electric power as its main energy input, managed partly through aggregated deregulated-market contracts. In Diversified Industrial, named competitors include Bosch Rexroth, Danaher, Danfoss, Emerson/ASCO, and SMC Corporation; in Aerospace Systems, named competitors include Honeywell Aerospace, Moog, RTX, and Woodward.

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One risk the filing quantifies with more precision than most peers: Parker-Hannifin discloses it relies on a limited number of suppliers for certain critical components — specialty electronics, rare earths, specialty chemicals, aerospace super alloys, and filtration media — and states that recent and planned acquisitions may increase its exposure to supply concentration risk rather than diversify it away. Because pricing on many contracts, including fixed-price aerospace programs, cannot always pass through raw-material cost increases to customers, a disruption at one of these limited suppliers could force a search for costlier alternatives while the company absorbs cost increases it cannot reprice.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

From Parker-Hannifin Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted August 23, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202668d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.0%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.5
P/E (Fwd)25.8
Mkt Cap$127.5B
EV/EBITDA24.0
Profit Mgn17.0%
ROE25.1%
Rev Growth9.8%
Beta1.13
Dividend0.77%
Rating analysts34

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.47bearish
IV31%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicoutside the United States36%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our net sales attributable to selling locations outside of the United States were approximately 36% in each of 2026, 2025 and 2024.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierspecialty electronics, rare earths, aerospace super alloys
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on a limited number of suppliers for certain critical components, such as specialty electronics, rare earths, specialty chemicals, aerospace super alloys and filtration media'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 68d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
30 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $972.49Resistance $1099.94

Price Targets

$952
$1045
A.Upside+5.0%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (68d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PH stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $995.02, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 5.0%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $1044.86 (+5.0%), stop $952.32 (−4.5%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1044.86 (+5.0% upside). Target $1044.86 (+5.0%), stop $952.32 (−4.5%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Stop-loss: $952.32.

What are the risks of investing in PH?

Thin upside margin: 5.0%.

Is PH overvalued or undervalued?

Parker-Hannifin Corporation trades at a P/E of 36.5 (forward 25.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PH?

34 analysts cover PH with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $1161.

What does Parker-Hannifin Corporation do?Parker-Hannifin designs, manufactures, and supports motion and control technology solutions for aerospace & defense,...

Parker-Hannifin designs, manufactures, and supports motion and control technology solutions for aerospace & defense, industrial equipment, transportation, off-highway, energy, and HVAC & refrigeration markets in 44 countries. Its two segments — Diversified Industrial (67% of FY2026's $21.5 billion net sales) and Aerospace Systems (33%) — sell via field sales, distributors, and direct OEM ties, with about 59,850 employees.

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