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PHParker-Hannifin CorporationHold5.9·$1073.87+0.38%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Parker-Hannifin has delivered four consecutive earnings beats averaging 7.2% above estimates with a wide economic moat and operating margins of 17%, but the stock is richly valued at a forward P/E of 26.9x and trades at its analyst price target leaving little near-term upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Margin LeadershipImproving
  • Four Quarter Earnings ExcellenceImproving
  • Rich Valuation Limited UpsideDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH) Stock Analysis

HoldQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1073.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away).

Corporation was incorporated in Ohio in 1938. As used in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, unless the context otherwise requires, the terms "Company", "Parker", "we" or "us" refer to Parker-Hannifin Corporation and its subsidiaries, and the term "year" and references to specific... Read more

$1073.87-9.9% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#21 of 56 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.05%
IncomeYield0.75%(5y avg 1.22%)Payout25.98%sustainable
Stop $1013.41Target $1234.95(default +15%)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$1075.17+0.1%23 analysts
$1234.95our TP
$1073.87price
$1075.17mean
$680
$1358

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1073.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, news boost analyst cluster(4), earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-08
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202688d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive momentum
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.4% away)
Euphoria warning: extreme positivity (+0.83) + overbought RSI 79

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.6
P/E (Fwd)28.4
Mkt Cap$135.4B
EV/EBITDA25.7
Profit Mgn17.0%
ROE25.1%
Rev Growth9.8%
Beta
Dividend0.75%
Rating analysts34

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.19bearish
IV49%normal
Max Pain$1380+28.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Peg Ratio
3.2
Pe
3.3
Analyst Target
4.0
Forward Pe
4.3
Ps
6.0
Forward P/E: 28.4xPEG: 3.88

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.6
52w Position
9.5
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(4)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
79 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $934.38Resistance $1099.94

Price Targets

$1013
$1235
A.Upside-9.9%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PH stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1073.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $1234.95 (+15.0%), stop $1013.41 (−6.0%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1234.95 (-9.9% upside). Target $1234.95 (+15.0%), stop $1013.41 (−6.0%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $1013.41.

What are the risks of investing in PH?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away); Euphoria warning: extreme positivity (+0.83) + overbought RSI 79.

Is PH overvalued or undervalued?

Parker-Hannifin Corporation trades at a P/E of 37.6 (forward 28.4). TrendMatrix value score: 3.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PH?

34 analysts cover PH with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $1075.

What does Parker-Hannifin Corporation do?Corporation was incorporated in Ohio in 1938. As used in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, unless the context otherwise...

Corporation was incorporated in Ohio in 1938. As used in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, unless the context otherwise requires, the terms "Company", "Parker", "we" or "us" refer to Parker-Hannifin Corporation and its subsidiaries, and the term "year" and references to specific years refer to the applicable fiscal year.

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