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Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $852.56 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 9.1%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Corporation was incorporated in Ohio in 1938. As used in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, unless the context otherwise requires, the terms "Company", "Parker", "we" or "us" refer to Parker-Hannifin Corporation and its subsidiaries, and the term "year" and references to specific... Read more

$852.56+9.1% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#35 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.58%
IncomeYield0.94%(5y avg 1.24%)Payout26.57%sustainable
Stop $813.98Target $930.38(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$1033.75+21.3%24 analysts
$930.38our TP
$852.56price
$1033.75mean
$680
$1147

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $852.56 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 9.1%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Parker-Hannifin Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Wide economic moat
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.1%
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Weak overall score: 5.0/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.4
P/E (Fwd)25.0
Mkt Cap$107.5B
EV/EBITDA21.3
Profit Mgn16.6%
ROE24.8%
Rev Growth10.6%
Beta1.18
Dividend0.94%
Rating analysts35

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.74neutral
IV34%normal
Max Pain$700-17.9% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-17Item 5.02MEDIUM
    PARKER-HANNIFIN CORPORATION | | | | | | | By: | | /s/ Joseph R. Leonti | | | | | | Joseph R. Leonti | | | | | | Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary | | | Date: March 17, 2026 | | | | | |
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.1
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 24, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+4.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.2
Revenue Growth
5.2
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
24 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $839.15Resistance $983.04

Price Targets

$814
$930
A.Upside+9.1%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $852.56 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 9.1%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $813.98. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $930.38 (+9.1% upside). Prior stop was $813.98. Stop-loss: $813.98.

What are the risks of investing in PH?

Thin upside margin: 9.1%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak overall score: 5.0/10.

Is PH overvalued or undervalued?

Parker-Hannifin Corporation trades at a P/E of 31.4 (forward 25.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PH?

35 analysts cover PH with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $1034.

What does Parker-Hannifin Corporation do?Corporation was incorporated in Ohio in 1938. As used in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, unless the context otherwise...

Corporation was incorporated in Ohio in 1938. As used in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, unless the context otherwise requires, the terms "Company", "Parker", "we" or "us" refer to Parker-Hannifin Corporation and its subsidiaries, and the term "year" and references to specific years refer to the applicable fiscal year.

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