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XYLXylem Inc.Sell5.2·$111.47+1.27%
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Xylem Inc. (XYL) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $111.47: Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (58.0%).

Xylem is a global water technology company with $9.0B revenue in 2025 and approximately 22,000 employees, designing and servicing products across Water Infrastructure, Applied Water, Measurement and Control Solutions, and Water Solutions and Services segments. The U.S. accounted... Read more

$111.47+21.5% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#32 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.67%
IncomeYield1.56%(5y avg 1.16%)Payout40.55%sustainable
Stop $106.79Target $135.58(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.6:1
Analyst target$150.65+35.1%17 analysts
$135.58our TP
$111.47price
$150.65mean
$183

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $111.47: Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (58.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 53. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Xylem Inc.

About Xylem Inc.

Xylem Inc. posted $9.0 billion in 2025 revenues, with 58% from U.S. customers and 20% from Western Europe, serving utilities, industrial facilities, and municipalities in approximately 150 countries with approximately 22,000 employees. The company's four segments — Water Infrastructure ($2.636 billion), Applied Water ($1.849 billion), Measurement and Control Solutions ($2.086 billion), and Water Solutions and Services ($2.464 billion) — address water transport, treatment, metering, and outsourced services. Total backlog was $4,615 million at December 31, 2025, with approximately 60% expected to convert to revenue in 2026.

Xylem generates revenue through equipment sales, long-term service contracts, rental, and software subscriptions. Water Infrastructure sells water and wastewater pumps and filtration and disinfection equipment under the Flygt, Wallace & Tiernan, and Wedeco brands to utility and industrial customers through direct and indirect channels. Applied Water addresses building solutions and industrial water markets under the Bell & Gossett and Goulds Water Technology brands, primarily through independent distributors. Measurement and Control Solutions earns revenue from smart meters under the Sensus brand, analytical instruments under WTW and YSI, and cloud-based analytics through Xylem Vue; the North America smart metering sector is described in the 10-K as the fastest growing sector of the global meter industry. Water Solutions and Services provides outsourced water and wastewater treatment, mobile dewatering rental under the Godwin brand, and emergency response services across industrial and municipal customers.

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Supply chain exposure is a named risk: the 10-K discloses that certain key components are available only from sole- or single-source suppliers or a limited group of suppliers, and identifies significant direct and indirect suppliers in China, Taiwan, Mexico, and Europe. The filing specifically states that geopolitical changes in China-Taiwan relations could disrupt supplies of semiconductors, lithium batteries, carbide seals, and rare earth elements, which could adversely affect manufacturing of digitally-enabled products including pumps, controllers, and smart meters. Parts, components, and raw materials in use include motors, castings, PCBs, electronic components, semiconductors, rare earth minerals, steel, copper, and aluminum — all subject to pricing volatility from tariffs and geopolitical events.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

From Xylem Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Analyst upside: 22%
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (58.0%)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.4
P/E (Fwd)18.1
Mkt Cap$26.2B
EV/EBITDA14.5
Profit Mgn10.8%
ROE8.7%
Rev Growth2.7%
Beta1.04
Dividend1.56%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C36.04bearish
IV57%elevated
Max Pain$75-32.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States58%
    10-K Item 1: 'United States| $| 5,209 | | | 58 | %|'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.8
Support Resistance
1.3
52w Position
4.6
Gap
5.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.7
Quality Rank
4.1
Value Rank
6.4
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.7>=5.5A.R:R 3.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $104.88Resistance $112.52

Price Targets

$107
$136
A.Upside+21.6%
A.R:R3.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts28
Consensus3.9/5
Avg Target$151

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is XYL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $111.47: Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (58.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 53. Prior stop was $106.79. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the XYL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $135.58 (+21.5% upside). Prior stop was $106.79. Stop-loss: $106.79.

What are the risks of investing in XYL?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (58.0%); Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is XYL overvalued or undervalued?

Xylem Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.4 (forward 18.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about XYL?

28 analysts cover XYL with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $151.

What does Xylem Inc. do?Xylem is a global water technology company with $9.0B revenue in 2025 and approximately 22,000 employees, designing and...

Xylem is a global water technology company with $9.0B revenue in 2025 and approximately 22,000 employees, designing and servicing products across Water Infrastructure, Applied Water, Measurement and Control Solutions, and Water Solutions and Services segments. The U.S. accounted for 58% of 2025 revenue; no individual customer exceeded 5% of consolidated revenues.

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