Skip to main content

Xylem Inc. (XYL) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $108.30 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (58.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Xylem is a global water technology company with $9.0B revenue in 2025 and approximately 22,000 employees, designing and servicing products across Water Infrastructure, Applied Water, Measurement and Control Solutions, and Water Solutions and Services segments. The U.S. accounted... Read more

$108.30+25.2% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#27 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.73%
IncomeYield1.59%(5y avg 1.15%)Payout40.55%sustainable
Stop $104.55Target $135.58(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.9:1
Analyst target$150.65+39.1%17 analysts
$135.58our TP
$108.30price
$150.65mean
$183

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $108.30 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (58.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 30, MACD bearish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Xylem Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Analyst upside: 25%
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (58.0%)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.9
P/E (Fwd)17.8
Mkt Cap$25.7B
EV/EBITDA14.3
Profit Mgn10.8%
ROE8.7%
Rev Growth2.7%
Beta1.08
Dividend1.59%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.12bullish
IV36%normal
Max Pain$75-30.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States58%
    10-K Item 1: 'United States| $| 5,209 | | | 58 | %|'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
3.4
Obv
5.6
Capitulation risk (RSI 30, below 200MA)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.7
Quality Rank
3.9
Value Rank
6.1
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 4.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
30 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $107.78Resistance $125.01

Price Targets

$105
$136
A.Upside+25.2%
A.R:R4.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is XYL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $108.30 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (58.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 30, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $104.55. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the XYL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $135.58 (+25.2% upside). Prior stop was $104.55. Stop-loss: $104.55.

What are the risks of investing in XYL?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (58.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is XYL overvalued or undervalued?

Xylem Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.9 (forward 17.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about XYL?

28 analysts cover XYL with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $151.

What does Xylem Inc. do?Xylem is a global water technology company with $9.0B revenue in 2025 and approximately 22,000 employees, designing and...

Xylem is a global water technology company with $9.0B revenue in 2025 and approximately 22,000 employees, designing and servicing products across Water Infrastructure, Applied Water, Measurement and Control Solutions, and Water Solutions and Services segments. The U.S. accounted for 58% of 2025 revenue; no individual customer exceeded 5% of consolidated revenues.

Related stocks: WTS (Watts Water Technologies, Inc.) · MIDD (The Middleby Corporation) · BW (Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, I) · OTIS (Otis Worldwide Corporation) · MWA (MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS)