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FULH. B. Fuller CompanyBuy Wait6.4·$55.98+0.50%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

H.B. Fuller has beaten earnings estimates in four consecutive quarters with estimates trending upward and a forward valuation that screens attractively at 12.5 times forward earnings with a PEG of 0.21, but revenue is declining at roughly 2% year-over-year, the stock has reached its near-term technical resistance target, and earnings due in 8 days introduce immediate event risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Consistent Beats Near Term CatalystStable
  • Screens Attractively On ValuationStable
  • Revenue Decline HeadwindStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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H. B. Fuller Company (FUL) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Wait for pullback to $52.83. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $55.98. Engine's entry $52.83 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States net revenue (56.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

H.B. Fuller formulates, manufactures, and sells adhesives, sealants, and specialty chemical products across 34 countries through three segments: Hygiene Health and Consumable Adhesives, Engineering Adhesives, and Building Adhesive Solutions. The company generated approximately... Read more

$55.98+14.0% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#5 of 41 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.32%
IncomeYield1.76%(5y avg 1.20%)Payout28.19%sustainable
Entry $52.83(support + ATR (held))Stop $49.70Target $63.76(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$73.29+30.9%7 analysts
$63.76our TP
$55.98price
$73.29mean
$80

Wait for pullback to $52.83. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $55.98. Engine's entry $52.83 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States net revenue (56.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 43. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Sep 23, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States net revenue (56.0%)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.5
P/E (Fwd)10.5
Mkt Cap$3.0B
EV/EBITDA8.4
Profit Mgn5.3%
ROE9.4%
Rev Growth5.8%
Beta0.97
Dividend1.76%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C2.82bearish
IV40%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicoutside United States net revenue56%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 56 percent, or $2.0 billion, of our net revenue was generated outside the United States in 2025'
  • MEDIUMCommoditypetroleum/natural gas-based raw materials
    10-K Item 1: 'The majority of our raw materials are petroleum/natural gas-based derivatives'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $54.66Resistance $63.00

Price Targets

$50
$53
$64
A.Upside+14.0%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 4.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-23 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FUL stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $52.83. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $55.98. Engine's entry $52.83 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States net revenue (56.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 43. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $63.76 (+13.9%), stop $49.70 (−12.6%), A.R:R 2.5:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FUL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $63.76 (+14.0% upside). Target $63.76 (+13.9%), stop $49.70 (−12.6%), A.R:R 2.5:1. Stop-loss: $49.70.

What are the risks of investing in FUL?

Concentration risk — Geographic: outside United States net revenue (56.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5; Below 200-day MA.

Is FUL overvalued or undervalued?

H. B. Fuller Company trades at a P/E of 16.5 (forward 10.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about FUL?

11 analysts cover FUL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $73.

What does H. B. Fuller Company do?H.B. Fuller formulates, manufactures, and sells adhesives, sealants, and specialty chemical products across 34...

H.B. Fuller formulates, manufactures, and sells adhesives, sealants, and specialty chemical products across 34 countries through three segments: Hygiene Health and Consumable Adhesives, Engineering Adhesives, and Building Adhesive Solutions. The company generated approximately $2.0 billion of net revenue internationally in fiscal 2025 (56% of consolidated total), with approximately 7,100 employees in 44 countries; no single customer accounts for more than 10% of consolidated net revenue.

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