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FORTYFormula Systems (1985) Ltd.Sell6.0·$106.80+4.70%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Attractive valuation metrics and best-in-class margins present a compelling long-term case, but a confirmed negative price trend, three consecutive earnings misses, and a dividend payout of 211% of earnings raise near-term concerns that need to resolve before the value case can be acted on.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Low PegStable
  • Strong Margins Best In ClassStable
  • Negative Momentum Confirmed DowntrendStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Formula Systems (1985) Ltd. (FORTY) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Information Technology Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $106.80 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum.

Formula Systems (1985) Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates as an information technology company in Israel and internationally. The company offers software consulting services; IT solutions and software systems; proprietary software solutions; and IT professional services,... Read more

$106.80+26.6% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#7 of 46 Information Technology Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.32%(5y avg 1.47%)Payout65.27%
Stop $103.20Target $135.48(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $106.80 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 48d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 20, 202648d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.2
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA5.2
Profit Mgn22.7%
ROE8.7%
Rev Growth19.2%
Beta0.16
Dividend2.32%
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·3 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 232.0%
GatesMomentum 1.6<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 48d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $102.01Resistance $138.25

Price Targets

$103
$135
A.Upside+26.9%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 1.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-20 (48d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FORTY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $106.80 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $103.20. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FORTY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $135.48 (+26.6% upside). Prior stop was $103.20. Stop-loss: $103.20.

What are the risks of investing in FORTY?

Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum.

Is FORTY overvalued or undervalued?

Formula Systems (1985) Ltd. trades at a P/E of 28.2 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

0
What does Formula Systems (1985) Ltd. do?Formula Systems (1985) Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates as an information technology company in Israel and...

Formula Systems (1985) Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates as an information technology company in Israel and internationally. The company offers software consulting services; IT solutions and software systems; proprietary software solutions; and IT professional services, including implementation and integration projects of computing and software, outsourcing, software project management and development, IT managed services, operation of a network of training and instruction centers, sale of software and hardware products, and software testing and QA. It also provides cloud and computing infrastructure; packaged software solutions, such as Clicks for medical record information management systems, Hermes Cargo for managing air cargo ground handling, HR Pulse for the creation of HCM solutions, MBS solution for managing TV broadcast channels, Nativ for managing rehabilitation centers, and Mobisale for consumer goods sale and distribution; and product-related services comprising maintenance, customer support, and training. In addition, the company offers software solutions and services for payroll processing, pension administration, workforce management, and human resources, as well as financial processes, accounting workflows, and business operations; employees to vendor management systems workforce management program accounts; and digital advertising and e-commerce platforms, as well as digital services, which include search engine marketing and optimization, website design, management of social media, online business cards, and big data. Further, it is involved in aerial and satellite mapping, geographic data collection and processing, and geographic applications; installation of computer communication infrastructures, announcement and alarm systems, and electronic security systems; and planning and deployment of fiber optics, structured cabling, and coaxial and telephony systems. The company was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Or Yehuda, Israel.

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