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FLOCFlowco Holdings Inc.Hold7.0·$21.44-1.47%
HoldHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Flowco Holdings combines a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak, attractive valuation at 13.1x forward earnings, and a maximum Piotroski financial strength score of 9 out of 9 — a fundamentally sound setup that is held back only by near-term price momentum softness.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakDeteriorating
  • Top Tier Financial StrengthStable
  • Attractive Valuation At 13xStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $21.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak.

Flowco Holdings provides production optimization, artificial lift, and emissions management solutions to oil and natural gas producers across all major onshore U.S. basins through Production Solutions and Natural Gas Technologies segments. The company earns revenue primarily... Read more

$21.44+25.7% A.UpsideScore 7.0/10#1 of 37 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.17%
Stop $19.94Target $26.95(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.1:1
Analyst target$30.98+44.5%9 analysts
$26.95our TP
$21.44price
$30.98mean
$34

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $21.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 7.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 67d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Flowco Holdings Inc.

About Flowco Holdings Inc.

Flowco Holdings operates a fleet of over 4,600 active systems across every major onshore U.S. oil and natural gas producing basin as of December 31, 2025, delivering production through two segments: Production Solutions (high pressure gas lift, conventional gas lift, plunger lift, digital monitoring) and Natural Gas Technologies (vapor recovery units, natural gas systems). Major service facilities are located in Midland, Texas; Carlsbad, New Mexico; and Williston, North Dakota, with manufacturing and repair operations in El Reno, Oklahoma; Houston, Fort Worth, Kilgore, and Pampa, Texas; and Lafayette, Louisiana.

Flowco earns revenue primarily from term contracts on deployed equipment, where customers pay for ongoing use of HPGL systems, VRU systems, and gas lift infrastructure over extended durations. HPGL units are provided to customers under contracts which are typically renewed multiple times, with high renewal rates attributed to system reliability and service quality. The company domestically manufactures its core technologies — including gas lift valves, mandrels, and plunger lift systems — capturing manufacturing margin that reduces rental fleet capex. Customers are supermajors and large independent oil and gas producers. The filing discloses significant concentration in the top ten customers, while also noting that certain product lines depend on a limited number of third-party suppliers and vendors. The production phase focus, rather than drilling and completions, positions Flowco's revenue as a function of non-discretionary operating expenditure by producers, making demand less sensitive to short-cycle capex reductions than peers in drilling services.

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Flowco's customer base, while served across multiple basins, carries disclosed concentration risk. The 10-K states the company has significant customer concentration in its top ten customers, with the loss of a major account named as a potential material adverse effect on financial condition and cash flows. This risk may intensify with ongoing upstream consolidation: the filing notes that consolidation could result in the acquisition or combination of primary customers, reducing demand or leading to pricing pressure without assurance of replacement revenue from other operators.

See also: Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

From Flowco Holdings Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202667d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.2
P/E (Fwd)13.0
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA6.9
Profit Mgn6.1%
ROE10.1%
Rev Growth22.1%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWide

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop ten customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'significant customer concentration in our top ten customers; therefore, the loss of a major customer could have a material adverse effect'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-08Item 5.02LOW
    Stockholders approved the 2026 Employee Stock Purchase Plan (ESPP) at May 7, 2026 Annual Meeting, authorizing issuance of up to 500,000 shares of Common Stock at $0.0001 par value per share.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-01Item 5.02LOW
    J. Hardy Murchison appointed as independent Class II director effective April 29, 2026, to serve until 2027 annual meeting. Appointed to Nominating and Governance Committee and Compensation Committee. Granted 3,625 RSUs.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.3>=4.5A.R:R 3.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 67d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $19.90Resistance $23.85

Price Targets

$20
$27
A.Upside+25.7%
A.R:R3.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts15
Consensus4.2/5
Avg Target$31

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (67d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FLOC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $21.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $26.95 (+25.7%), stop $19.94 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.1:1. Score 7.0/10, high confidence.

What is the FLOC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $26.95 (+25.7% upside). Target $26.95 (+25.7%), stop $19.94 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.1:1. Stop-loss: $19.94.

Is FLOC overvalued or undervalued?

Flowco Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.2 (forward 13.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FLOC?

15 analysts cover FLOC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Flowco Holdings Inc. do?Flowco Holdings provides production optimization, artificial lift, and emissions management solutions to oil and...

Flowco Holdings provides production optimization, artificial lift, and emissions management solutions to oil and natural gas producers across all major onshore U.S. basins through Production Solutions and Natural Gas Technologies segments. The company earns revenue primarily from term-contracted equipment — including a fleet of over 4,600 active systems — that generates recurring cash flows tied to producers' non-discretionary operating expenditures over the multi-decade lives of their wells.

Related stocks: HLX (Helix Energy Solutions Group, I) · USAC (USA Compression Partners, LP) · NGS (Natural Gas Services Group, Inc) · FTK (Flotek Industries, Inc.) · EROK (EagleRock Land, LLC)
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