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FIVNFive9, Inc.Hold5.4·$22.95+5.54%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Exceptional free cash flow conversion at 475% of net income and a PEG ratio of 0.18 signal deep fundamental value in a consistently executing business, but a confirmed death cross, falling volume accumulation, and a 12% short interest create material near-term technical risk that argues for patience despite the 21% upside to analyst targets.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Low MultipleImproving
  • Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • Consistent Earnings OutperformanceImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Five9, Inc. (FIVN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.95, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 8.3%; Negative momentum.

Five9 provides a cloud-native, AI-infused Intelligent CX Platform for enterprise contact centers, serving more than 3,000 customers across banking, retail, healthcare, and other industries. The company generated $1,149.1 million in revenue in 2025, up 10% from 2024, through... Read more

$22.95+8.3% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#77 of 109 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield15.36%
Stop $21.50Target $25.03(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$27.81+21.2%21 analysts
$25.03our TP
$22.95price
$27.81mean
$20
$47

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.95, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 8.3%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202612d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.3%
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.5
P/E (Fwd)6.1
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA13.8
Profit Mgn4.9%
ROE7.7%
Rev Growth9.2%
Beta1.46
DividendNone
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV95%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-22Item 5.02MEDIUM
    EVP of Product Engineering Panos Kozanian will transition out effective June 29, 2026, continuing to serve through at least September 4, 2026 reporting to a new CTO to be named by end of Q2 2026; eligible for Tier 3 severance absent for-cause termination.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
4.5
Ma Position
5.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.79Resistance $26.55

Price Targets

$22
$25
A.Upside+8.3%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FIVN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.95, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 8.3%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $25.03 (+9.1%), stop $21.50 (−6.7%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FIVN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.03 (+8.3% upside). Target $25.03 (+9.1%), stop $21.50 (−6.7%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Stop-loss: $21.50.

What are the risks of investing in FIVN?

Thin upside margin: 8.3%; Negative momentum.

Is FIVN overvalued or undervalued?

Five9, Inc. trades at a P/E of 33.5 (forward 6.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FIVN?

28 analysts cover FIVN with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $28.

What does Five9, Inc. do?Five9 provides a cloud-native, AI-infused Intelligent CX Platform for enterprise contact centers, serving more than...

Five9 provides a cloud-native, AI-infused Intelligent CX Platform for enterprise contact centers, serving more than 3,000 customers across banking, retail, healthcare, and other industries. The company generated $1,149.1 million in revenue in 2025, up 10% from 2024, through subscription licensing plus usage-based telephony and consumption-based AI solution fees, with a 105% Annual Dollar-Based Retention Rate reflecting expansion within its existing customer base.

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