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FELEFranklin Electric Co., Inc.Sell5.1·$105.14-0.13%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Franklin Electric carries an exceptionally strong balance sheet — maximum financial health scores, a current ratio of 9.0, and low leverage — and has beaten estimates in three of the last four quarters; however, the Water Systems segment accounts for roughly 60% of revenue concentrating both revenue and supplier risk in a single area, the stock has risen above its analyst take-profit target leaving no upside buffer, and free cash flow is running at only about 59% of net income, below what a high-quality earnings profile would typically imply.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Balance Sheet Financial HealthStable
  • Water Systems Segment Revenue ConcentrationStable
  • Earnings Mostly Positive Beat RecordStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Franklin Electric Co., Inc. (FELE) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. At $105.14, A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Water Systems segment (60.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited number of suppliers.

Franklin Electric Co. designs, manufactures and distributes water and fuel pumping systems across three segments — Water Systems (~60% of revenue), Energy Systems, and Distribution — generating approximately $2.1 billion in 2025 revenue. Products are sold worldwide to specialty... Read more

$105.14+1.9% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#35 of 58 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.92%
IncomeYield1.06%(5y avg 0.96%)Payout32.38%sustainable
Stop $100.24Target $107.13(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$113.25+7.7%4 analysts
$107.13our TP
$105.14price
$113.25mean
$100
$120

Sell if holding. At $105.14, A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Water Systems segment (60.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited number of suppliers. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 24d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Franklin Electric Co., Inc.

About Franklin Electric Co., Inc.

Water Systems generated approximately 60 percent of Franklin Electric's $2.1 billion 2025 revenue, with Energy Systems and Distribution comprising the remainder. The company held a consolidated order backlog of $139.1 million at February 4, 2026, with Water Systems alone accounting for $99.0 million. Franklin Electric employed approximately 6,500 people at December 31, 2025 and maintains named international operations across Europe, South Africa, Brazil, Mexico, India, China, Turkey, Canada, and Argentina.

Franklin Electric sells through employee sales forces and independent manufacturing representatives to specialty distributors, OEMs, industrial and petroleum equipment distributors, and major oil and utility companies. Water Systems serves residential, agricultural, municipal, and industrial groundwater and wastewater pumping applications; Energy Systems covers fuel containment, piping, vapor recovery, and electronic monitoring between the tank and the dispenser. The Distribution segment operates the Headwater Companies, serving professional water well contractors within the U.S. Principal raw materials include coil and bar steel, stainless steel, copper wire, and aluminum ingot, most available from multiple sources. Named competitors in specialty water products are Grundfos Management A/S, Pentair, Inc., and Xylem, Inc.; in petroleum equipment, Vontier Corporation and Dover Corporation. Water Systems also generates approximately 25 to 30 percent of segment revenue in developing markets, where the absence of municipal water infrastructure may support long-run volume growth.

Show full overview

Supply chain exposure is disclosed explicitly in both the Business and Risk Factors sections. The 10-K acknowledges dependence on a single or limited number of suppliers for certain materials and components, with no alternative sourcing plan disclosed. Compounding this, the U.S. government implemented tariffs on imported steel and aluminum — two principal raw materials — and the filing notes potential retaliatory tariff escalation. The company does not engage in commodity hedging, meaning margin exposure to raw material cost swings passes directly to operating results if customers cannot absorb price increases.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

From Franklin Electric Co., Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202624d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Water Systems segment (60.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited number of suppliers
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.8
P/E (Fwd)20.7
Mkt Cap$4.6B
EV/EBITDA14.0
Profit Mgn6.9%
ROE11.5%
Rev Growth9.9%
Beta1.03
Dividend1.06%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.77neutral
IV46%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductWater Systems segment60%
    10-K Item 1: 'Water Systems contributed about 60 percent of the Company's total revenue in 2025'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle or limited number of suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Company is dependent on a single or limited number of suppliers for some materials or components required in the manufacture of its products'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 24d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $97.33Resistance $109.32

Price Targets

$100
$107
A.Upside+1.9%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (24d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FELE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $105.14, A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Water Systems segment (60.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited number of suppliers. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $100.24. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FELE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $107.13 (+1.9% upside). Prior stop was $100.24. Stop-loss: $100.24.

What are the risks of investing in FELE?

Concentration risk — Product: Water Systems segment (60.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited number of suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is FELE overvalued or undervalued?

Franklin Electric Co., Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.8 (forward 20.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FELE?

11 analysts cover FELE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $113.

What does Franklin Electric Co., Inc. do?Franklin Electric Co. designs, manufactures and distributes water and fuel pumping systems across three segments —...

Franklin Electric Co. designs, manufactures and distributes water and fuel pumping systems across three segments — Water Systems (~60% of revenue), Energy Systems, and Distribution — generating approximately $2.1 billion in 2025 revenue. Products are sold worldwide to specialty distributors, OEMs, and petroleum equipment distributors through an employee sales force and independent representatives, with roughly 6,500 employees at December 31, 2025.

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