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EZPWEZCORP, Inc.Hold6.4·$33.86-4.70%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

EZPW combines attractive valuation and roughly 46% year-over-year earnings growth with four consecutive quarters of nearly 30%-average positive surprises, but near-zero free cash flow conversion — with free cash flow at just 1% of net income — and a 24% short float introduce material quality and sentiment risk that limit the current setup to a cautious hold.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Outperformance StreakStable
  • Strong Growth TrajectoryStable
  • Fcf Conversion Red FlagStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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EZCORP, Inc. (EZPW) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Credit Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $33.86, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.1% away).

EZCORP operates 1,360 pawn stores under brands including EZPAWN and Value Pawn & Jewelry in the U.S. and Empeño Fácil and Cash Apoyo Efectivo in Mexico and Central America, making it the second largest U.S. pawn operator by store count. Revenue comes primarily from pawn service... Read more

$33.86-0.5% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#4 of 35 Credit Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield0.08%
Stop $33.10Target $35.40(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$39.60+17.0%5 analysts
$35.40our TP
$33.86price
$39.60mean
$44

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $33.86, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About EZCORP, Inc.

About EZCORP, Inc.

With 1,360 pawn stores spanning the United States, Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador, and Honduras at September 30, 2025, EZCORP generated pawn service charges equal to approximately 37% of total revenues and 64% of gross profit for fiscal 2025, with a closing pawn loans outstanding balance of $307.5 million. The company employs approximately 8,500 Team Members — roughly 3,700 in the United States, 3,800 in Mexico, and 1,000 in Central America. By store count, EZCORP ranks as the second largest pawn store operator in the United States.

EZCORP earns revenue through three streams: pawn service charges on outstanding loans, merchandise sales of forfeited or purchased collateral, and jewelry scrapping. The pawn model advances cash secured by tangible personal property — primarily jewelry, consumer electronics, tools, and sporting goods — with no credit scoring required. Monthly PSC rates vary by jurisdiction: 12% to 25% in the United States, 15% to 21% in Mexico, and 12% to 18% in Guatemala, El Salvador, and Honduras. United States transactions average $200 to $220 per pawn, while Mexico transactions average the equivalent of $70 to $85 at fiscal 2025 exchange rates. Revenue mix is shaped materially by gold: gold jewelry forms a large portion of collateral and inventory, so PSC income, sale proceeds, and inventory liquidation margins all depend partly on prevailing gold prices and transaction volumes. Latin America stores (815 locations, or 60% of the total portfolio) contributed 26% of consolidated gross profit in fiscal 2025, reflecting smaller average store scale than in the United States. The company also holds a 43.7% equity stake in Cash Converters International, an ASX-listed franchised pawn and personal finance operator across 659 stores in 15 countries, accounted for under the equity method.

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Texas and Florida together account for more than 62% of EZCORP's United States store count — 45% in Texas and 17% in Florida — and a significant portion of United States revenues and profitability, per the 10-K. The same filing notes that both states are particularly susceptible to hurricane and tropical storm activity, and that a negative legislative or regulatory change in either state could have a material adverse effect on overall operations and financial performance. This single-country-within-U.S. concentration sits alongside a broader Latin America exposure subject to political instability, currency volatility, and foreign exchange translation risk across the Mexican peso, Guatemalan quetzal, and Honduran lempira.

See also: Financial Services · Credit Services

From EZCORP, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202626d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.1% away)
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.2
P/E (Fwd)16.6
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA11.2
Profit Mgn9.9%
ROE14.8%
Rev Growth45.9%
Beta0.64
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.12bearish
IV104%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicTexas and Florida
    10-K Item 1A: 'more than 62% of our U.S. pawn stores were located in Texas (45%) and Florida (17%), and those stores account for a significant portion of our revenues and profitability'
  • MEDIUMCommoditygold jewelry
    10-K Item 1A: 'Gold jewelry comprises a large portion of the collateral security for our pawn loans and our inventory'
  • MEDIUMGeographicLatin America26%
    10-K Item 1: 'the Latin America stores represented 26% of our consolidated gross profit'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.6
52w Position
9.2
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 26d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
73 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $27.86Resistance $36.12

Price Targets

$33
$35
A.Upside+4.5%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (26d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EZPW stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $33.86, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $35.40 (+4.5%), stop $33.10 (−2.3%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EZPW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.40 (-0.5% upside). Target $35.40 (+4.5%), stop $33.10 (−2.3%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $33.10.

What are the risks of investing in EZPW?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.1% away); Elevated risk factors.

Is EZPW overvalued or undervalued?

EZCORP, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.2 (forward 16.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EZPW?

13 analysts cover EZPW with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $40.

What does EZCORP, Inc. do?EZCORP operates 1,360 pawn stores under brands including EZPAWN and Value Pawn & Jewelry in the U.S. and Empeño Fácil...

EZCORP operates 1,360 pawn stores under brands including EZPAWN and Value Pawn & Jewelry in the U.S. and Empeño Fácil and Cash Apoyo Efectivo in Mexico and Central America, making it the second largest U.S. pawn operator by store count. Revenue comes primarily from pawn service charges (37% of total revenues in fiscal 2025), merchandise sales of forfeited collateral, and jewelry scrapping, with a closing pawn loans outstanding balance of $307.5 million at September 30, 2025. The company also holds a 43.7% equity stake in Cash Converters International, an ASX-listed pawn operator across 15 coun

Related stocks: ECPG (Encore Capital Group Inc) · ATLC (Atlanticus Holdings Corporation) · ENVA (Enova International, Inc.) · AGM-A (Federal Agricultural Mortgage C) · ALLY (Ally Financial Inc.)
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