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EXPOExponent, Inc.Hold5.6·$61.44+2.43%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Exponent operates a high-quality engineering and consulting franchise with best-in-class margins of 20%, a perfect Piotroski financial health score, and a wide economic moat — yet the stock is in a confirmed technical downtrend and recently missed earnings estimates, creating tension between the quality of the business and near-term execution momentum. The risk/reward geometry of roughly 21% upside against 7% downside offers an asymmetric setup for investors who can absorb the trend headwind.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Quality FranchiseStable
  • Favorable Asymmetric Risk RewardStable
  • Confirmed Technical DowntrendDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Exponent, Inc. (EXPO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temporary headwind edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5QualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Earnings in 5 days (2026-07-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $61.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Negative momentum.

Our interdisciplinary team of scientists, physicians, engineers, and business consultants draws from more than 90 technical disciplines to solve the most pressing and complicated challenges facing stakeholders today. The firm leverages over 55 years of experience in analyzing... Read more

$61.44+13.0% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#23 of 32 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.48%
IncomeYield2.03%(5y avg 1.18%)Payout56.54%sustainable
Stop $57.14Target $69.42(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$81.67+32.9%3 analysts
$69.42our TP
$61.44price
$81.67mean
$90

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $61.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Wide economic moat
Risks
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.7
P/E (Fwd)22.3
Mkt Cap$3.0B
EV/EBITDA23.2
Profit Mgn19.8%
ROE27.9%
Rev Growth10.5%
Beta0.72
Dividend2.03%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.27bullish
IV52%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
2.4
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Obv
5.6
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dA.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $57.90Resistance $65.56

Price Targets

$57
$69
A.Upside+13.0%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EXPO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $61.44, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $69.42 (+13.0%), stop $57.14 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.9:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EXPO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $69.42 (+13.0% upside). Target $69.42 (+13.0%), stop $57.14 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.9:1. Stop-loss: $57.14.

What are the risks of investing in EXPO?

Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is EXPO overvalued or undervalued?

Exponent, Inc. trades at a P/E of 28.7 (forward 22.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EXPO?

10 analysts cover EXPO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $82.

What does Exponent, Inc. do?Our interdisciplinary team of scientists, physicians, engineers, and business consultants draws from more than 90...

Our interdisciplinary team of scientists, physicians, engineers, and business consultants draws from more than 90 technical disciplines to solve the most pressing and complicated challenges facing stakeholders today. The firm leverages over 55 years of experience in analyzing accidents and failures to advise clients as they innovate their technologically complex products and processes, ensure the safety and health of their users, and address the challenges o

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