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EXPOExponent, Inc.Hold5.7·$67.10-1.63%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Exponent operates a high-quality engineering and consulting franchise with best-in-class margins of 20%, a perfect Piotroski financial health score, and a wide economic moat — yet the stock is in a confirmed technical downtrend and recently missed earnings estimates, creating tension between the quality of the business and near-term execution momentum. The risk/reward geometry of roughly 21% upside against 7% downside offers an asymmetric setup for investors who can absorb the trend headwind.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Quality FranchiseDeteriorating
  • Favorable Asymmetric Risk RewardStable
  • Confirmed Technical DowntrendImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Exponent, Inc. (EXPO) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

HoldDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)QualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $67.10, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 6.4%.

Our interdisciplinary team of scientists, physicians, engineers, and business consultants draws from more than 90 technical disciplines to solve the most pressing and complicated challenges facing stakeholders today. The firm leverages over 55 years of experience in analyzing... Read more

$67.10+6.4% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#20 of 33 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.41%
IncomeYield1.80%(5y avg 1.18%)Payout54.71%sustainable
Stop $62.46Target $71.40(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$84.00+25.2%3 analysts
$71.40our TP
$67.10price
$84.00mean
$90

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $67.10, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 6.4%. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202675d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Wide economic moat
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.4%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.1
P/E (Fwd)23.6
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA23.2
Profit Mgn19.7%
ROE31.2%
Rev Growth12.0%
Beta0.68
Dividend1.80%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C14.40bearish
IV50%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $59.68Resistance $69.53

Price Targets

$62
$71
A.Upside+6.4%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EXPO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $67.10, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 6.4%. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $71.40 (+6.4%), stop $62.46 (−7.4%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EXPO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $71.40 (+6.4% upside). Target $71.40 (+6.4%), stop $62.46 (−7.4%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Stop-loss: $62.46.

What are the risks of investing in EXPO?

Thin upside margin: 6.4%.

Is EXPO overvalued or undervalued?

Exponent, Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.1 (forward 23.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EXPO?

10 analysts cover EXPO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $84.

What does Exponent, Inc. do?Our interdisciplinary team of scientists, physicians, engineers, and business consultants draws from more than 90...

Our interdisciplinary team of scientists, physicians, engineers, and business consultants draws from more than 90 technical disciplines to solve the most pressing and complicated challenges facing stakeholders today. The firm leverages over 55 years of experience in analyzing accidents and failures to advise clients as they innovate their technologically complex products and processes, ensure the safety and health of their users, and address the challenges o

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