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EWEdwards Lifesciences CorporatioSell5.2·$85.74+0.74%
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Edwards Lifesciences Corporatio (EW) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Sell if holding. At $85.74, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: TAVR (74.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (58.0%).

Edwards Lifesciences develops structural heart technologies including TAVR (74% of 2025 net sales), Transcatheter Mitral and Tricuspid Therapies (9%), and Surgical heart valves (17%). In 2025, 58% of net sales came from U.S. customers; no single customer exceeded 10% of revenues.

$85.74+1.8% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#26 of 40 Medical Devices
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.84%
Stop $80.80Target $87.23(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$96.92+13.0%26 analysts
$87.23our TP
$85.74price
$96.92mean
$110

Sell if holding. At $85.74, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: TAVR (74.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (58.0%). Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: TAVR (74.0%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (58.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)46.0
P/E (Fwd)25.3
Mkt Cap$49.0B
EV/EBITDA24.2
Profit Mgn17.4%
ROE10.5%
Rev Growth16.7%
Beta0.87
DividendNone
Rating analysts42

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.86neutral
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$35-59.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductTAVR74%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales of our TAVR products represented 74%, 75%, and 77% of our net sales in 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively.'
  • HIGHGeographicUnited States58%
    10-K Item 1: 'In 2025, 58% of our net sales were derived from sales to customers in the United States.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-04Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Edwards Lifesciences appointed Theodora Mistras as Corporate VP and CFO effective May 29, 2026, to succeed Scott B. Ullem. Mistras previously served as CFO of Viatris, Inc. No reason cited for Ullem's departure.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-08Item 5.02LOW
    At the 2026 Annual Meeting on May 7, 2026, stockholders approved an amendment to the Long-Term Stock Incentive Compensation Program, increasing authorized shares by 7 million to 341.5 million total. Routine compensatory arrangement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.7
Peg Ratio
4.5
Forward Pe
4.9
Ps
5.0
Analyst Target
5.0
Forward P/E: 25.3xPEG: 2.04
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $80.57Resistance $89.48

Price Targets

$81
$87
A.Upside+1.7%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.8% upside)
! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $85.74, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: TAVR (74.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (58.0%). Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $80.80. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the EW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $87.23 (+1.8% upside). Prior stop was $80.80. Stop-loss: $80.80.

What are the risks of investing in EW?

Concentration risk — Product: TAVR (74.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is EW overvalued or undervalued?

Edwards Lifesciences Corporatio trades at a P/E of 46.0 (forward 25.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EW?

42 analysts cover EW with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $97.

What does Edwards Lifesciences Corporatio do?Edwards Lifesciences develops structural heart technologies including TAVR (74% of 2025 net sales), Transcatheter...

Edwards Lifesciences develops structural heart technologies including TAVR (74% of 2025 net sales), Transcatheter Mitral and Tricuspid Therapies (9%), and Surgical heart valves (17%). In 2025, 58% of net sales came from U.S. customers; no single customer exceeded 10% of revenues.

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