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EVTCEvertec, Inc.Sell6.2·$30.55+1.77%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Evertec offers an unusually cheap valuation — forward earnings at 6.3x with a price/earnings-to-growth ratio of 0.06 — backed by three recent earnings beats and strong profitability metrics, but the confirmed technical downtrend below the 200-day moving average and leverage at a debt-to-equity of 1.5 create genuine near-term risk that the discount may deepen before it closes.

Thesis pillars

  • Cheap Valuation Growth CombinationDeteriorating
  • Leverage Balance Sheet ConstraintImproving
  • Confirmed Downtrend Technical RiskImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Evertec, Inc. (EVTC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $30.55 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

EVERTEC provides transaction-processing and financial technology services across Latin America, Puerto Rico, and the Caribbean through merchant acquiring, payment services, and business solutions segments, processing over ten billion transactions annually. Revenue is... Read more

$30.55+1.3% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#20 of 104 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield8.30%
Stop $28.67Target $30.97(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$35.60+16.5%5 analysts
$30.97our TP
$30.55price
$35.60mean
$40

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $30.55 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Evertec, Inc.

About Evertec, Inc.

EVERTEC processes over ten billion transactions annually across 26 countries through its ATH debit network, merchant acquiring, and business solutions platforms, with approximately 29% of 2025 revenue derived from its relationship with Banco Popular. The company operates from 24 offices including its headquarters in Puerto Rico and acquired a 75% stake in Tecnobank Tecnologia Bancária in October 2025, entering Brazil's digital vehicle financing contract registration sector.

EVERTEC earns revenue through three primary segments: Payment Services Puerto Rico & Caribbean (card processing and ATH network), Latin America Payments and Solutions (fintech solutions and the Sinqia suite in Brazil), and Merchant Acquiring (point-of-sale and e-commerce). Most revenue is recurring through per-transaction fees, account-on-file fees, and multi-year contracts of one to six years with automatic renewals. Banco Popular serves as both the primary service contract counterparty under the A&R MSA expiring in 2028 and the main merchant distribution channel under the A&R ISO Agreement running through 2035. EVERTEC is also the only non-bank provider of cash processing services to the U.S. Federal Reserve in the Caribbean. Competitors include Fidelity National Information Services, Fiserv, Global Payments, and Visa and Mastercard. The company has invested over $404 million in technology over the last five years.

Show full overview

The most material single-counterparty exposure is Banco Popular, which accounted for approximately 29% of 2025 revenue under the A&R MSA expiring in 2028. If Popular were to terminate the A&R MSA, revenues could be materially reduced. Separately, the A&R ISO Agreement governing merchant acquiring with Banco Popular runs through 2035 but, if terminated, could require EVERTEC to assign up to 50% of its merchant contracts to Banco Popular — a structural transfer of customer relationships. The dual contract expirations in 2028 and 2035 create sequential renegotiation exposure at the company's most significant client.

See also: Technology · Software - Infrastructure

From Evertec, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.5
P/E (Fwd)7.0
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA10.8
Profit Mgn9.8%
ROE14.8%
Rev Growth19.7%
Beta0.70
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.38bearish
IV52%elevated
Max Pain$35+14.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerBanco Popular29%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 29% of our revenue was attributable to Banco Popular, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Popular'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $28.98Resistance $32.03

Price Targets

$29
$31
A.Upside+1.3%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.3% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EVTC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $30.55 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $28.67. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EVTC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.97 (+1.3% upside). Prior stop was $28.67. Stop-loss: $28.67.

What are the risks of investing in EVTC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0.

Is EVTC overvalued or undervalued?

Evertec, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.5 (forward 7.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EVTC?

12 analysts cover EVTC with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $36.

What does Evertec, Inc. do?EVERTEC provides transaction-processing and financial technology services across Latin America, Puerto Rico, and the...

EVERTEC provides transaction-processing and financial technology services across Latin America, Puerto Rico, and the Caribbean through merchant acquiring, payment services, and business solutions segments, processing over ten billion transactions annually. Revenue is predominantly recurring via multi-year contracts with financial institutions, merchants, and government agencies, with approximately 29% of 2025 revenue from Banco Popular.

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