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EVLVEvolv Technologies Holdings, InSell6.0·$6.20-2.67%
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Evolv Technologies Holdings, In (EVLV) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Security & Protection Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.20: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. develops, manufactures, markets, and sells security screening products and specific services in the United States and internationally. It offers Evolv Express, that is designed to detect firearms, improvised explosive devices, and large tactical... Read more

$6.20+38.0% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#5 of 10 Security & Protection Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield0.96%
Stop $5.80Target $8.61(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$10.13+63.3%4 analysts
$8.61our TP
$6.20price
$10.13mean
$11

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.20: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 40d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — Evolv Technologies Holdings, In

Generated 2026-07-05T09:50:25Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202640d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-208.0
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA-237.3
Profit Mgn-22.8%
ROE-30.2%
Rev Growth44.7%
Beta1.77
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.04bullish
IV63%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.9
Support Resistance
2.9
52w Position
4.0

Unprofitable operations — net margin -22.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
4.3
Current Ratio
4.6
Moat
5.8
Gross Margin
6.0
Piotroski F
6.7
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 7%, FCF yield 1.0%)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
9.0
Industry growth leader
GatesINSIDER 0.20%=MODERATEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.7>=5.5A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 40d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.17Resistance $6.67

Price Targets

$6
$9
A.Upside+38.9%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (40d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EVLV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.20: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 2.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Prior stop was $5.80. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EVLV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.61 (+38.0% upside). Prior stop was $5.80. Stop-loss: $5.80.

What are the risks of investing in EVLV?

Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0).

Is EVLV overvalued or undervalued?

Evolv Technologies Holdings, In trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -208.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EVLV?

10 analysts cover EVLV with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Evolv Technologies Holdings, In do?Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. develops, manufactures, markets, and sells security screening products and specific...

Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. develops, manufactures, markets, and sells security screening products and specific services in the United States and internationally. It offers Evolv Express, that is designed to detect firearms, improvised explosive devices, and large tactical knives in unstructured people flows; Evolv eXpedite, an autonomous AI-based weapon detection system for bags being brought to venues by visitors in high clutter environments; and Evolv Insights Analytics Application which provides self-serve access, insights regarding visitor flow and arrival curves, location specific performance, system detection performance and alarm statistics, and comparisons across multiple business dimensions. The company serves various industries comprising education, healthcare, professional sports, notable performing arts and entertainment venues, major tourist destinations and cultural attractions, government and corporate offices, hospitality facilities, distribution facilities, large industrial workplaces, and houses of worship. Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts.

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