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ETREntergy CorporationSell4.9·$115.00+1.90%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

The stock has already reached and exceeded its near-term resistance target with deeply negative free cash flow, high leverage, and a high-severity regulatory concentration tied to a single nuclear facility — making the current entry point unattractive despite three beats in the last four quarters and rising on-balance volume.

Thesis pillars

  • Price Exceeds Target No UpsideStable
  • Deeply Negative Free Cash FlowStable
  • Single Asset Regulatory ConcentrationStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Entergy Corporation (ETR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $115.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Regulatory: System Energy single nuclear facility.

Entergy Corporation delivers electricity to approximately 3.1 million customers across Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas through five regulated utility subsidiaries operating approximately 25,000 MW of generating capacity. With $12.9 billion in 2025 annual revenue and... Read more

$115.00-0.6% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#27 of 42 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-7.29%
IncomeYield2.22%(5y avg 3.46%)Payout63.27%
Stop $110.97Target $114.38(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$122.31+6.4%21 analysts
$114.38our TP
$115.00price
$122.31mean
$91
$135

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $115.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Regulatory: System Energy single nuclear facility. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202626d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Regulatory: System Energy single nuclear facility
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.8% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.3
P/E (Fwd)22.7
Mkt Cap$53.7B
EV/EBITDA15.2
Profit Mgn13.4%
ROE10.8%
Rev Growth12.0%
Beta0.49
Dividend2.22%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.40bearish
IV44%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicLouisiana
    10-K Item 1: 'Entergy Louisiana | Portions of Louisiana | | 1,115 | | | 36 |'
  • HIGHregulatorySystem Energy single nuclear facility
    10-K Item 1A: 'System Energy owns and, through an affiliate, operates a single nuclear generating facility, and it is dependent on sales to affiliated companies for all of its revenues.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.2
Revenue Growth
5.5
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 26d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $107.62Resistance $116.71

Price Targets

$111
$114
A.Upside-0.5%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (26d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ETR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $115.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Regulatory: System Energy single nuclear facility. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $110.97. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the ETR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $114.38 (-0.6% upside). Prior stop was $110.97. Stop-loss: $110.97.

What are the risks of investing in ETR?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: System Energy single nuclear facility; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.8% away).

Is ETR overvalued or undervalued?

Entergy Corporation trades at a P/E of 29.3 (forward 22.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ETR?

24 analysts cover ETR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $122.

What does Entergy Corporation do?Entergy Corporation delivers electricity to approximately 3.1 million customers across Arkansas, Louisiana,...

Entergy Corporation delivers electricity to approximately 3.1 million customers across Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas through five regulated utility subsidiaries operating approximately 25,000 MW of generating capacity. With $12.9 billion in 2025 annual revenue and approximately 12,000 employees, the company earns returns through cost-of-service rates regulated by the FERC and state utility commissions.

Related stocks: PCG (Pacific Gas & Electric Co.) · PEG (Public Service Enterprise Group) · NEE (NextEra Energy, Inc.) · ELPC (Companhia Paranaense de Energia) · DUK (Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin)
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