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ETREntergy CorporationSell4.9·$108.92
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The stock has already reached and exceeded its near-term resistance target with deeply negative free cash flow, high leverage, and a high-severity regulatory concentration tied to a single nuclear facility — making the current entry point unattractive despite three beats in the last four quarters and rising on-balance volume.

Thesis pillars

  • Price Exceeds Target No Upside↑Improving
  • Deeply Negative Free Cash Flow→Stable
  • Single Asset Regulatory Concentration↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Entergy Corporation (ETR) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $108.92 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Regulatory: System Energy single nuclear facility.

Entergy Corporation delivers electricity to approximately 3.1 million customers across Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas through five regulated utility subsidiaries operating approximately 25,000 MW of generating capacity. With $12.9 billion in 2025 annual revenue and... Read more

$108.92-1.1% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#31 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-8.46%
IncomeYield2.48%(5y avg 3.21%)Payout64.45%
Stop $105.24Analyst target $107.74(reached)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst consensus$119.71+9.9%21 analysts with price targets
$108.92price
$119.71mean
$91
$131

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $108.92 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Regulatory: System Energy single nuclear facility. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 99d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — Entergy Corporation

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T12:04:35Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 11, 202799d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Regulatory: System Energy single nuclear facility
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.9
P/E (Fwd)21.3
Mkt Cap$52.0B
EV/EBITDA14.9
Profit Mgn13.3%
ROE10.2%
Rev Growth5.9%
Beta0.43
Dividend2.48%
Analysts with ratings29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.38bullish
IV43%normal
Max Pain$155+42.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicLouisiana
    10-K Item 1: 'Entergy Louisiana | Portions of Louisiana | | 1,115 | | | 36 |'
  • HIGHregulatorySystem Energy single nuclear facility
    10-K Item 1A: 'System Energy owns and, through an affiliate, operates a single nuclear generating facility, and it is dependent on sales to affiliated companies for all of its revenues.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.6
Revenue Growth
4.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.9
Growth Rank
5.0
Quality Rank
5.1
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 99d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
67 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $101.74Resistance $111.17

Price Targets

A.Upside-1.1%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-11 (99d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ETR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $108.92 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Regulatory: System Energy single nuclear facility. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $105.24. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ETR stock price target?

Analyst target $107.74 reached (−1.1% from $108.92); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $105.24. Stop-loss: $105.24.

What are the risks of investing in ETR?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: System Energy single nuclear facility; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7).

Is ETR overvalued or undervalued?

Entergy Corporation trades at a P/E of 24.9 (forward 21.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ETR?

29 analysts rate ETR, with a consensus score of 4.0/5. 21 analysts publish price targets averaging $120.

What does Entergy Corporation do?Entergy Corporation delivers electricity to approximately 3.1 million customers across Arkansas, Louisiana,...

Entergy Corporation delivers electricity to approximately 3.1 million customers across Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas through five regulated utility subsidiaries operating approximately 25,000 MW of generating capacity. With $12.9 billion in 2025 annual revenue and approximately 12,000 employees, the company earns returns through cost-of-service rates regulated by the FERC and state utility commissions.

Related stocks: ELPC (Companhia Paranaense de Energia) · XEL (Xcel Energy Inc.) · IDA (IDACORP, Inc.) · WEC (WEC Energy Group, Inc.) · AEP (American Electric Power Company)
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