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ESEESCO Technologies Inc.Hold5.7·$274.02+0.05%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ESCO Technologies has achieved industry-leading revenue growth of 34% year-over-year with margins of 25% and three beats in the past four quarters, but the stock has traded above its near-term price target at a forward earnings multiple of 35.9x—pricing in a level of continued growth that leaves little room for error, particularly given a single-supplier dependency for critical materials.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Top Line GrowthStable
  • Stretched Valuation Above TargetStable
  • Industry Leading MarginsStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ESCO Technologies Inc. (ESE) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $274.02, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: Globe single supplier of critical materials; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

ESCO Technologies operates three segments: Aerospace & Defense (44% of FY2025 revenue from continuing operations), Utility Solutions Group (35%), and RF Test & Measurement (21%), with total firm-order backlog of $1.13 billion at September 30, 2025. The company sells to U.S.... Read more

$274.02+21.2% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#9 of 17 Scientific & Technical Instruments
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.30%
IncomeYield0.12%(5y avg 0.29%)Payout5.94%sustainable
Stop $256.24Target $332.14(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$390.75+42.6%4 analysts
$332.14our TP
$274.02price
$390.75mean
$420

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $274.02, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: Globe single supplier of critical materials; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 19, 202676d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Analyst upside: 21%
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Globe single supplier of critical materials
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)49.5
P/E (Fwd)29.7
Mkt Cap$7.1B
EV/EBITDA23.2
Profit Mgn24.4%
ROE9.5%
Rev Growth14.4%
Beta1.12
Dividend0.12%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.79neutral
IV43%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerU.S. Government23%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, approximately 23% of our revenues from continuing operations were generated from sales to the U.S. Government or its contractors, primarily within our A&D segment.'
  • MEDIUMProductAerospace & Defense segment44%
    10-K Item 1: 'The A&D segment accounted for approximately 44%, 37% and 34% of our total revenue from continuing operations in 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
  • HIGHSupplierGlobe single supplier of critical materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'Globe has a single supplier of critical materials for a significant military production program'
  • LOWSupplierDoble single-location supplier
    10-K Item 1A: 'one of these suppliers produces approximately 23% of Doble's products from a single location within the United States'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-03Item 1.01MEDIUM
    ESCO entered into new credit agreement with JPMorgan Chase as administrative agent on May 29, 2026, to finance approximately $2.35 billion acquisition of Megger Group Limited (cash portion ~$922M plus 5.10M shares). Agreement effective upon acquisition closing.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-03Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Prior credit agreement terminated concurrent with entry into new acquisition credit facility on May 29, 2026. Termination connected to Megger Group acquisition refinancing. No other reason cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-03Item 2.03MEDIUM
    Direct financial obligation created under new acquisition credit agreement entered May 29, 2026, to finance approximately $2.35 billion Megger Group Limited purchase. JPMorgan Chase as administrative agent; effective upon acquisition consummation.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.1
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 25, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+4.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.5<4.58K FLAG 1.02A.R:R 3.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
25 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $263.13Resistance $311.07

Price Targets

$256
$332
A.Upside+21.2%
A.R:R3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier +2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 1.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-19 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ESE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $274.02, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: Globe single supplier of critical materials; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $332.14 (+21.2%), stop $256.24 (−6.9%), A.R:R 3.3:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ESE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $332.14 (+21.2% upside). Target $332.14 (+21.2%), stop $256.24 (−6.9%), A.R:R 3.3:1. Stop-loss: $256.24.

What are the risks of investing in ESE?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Globe single supplier of critical materials; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum.

Is ESE overvalued or undervalued?

ESCO Technologies Inc. trades at a P/E of 49.5 (forward 29.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ESE?

9 analysts cover ESE with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $391.

What does ESCO Technologies Inc. do?ESCO Technologies operates three segments: Aerospace & Defense (44% of FY2025 revenue from continuing operations),...

ESCO Technologies operates three segments: Aerospace & Defense (44% of FY2025 revenue from continuing operations), Utility Solutions Group (35%), and RF Test & Measurement (21%), with total firm-order backlog of $1.13 billion at September 30, 2025. The company sells to U.S. Government and its contractors (23% of 2025 revenues) and international customers (34%), employing 3,425 persons across domestic and 16 international offices.

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