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ESEESCO Technologies Inc.Hold5.7·$332.78-2.09%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ESCO Technologies has achieved industry-leading revenue growth of 34% year-over-year with margins of 25% and three beats in the past four quarters, but the stock has traded above its near-term price target at a forward earnings multiple of 35.9x—pricing in a level of continued growth that leaves little room for error, particularly given a single-supplier dependency for critical materials.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Top Line GrowthStable
  • Stretched Valuation Above TargetStable
  • Industry Leading MarginsStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ESCO Technologies Inc. (ESE) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $332.78, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: Globe single supplier of critical materials; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

ESCO Technologies operates three segments: Aerospace & Defense (44% of FY2025 revenue from continuing operations), Utility Solutions Group (35%), and RF Test & Measurement (21%), with total firm-order backlog of $1.13 billion at September 30, 2025. The company sells to U.S.... Read more

$332.78+6.6% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#6 of 17 Scientific & Technical Instruments
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.72%
IncomeYield0.10%(5y avg 0.29%)Payout6.30%sustainable
Stop $309.49Target $354.82(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$385.00+15.7%4 analysts
$354.82our TP
$332.78price
$385.00mean
$420

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $332.78, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: Globe single supplier of critical materials; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Globe single supplier of critical materials
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)65.4
P/E (Fwd)36.4
Mkt Cap$8.6B
EV/EBITDA29.4
Profit Mgn24.7%
ROE9.2%
Rev Growth33.5%
Beta1.13
Dividend0.10%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.91neutral
IV44%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerU.S. Government23%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, approximately 23% of our revenues from continuing operations were generated from sales to the U.S. Government or its contractors, primarily within our A&D segment.'
  • MEDIUMProductAerospace & Defense segment44%
    10-K Item 1: 'The A&D segment accounted for approximately 44%, 37% and 34% of our total revenue from continuing operations in 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'
  • HIGHSupplierGlobe single supplier of critical materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'Globe has a single supplier of critical materials for a significant military production program'
  • LOWSupplierDoble single-location supplier
    10-K Item 1A: 'one of these suppliers produces approximately 23% of Doble's products from a single location within the United States'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-03Item 1.01MEDIUM
    ESCO entered into new credit agreement with JPMorgan Chase as administrative agent on May 29, 2026, to finance approximately $2.35 billion acquisition of Megger Group Limited (cash portion ~$922M plus 5.10M shares). Agreement effective upon acquisition closing.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-03Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Prior credit agreement terminated concurrent with entry into new acquisition credit facility on May 29, 2026. Termination connected to Megger Group acquisition refinancing. No other reason cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-03Item 2.03MEDIUM
    Direct financial obligation created under new acquisition credit agreement entered May 29, 2026, to finance approximately $2.35 billion Megger Group Limited purchase. JPMorgan Chase as administrative agent; effective upon acquisition consummation.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
1.7
Forward Pe
2.9
Peg Ratio
3.6
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
5.6
Forward P/E: 36.4xPEG: 3.22
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)8K FLAG 1.02Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $288.88Resistance $362.06

Price Targets

$309
$355
A.Upside+6.6%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ESE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $332.78, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: Globe single supplier of critical materials; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $354.82 (+6.6%), stop $309.49 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ESE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $354.82 (+6.6% upside). Target $354.82 (+6.6%), stop $309.49 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $309.49.

What are the risks of investing in ESE?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Globe single supplier of critical materials; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation.

Is ESE overvalued or undervalued?

ESCO Technologies Inc. trades at a P/E of 65.4 (forward 36.4). TrendMatrix value score: 3.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ESE?

7 analysts cover ESE with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $385.

What does ESCO Technologies Inc. do?ESCO Technologies operates three segments: Aerospace & Defense (44% of FY2025 revenue from continuing operations),...

ESCO Technologies operates three segments: Aerospace & Defense (44% of FY2025 revenue from continuing operations), Utility Solutions Group (35%), and RF Test & Measurement (21%), with total firm-order backlog of $1.13 billion at September 30, 2025. The company sells to U.S. Government and its contractors (23% of 2025 revenues) and international customers (34%), employing 3,425 persons across domestic and 16 international offices.

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