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EPDEnterprise Products Partners L.Hold6.1·$39.17-0.48%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

With virtually no upside remaining to the near-term price target, free cash flow that has collapsed to near zero relative to earnings, and revenues in a -7% decline, the risk/reward is unfavorable — the elevated distribution yield may be masking a payout that the underlying cash generation cannot reliably support.

Thesis pillars

  • Price At Target No UpsideStable
  • Cash Generation CollapseStable
  • Revenue In DeclineStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Enterprise Products Partners L. (EPD) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $39.17, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.5% away).

Enterprise Products Partners L.P. provides midstream energy services to producers and consumers of natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), crude oil, petrochemicals, and refined products. It operates in four segments: NGL Pipelines & Services; Crude Oil Pipelines & Services;... Read more

$39.17-4.7% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#24 of 46 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield1.27%
IncomeYield5.61%(5y avg 7.13%)Payout75.78%
Stop $38.05Target $45.05(default +15%)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$41.47+5.9%19 analysts
$45.05our TP
$39.17price
$41.47mean
$38
$46

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $39.17, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.5% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.5% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.6
P/E (Fwd)12.4
Mkt Cap$85.0B
EV/EBITDA11.6
Profit Mgn10.8%
ROE20.9%
Rev Growth60.8%
Beta0.48
Dividend5.61%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.27bearish
IV39%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $37.68Resistance $39.58

Price Targets

$38
$45
A.Upside-4.7%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EPD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $39.17, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.5% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $45.05 (+15.0%), stop $38.05 (−2.9%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EPD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $45.05 (-4.7% upside). Target $45.05 (+15.0%), stop $38.05 (−2.9%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Stop-loss: $38.05.

What are the risks of investing in EPD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.5% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3).

Is EPD overvalued or undervalued?

Enterprise Products Partners L. trades at a P/E of 13.6 (forward 12.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EPD?

26 analysts cover EPD with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Enterprise Products Partners L. do?Enterprise Products Partners L.P. provides midstream energy services to producers and consumers of natural gas, natural...

Enterprise Products Partners L.P. provides midstream energy services to producers and consumers of natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), crude oil, petrochemicals, and refined products. It operates in four segments: NGL Pipelines & Services; Crude Oil Pipelines & Services; Natural Gas Pipelines & Services; and Petrochemical & Refined Products Services. The NGL Pipelines & Services segment offers natural gas processing and related NGL marketing activities. This segment operates natural gas processing facilities located in Colorado, Louisiana, Mississippi, New Mexico, Texas, and Wyoming; NGL pipelines; NGL fractionation facilities; NGL and related product storage facilities; and NGL marine terminals. The Crude Oil Pipelines & Services segment operates crude oil pipelines; and crude oil storage and marine terminals, which include a fleet of approximately 200 tractor-trailer tank trucks that are used to transport crude oil. It also engages in crude oil marketing activities. The Natural Gas Pipelines & Services segment operates natural gas pipeline systems to gather, treat, and transport natural gas. It leases underground salt dome natural gas storage facilities in Napoleonville, Louisiana; owns an underground salt dome storage cavern in Wharton County, Texas; and transports, stores, and markets natural gas. The Petrochemical & Refined Products Services segment operates propylene fractionation facilities, including propylene fractionation units and propane dehydrogenation facilities, and related marketing activities; butane isomerization complex and related deisobutanizer operations; and octane enhancement, isobutane dehydrogenation, and high purity isobutylene production facilities. It also operates refined products pipelines and terminals; and ethylene export terminals; and provides refined products marketing and marine transportation services. The company was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

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