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Viper Energy, Inc. (VNOM) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Wait for pullback to $46.45. At $49.20 the A.R:R is 0.7:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $46.45 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin of West Texas; Concentration risk — Geographic: Wolfberry resource play in the Midland Basin.

Viper Energy, Inc. owns, acquires, and exploits oil and natural gas properties in North America. It focuses on owning and acquiring mineral and royalty interests in the Permian Basin. Viper Energy, Inc. was formerly known as Viper Energy Partners LP and changed its name to Viper... Read more

$49.20+8.4% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#10 of 42 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-5.98%
IncomeYield4.74%(5y avg 5.71%)Payout97.12%at-risk
Entry $46.45(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $44.01Target $51.99(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.7:1Setup A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$57.76+17.4%17 analysts
$51.99our TP
$49.20price
$57.76mean
$65

Wait for pullback to $46.45. At $49.20 the A.R:R is 0.7:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $46.45 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin of West Texas; Concentration risk — Geographic: Wolfberry resource play in the Midland Basin. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val6.1Qual5.5Grw10.0Mom6.5Sent7.4Ins3.0Peer3.8Tech4.7Risk8.26.3OVERALL

Recent Developments — Viper Energy, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin of West Texas
Concentration risk — Geographic: Wolfberry resource play in the Midland Basin
Thin upside margin: 5.7%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)20.3
Mkt Cap$17.5B
EV/EBITDA10.8
Profit Mgn-2.9%
ROE-1.8%
Rev Growth109.1%
Beta0.31
Dividend4.74%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.09bullish
IV37%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicPermian Basin of West Texas
    10-K Item 1A: 'The producing properties in which we have mineral and royalty interests are currently geographically primarily concentrated in the Permian Basin of West Texas'
  • HIGHGeographicWolfberry resource play in the Midland Basin
    10-K Item 1A: 'most of our proved reserves are concentrated in the Wolfberry resource play in the Midland Basin'
  • MEDIUMCustomersmall number of operators
    10-K Item 1A: 'We depend on a small number of operators for a substantial portion of the development and production on our mineral and royalty acreage'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-19Item 5.02LOW
    Will Krueger, VP–Legal, promoted to VP, General Counsel and Secretary of Viper Energy effective February 18, 2026. He continues as employee of Diamondback E&P LLC under the Services and Secondment Agreement. Matt Zmigrosky stepped down as EVP, General Counsel. Successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
0.7
Growth Rank
9.3
Industry growth leader
GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $45.43Resistance $50.41

Price Targets

$44
$46
$52
A.Upside+5.7%
A.R:R0.7:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Reward/Risk 0.7:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VNOM stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $46.45. At $49.20 the A.R:R is 0.7:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $46.45 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin of West Texas; Concentration risk — Geographic: Wolfberry resource play in the Midland Basin. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $51.99 (+5.7%), stop $44.01 (−11.8%), Setup A.R:R 1.6:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VNOM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $51.99 (+8.4% upside). Target $51.99 (+5.7%), stop $44.01 (−11.8%), Setup A.R:R 1.6:1. Stop-loss: $44.01.

What are the risks of investing in VNOM?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin of West Texas; Concentration risk — Geographic: Wolfberry resource play in the Midland Basin; Thin upside margin: 5.7%.

Is VNOM overvalued or undervalued?

Viper Energy, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 20.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about VNOM?

25 analysts cover VNOM with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $58.

What does Viper Energy, Inc. do?Viper Energy, Inc. owns, acquires, and exploits oil and natural gas properties in North America. It focuses on owning...

Viper Energy, Inc. owns, acquires, and exploits oil and natural gas properties in North America. It focuses on owning and acquiring mineral and royalty interests in the Permian Basin. Viper Energy, Inc. was formerly known as Viper Energy Partners LP and changed its name to Viper Energy, Inc. in November 2023. Viper Energy, Inc. was founded in 2013 and is based in Midland, Texas. Viper Energy, Inc. is a subsidiary of Diamondback Energy, Inc.

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