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Viper Energy, Inc. (VNOM) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $48.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin of West Texas; Concentration risk — Customer: small number of operators.

Viper Energy, Inc. owns, acquires, and exploits oil and natural gas properties in North America. It focuses on owning and acquiring mineral and royalty interests in the Permian Basin. Viper Energy, Inc. was formerly known as Viper Energy Partners LP and changed its name to Viper... Read more

$48.90+3.6% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#12 of 41 Oil & Gas Midstream
Stop $46.46Target $50.61(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$56.24+15.0%17 analysts
$50.61our TP
$48.90price
$56.24mean
$65

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $48.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin of West Texas; Concentration risk — Customer: small number of operators. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin of West Texas
Concentration risk — Customer: small number of operators
Thin upside margin: 3.6%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)20.0
Mkt Cap$18.3B
EV/EBITDA13.1
Profit Mgn-5.1%
ROE-2.9%
Rev Growth89.4%
Beta0.30
Dividend4.50%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.27bearish
IV51%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicPermian Basin of West Texas
    10-K Item 1A: 'The producing properties in which we have mineral and royalty interests are currently geographically primarily concentrated in the Permian Basin of West Texas.'
  • HIGHCustomersmall number of operators
    10-K Item 1A: 'We depend on a small number of operators for a substantial portion of the development and production on our mineral and royalty acreage.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-19Item 5.02LOW
    Will Krueger promoted to VP, General Counsel and Secretary of Viper Energy effective February 18, 2026, succeeding Matt Zmigrosky who stepped down to facilitate the promotion. Clean handoff.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.1
Value Rank
0.5
Growth Rank
9.0
Industry growth leader
GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $44.05Resistance $49.07

Price Targets

$46
$51
A.Upside+3.5%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 0.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-04 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VNOM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $48.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin of West Texas; Concentration risk — Customer: small number of operators. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $50.61 (+3.5%), stop $46.46 (−5.3%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VNOM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $50.61 (+3.6% upside). Target $50.61 (+3.5%), stop $46.46 (−5.3%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Stop-loss: $46.46.

What are the risks of investing in VNOM?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Permian Basin of West Texas; Concentration risk — Customer: small number of operators; Thin upside margin: 3.6%.

Is VNOM overvalued or undervalued?

Viper Energy, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 20.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about VNOM?

26 analysts cover VNOM with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $56.

What does Viper Energy, Inc. do?Viper Energy, Inc. owns, acquires, and exploits oil and natural gas properties in North America. It focuses on owning...

Viper Energy, Inc. owns, acquires, and exploits oil and natural gas properties in North America. It focuses on owning and acquiring mineral and royalty interests in the Permian Basin. Viper Energy, Inc. was formerly known as Viper Energy Partners LP and changed its name to Viper Energy, Inc. in November 2023. Viper Energy, Inc. was founded in 2013 and is based in Midland, Texas. Viper Energy, Inc. is a subsidiary of Diamondback Energy, Inc.

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