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Enterprise Products Partners L. (EPD) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.65: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Enterprise Products Partners L.P. provides midstream energy services to producers and consumers of natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), crude oil, petrochemicals, and refined products. It operates in four segments: NGL Pipelines & Services; Crude Oil Pipelines & Services;... Read more

$38.65-1.9% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#38 of 41 Oil & Gas Midstream
Stop $37.41Target $37.93(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$40.20+4.0%20 analysts
$37.93our TP
$38.65price
$40.20mean
$35
$45

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.65: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-6.4% upside)
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.4
P/E (Fwd)12.4
Mkt Cap$83.9B
EV/EBITDA12.2
Profit Mgn11.4%
ROE
Rev Growth-6.7%
Beta0.53
Dividend5.65%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C0.31bullish
IV38%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -6.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.8
Earnings Growth
3.3
Declining revenue: -7%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
52w Position
9.7

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
5.0
Operating Margin
5.1
Net Margin
5.7
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
74 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $35.67Resistance $38.70

Price Targets

$37
$38
A.Upside-1.9%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EPD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.65: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $37.41. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EPD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $37.93 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $37.41. Stop-loss: $37.41.

What are the risks of investing in EPD?

Target reached (-6.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is EPD overvalued or undervalued?

Enterprise Products Partners L. trades at a P/E of 14.4 (forward 12.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EPD?

26 analysts cover EPD with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $40.

What does Enterprise Products Partners L. do?Enterprise Products Partners L.P. provides midstream energy services to producers and consumers of natural gas, natural...

Enterprise Products Partners L.P. provides midstream energy services to producers and consumers of natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), crude oil, petrochemicals, and refined products. It operates in four segments: NGL Pipelines & Services; Crude Oil Pipelines & Services; Natural Gas Pipelines & Services; and Petrochemical & Refined Products Services. The NGL Pipelines & Services segment offers natural gas processing and related NGL marketing activities. This segment operates natural gas processing facilities located in Colorado, Louisiana, Mississippi, New Mexico, Texas, and Wyoming; NGL pipelines; NGL fractionation facilities; NGL and related product storage facilities; and NGL marine terminals. The Crude Oil Pipelines & Services segment operates crude oil pipelines; and crude oil storage and marine terminals, which include a fleet of approximately 200 tractor-trailer tank trucks that are used to transport crude oil. It also engages in crude oil marketing activities. The Natural Gas Pipelines & Services segment operates natural gas pipeline systems to gather, treat, and transport natural gas. It leases underground salt dome natural gas storage facilities in Napoleonville, Louisiana; owns an underground salt dome storage cavern in Wharton County, Texas; and transports, stores, and markets natural gas. The Petrochemical & Refined Products Services segment operates propylene fractionation facilities, including propylene fractionation units and propane dehydrogenation facilities, and related marketing activities; butane isomerization complex and related deisobutanizer operations; and octane enhancement, isobutane dehydrogenation, and high purity isobutylene production facilities. It also operates refined products pipelines and terminals; and ethylene export terminals; and provides refined products marketing and marine transportation services. The company was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

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