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EOLSEvolus, Inc. Common StockSell5.3·$6.90+2.37%
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Evolus, Inc. Common Stock (EOLS) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.90: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 6.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 83.38; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Evolus, Inc., a performance beauty company, delivers products in the cash-pay aesthetic market in the United States, Canada, Europe, and Australia. It offers Jeuveau, a proprietary 900 kilodalton purified botulinum toxin type A formulation for the temporary improvement in the... Read more

QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-5.11%
Stop $6.42Target $12.76(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 6.9:1
Analyst target$14.67+112.6%6 analysts
$12.76our TP
$6.90price
$14.67mean
$20

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.90: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 6.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 83.38; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -8.2%), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.03% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)28.8
Mkt Cap$454M
EV/EBITDA-24.6
Profit Mgn-14.4%
ROE
Rev Growth6.7%
Beta1.32
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C83.38bearish
IV72%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Put Call
0.0
Volatility
1.1
Implied Vol
1.4
Days To Cover
2.2
Short Interest
5.5
Beta
5.7
Elevated put/call: 83.38High IV: 72%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
3.0
Support Resistance
3.3
Bollinger
3.4

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M

Unprofitable operations — net margin -14.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Moat
6.4
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
7.1
Gross Margin
9.2
Cash-burning: FCF -8% of revenueRule of 40: -1 (fail)

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.2
Macd
3.6
Rsi
5.0
Ma Position
8.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R 6.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $6.05Resistance $7.32

Price Targets

$6
$13
A.Upside+84.9%
A.R:R6.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -8.2%), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.03% of cap), Negative free cash flow
! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EOLS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.90: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 6.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 83.38; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $6.42. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EOLS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.76 (+84.9% upside). Prior stop was $6.42. Stop-loss: $6.42.

What are the risks of investing in EOLS?

Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -8.2%), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.03% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is EOLS overvalued or undervalued?

Evolus, Inc. Common Stock trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 28.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EOLS?

13 analysts cover EOLS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Evolus, Inc. Common Stock do?Evolus, Inc., a performance beauty company, delivers products in the cash-pay aesthetic market in the United States,...

Evolus, Inc., a performance beauty company, delivers products in the cash-pay aesthetic market in the United States, Canada, Europe, and Australia. It offers Jeuveau, a proprietary 900 kilodalton purified botulinum toxin type A formulation for the temporary improvement in the appearance of moderate to severe glabellar lines in adults; and Evolysse, a collection of injectable hyaluronic acid gels, which includes various products, such as mid face, nasolabial folds, lips and eyes. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Newport Beach, California.

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