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EOLSEvolus, Inc. Common StockSell6.2·$8.16+0.06%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Evolus offers a highly asymmetric modeled upside, but margin compression, insider selling, a failed momentum gate, and an extreme put/call ratio all flag elevated risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Value Trap Margin Compression Insider Selling
  • Extreme Asymmetric Upside
  • Momentum Gate Failure
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Evolus, Inc. Common Stock (EOLS) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.16: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 3.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Evolus, Inc. is a global performance beauty company selling Jeuveau®, an injectable botulinum toxin type A for frown lines, and Evolysse™, a line of injectable hyaluronic acid gel fillers, to licensed aesthetic practitioners in the cash-pay aesthetic market. The company... Read more

QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-0.22%
Stop $7.59Target $12.76(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.8:1
Analyst target$14.67+79.7%6 analysts
$12.76our TP
$8.16price
$14.67mean
$20

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.16: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 3.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-17

Recent Developments — Evolus, Inc. Common Stock

Generated 2026-08-01T10:18:12Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202679d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Daewoong (Jeuveau manufacturer)
Concentration risk — Supplier: Symatese (Evolysse manufacturer)
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)31.6
Mkt Cap$539M
EV/EBITDA-56.2
Profit Mgn-10.8%
ROE
Rev Growth21.2%
Beta1.36
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$8-8.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierDaewoong (Jeuveau manufacturer)
    10-K Item 1: 'Daewoong Pharmaceuticals Co. Ltd. ("Daewoong") manufactures and supplies Jeuveau® to us.'
  • HIGHSupplierSymatese (Evolysse manufacturer)
    10-K Item 1: 'Symatese Aesthetics S.A.S. ("Symatese") manufactures and supplies Evolysse™ to us.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.9
Bollinger
1.5
52w Position
6.0

Unprofitable operations — net margin -10.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Current Ratio
6.1
Piotroski F
6.7
Moat
7.0
Gross Margin
9.3
Cash-burning: FCF -0% of revenueRule of 40: 21 (fail)
GatesMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5A.R:R 3.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
79 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $5.47Resistance $8.43

Price Targets

$8
$13
A.Upside+56.4%
A.R:R3.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EOLS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.16: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 3.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $7.59. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EOLS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.76 (+56.4% upside). Prior stop was $7.59. Stop-loss: $7.59.

What are the risks of investing in EOLS?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Daewoong (Jeuveau manufacturer); Concentration risk — Supplier: Symatese (Evolysse manufacturer); Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is EOLS overvalued or undervalued?

Evolus, Inc. Common Stock trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 31.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EOLS?

13 analysts cover EOLS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Evolus, Inc. Common Stock do?Evolus, Inc. is a global performance beauty company selling Jeuveau®, an injectable botulinum toxin type A for frown...

Evolus, Inc. is a global performance beauty company selling Jeuveau®, an injectable botulinum toxin type A for frown lines, and Evolysse™, a line of injectable hyaluronic acid gel fillers, to licensed aesthetic practitioners in the cash-pay aesthetic market. The company generates revenue from direct-to-practitioner sales in the U.S., Canada, Europe, and Australia, with Jeuveau® manufactured exclusively by Daewoong Pharmaceutical in South Korea and Evolysse™ manufactured exclusively by Symatese in France.

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