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EMNEastman Chemical CompanyHold6.2·$74.07+0.41%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Eastman Chemical screens attractively on price-to-earnings and PEG metrics, but a Piotroski F-Score of 3 out of 9, no competitive moat, and revenue declining 5% year-over-year indicate the cheapness reflects genuine fundamental weakness; with less than 1% upside remaining to the analyst price target, the risk/reward offers almost no margin of safety.

Thesis pillars

  • Exhausted Upside Near TargetStable
  • Quality Deficit Below MinimumStable
  • Revenue Contraction Limits ReratingStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Eastman Chemical Company (EMN) Stock Analysis

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $74.07, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Eastman Chemical Company ("Eastman" or the "Company") is a global specialty materials company that produces a broad range of products found in items people use every day. Eastman began business in 1920 for the purpose of producing chemicals for Eastman Kodak Company's... Read more

$74.07-0.9% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#10 of 41 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield6.46%
IncomeYield4.63%(5y avg 3.61%)Payout87.24%at-risk
Stop $69.85Target $85.18(default +15%)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$81.60+10.2%15 analysts
$85.18our TP
$74.07price
$81.60mean
$100

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $74.07, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 2, 202680d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.9
P/E (Fwd)10.6
Mkt Cap$8.4B
EV/EBITDA9.5
Profit Mgn5.0%
ROE7.3%
Rev Growth9.9%
Beta1.08
Dividend4.63%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV45%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.5
Bollinger
2.1
52w Position
8.2
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
72 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $66.79Resistance $75.37

Price Targets

$70
$85
A.Upside-0.9%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-02 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EMN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $74.07, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $85.18 (+15.0%), stop $69.85 (−6.0%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EMN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $85.18 (-0.9% upside). Target $85.18 (+15.0%), stop $69.85 (−6.0%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $69.85.

What are the risks of investing in EMN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is EMN overvalued or undervalued?

Eastman Chemical Company trades at a P/E of 18.9 (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EMN?

22 analysts cover EMN with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $82.

What does Eastman Chemical Company do?Eastman Chemical Company ("Eastman" or the "Company") is a global specialty materials company that produces a broad...

Eastman Chemical Company ("Eastman" or the "Company") is a global specialty materials company that produces a broad range of products found in items people use every day. Eastman began business in 1920 for the purpose of producing chemicals for Eastman Kodak Company's photographic business and became a public company, incorporated in Delaware, on December 31, 1993.

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