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EMNEastman Chemical CompanySell5.1·$68.20+0.41%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Eastman Chemical screens attractively on price-to-earnings and PEG metrics, but a Piotroski F-Score of 3 out of 9, no competitive moat, and revenue declining 5% year-over-year indicate the cheapness reflects genuine fundamental weakness; with less than 1% upside remaining to the analyst price target, the risk/reward offers almost no margin of safety.

Thesis pillars

  • Exhausted Upside Near TargetStable
  • Quality Deficit Below MinimumStable
  • Revenue Contraction Limits ReratingStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Eastman Chemical Company (EMN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellValueShortModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Earnings in 5 days (2026-07-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $68.20: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Eastman Chemical Company ("Eastman" or the "Company") is a global specialty materials company that produces a broad range of products found in items people use every day. Eastman began business in 1920 for the purpose of producing chemicals for Eastman Kodak Company's... Read more

$68.20+7.1% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#36 of 41 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield5.57%
IncomeYield4.95%(5y avg 3.61%)Payout96.53%at-risk
Stop $64.44Target $73.02(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$81.13+19.0%15 analysts
$73.02our TP
$68.20price
$81.13mean
$100

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $68.20: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26

Recent Developments — Eastman Chemical Company

Generated 2026-07-26T08:02:04Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.7
P/E (Fwd)9.9
Mkt Cap$7.8B
EV/EBITDA9.2
Profit Mgn4.6%
ROE6.6%
Rev Growth-4.9%
Beta1.08
Dividend4.95%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.28bullish
IV49%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -4.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
1.3
Declining revenue: -5%

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Roe
2.2
Net Margin
2.3
Roa
2.4
Moat
3.1
Piotroski F
3.3
Operating Margin
3.9
Current Ratio
5.4
Fcf Quality
7.4
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.5
Quality Rank
4.0
Value Rank
6.6
GatesA.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $66.00Resistance $70.88

Price Targets

$64
$73
A.Upside+7.1%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EMN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $68.20: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $64.44. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EMN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $73.02 (+7.1% upside). Prior stop was $64.44. Stop-loss: $64.44.

What are the risks of investing in EMN?

Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is EMN overvalued or undervalued?

Eastman Chemical Company trades at a P/E of 19.7 (forward 9.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EMN?

22 analysts cover EMN with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $81.

What does Eastman Chemical Company do?Eastman Chemical Company ("Eastman" or the "Company") is a global specialty materials company that produces a broad...

Eastman Chemical Company ("Eastman" or the "Company") is a global specialty materials company that produces a broad range of products found in items people use every day. Eastman began business in 1920 for the purpose of producing chemicals for Eastman Kodak Company's photographic business and became a public company, incorporated in Delaware, on December 31, 1993.

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