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Eastman Chemical Company (EMN) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $70.94: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Eastman Chemical Company ("Eastman" or the "Company") is a global specialty materials company that produces a broad range of products found in items people use every day. Eastman began business in 1920 for the purpose of producing chemicals for Eastman Kodak Company's... Read more

$70.94+7.0% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#34 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield5.35%
IncomeYield4.74%(5y avg 3.57%)Payout96.53%at-risk
Stop $67.81Target $75.90(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$84.33+18.9%15 analysts
$75.90our TP
$70.94price
$84.33mean
$100

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $70.94: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Eastman Chemical Company

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.5
P/E (Fwd)10.1
Mkt Cap$8.1B
EV/EBITDA9.5
Profit Mgn4.6%
ROE6.6%
Rev Growth-4.9%
Beta1.06
Dividend4.74%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV49%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -4.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
1.3
Declining revenue: -5%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.9
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.6
Quality Rank
3.8
Value Rank
6.8

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Roe
2.2
Net Margin
2.3
Roa
2.4
Moat
3.1
Piotroski F
3.3
Operating Margin
3.9
Current Ratio
5.4
Fcf Quality
7.4
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $69.91Resistance $79.05

Price Targets

$68
$76
A.Upside+7.0%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.0:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EMN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $70.94: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $67.81. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EMN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $75.90 (+7.0% upside). Prior stop was $67.81. Stop-loss: $67.81.

What are the risks of investing in EMN?

Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).

Is EMN overvalued or undervalued?

Eastman Chemical Company trades at a P/E of 20.5 (forward 10.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EMN?

22 analysts cover EMN with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $84.

What does Eastman Chemical Company do?Eastman Chemical Company ("Eastman" or the "Company") is a global specialty materials company that produces a broad...

Eastman Chemical Company ("Eastman" or the "Company") is a global specialty materials company that produces a broad range of products found in items people use every day. Eastman began business in 1920 for the purpose of producing chemicals for Eastman Kodak Company's photographic business and became a public company, incorporated in Delaware, on December 31, 1993.

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