Eastman Chemical screens attractively on price-to-earnings and PEG metrics, but a Piotroski F-Score of 3 out of 9, no competitive moat, and revenue declining 5% year-over-year indicate the cheapness reflects genuine fundamental weakness; with less than 1% upside remaining to the analyst price target, the risk/reward offers almost no margin of safety.
Thesis pillars
- Exhausted Upside Near Target↑Improving
- Quality Deficit Below Minimum→Stable
- Revenue Contraction Limits Rerating↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 13, 2026· older than 90 days
Eastman Chemical Company (EMN) Stock Analysis
Sector Rotation edge
Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals
Sell if holding. At $65.34, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2).
Eastman Chemical Company ("Eastman" or the "Company") is a global specialty materials company that produces a broad range of products found in items people use every day. Eastman began business in 1920 for the purpose of producing chemicals for Eastman Kodak Company's... Read more
Sell if holding. At $65.34, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 85d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated Nov 3, 2026Recent Developments — Eastman Chemical Company
Latest news
- NEWS Citigroup Adjusts Eastman Chemical Price Target — fiscal.ai Nov 3, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Citigroup Maintains Buy on Eastman Chemical, Lowers Price Target to $75 — benzinga Nov 3, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Eastman Chemical says DoE reinstates $375M award; Q3 earnings miss consensus (EMN:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha Oct 29, 2026 negative
- NEWS Eastman Chemical (EMN) Misses Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 29, 2026 negative
- NEWS Eastman Chemical (EMN) Q3 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 29, 2026 neutral
Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:34:30Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
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Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
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Price Targets
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Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $65.34, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $62.06. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $67.33 (+3.0% upside). Prior stop was $62.06. Stop-loss: $62.06.
Thin upside margin: 3.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.
Eastman Chemical Company trades at a P/E of 11.6 (forward 10.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
23 analysts rate EMN, with a consensus score of 3.7/5. 16 analysts publish price targets averaging $75.
What does Eastman Chemical Company do?Eastman Chemical Company ("Eastman" or the "Company") is a global specialty materials company that produces a broad...
Eastman Chemical Company ("Eastman" or the "Company") is a global specialty materials company that produces a broad range of products found in items people use every day. Eastman began business in 1920 for the purpose of producing chemicals for Eastman Kodak Company's photographic business and became a public company, incorporated in Delaware, on December 31, 1993.