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EIXEdison InternationalSell5.5·$56.21-0.16%
SellModerate Confidence

Thesis pillars

  • Geographic Regulatory Concentration RiskDeteriorating
  • Perfect Four Quarter Earnings StreakDeteriorating
  • Negative Free Cash Flow Quality RiskStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Edison International (EIX) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. At $56.21, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: southern California; Concentration risk — Regulatory: CPUC.

Edison International is the parent holding company of Southern California Edison (SCE), an investor-owned electric utility serving approximately 5 million customers across a 50,000 square-mile service territory in southern California, with CPUC-authorized revenues of $9.7... Read more

$56.21+7.1% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#9 of 41 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield0.38%
IncomeYield6.36%(5y avg 4.58%)Payout35.71%sustainable
Stop $52.31Target $60.22(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$69.21+23.1%14 analysts
$60.22our TP
$56.21price
$69.21mean
$50
$86

Sell if holding. At $56.21, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: southern California; Concentration risk — Regulatory: CPUC. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Edison International

About Edison International

Southern California Edison, the principal subsidiary of Edison International, served approximately 5 million customers in a 50,000 square-mile service territory in southern California at December 31, 2025, with CPUC-authorized revenues of $9.7 billion for 2025, stepping to $10.2 billion in 2026, $10.7 billion in 2027, and $11.2 billion in 2028 under the 2025 General Rate Case. Edison International also owns Trio, a global energy advisory firm serving commercial and industrial clients. The company employed 13,725 people at year-end 2025, including 13,235 SCE employees, with approximately 4,600 represented by the IBEW under agreements expiring December 31, 2027.

Edison International earns revenue primarily through SCE's regulated cost-of-service model. The CPUC decouples authorized revenue from electricity sales volume — differences between amounts collected and authorized levels are reconciled through rate adjustments that do not affect operating revenue, so electricity sales volume has no direct impact on SCE's financial results. SCE's authorized capital structure is 43% long-term debt, 5% preferred equity, and 52% common equity, with an authorized ROE of 10.03% for 2026 and a weighted average return on rate base of 7.59%. Approximately $1.6 billion in wildfire risk mitigation capital expenditures are excluded from rate base under AB 1054; SB 254 is expected to exclude an additional $2.9 billion of wildfire mitigation capital approved on or after January 1, 2026 — structurally limiting rate-base growth from this spending category.

Show full overview

Wildfire liability is the dominant operating risk for SCE. California courts have applied inverse condemnation to find utilities strictly liable for property damage when utility equipment is a substantial cause of a wildfire, regardless of fault. The Eaton Fire igniting in Los Angeles County in January 2025 resulted in loss of life and property damage, and the 10-K notes that if Wildfire Fund reimbursements for eligible Eaton Fire claims arrive later than projected, SCE could face short-term liquidity pressure. The Wildfire Fund, established under AB 1054, could be exhausted by prior damage claims from participating utilities, eliminating both the reimbursement mechanism and the Liability Cap — a scenario that could materially affect SCE's financial condition.

See also: Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

From Edison International's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: southern California
Concentration risk — Regulatory: CPUC
Thin upside margin: 7.1%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.7
P/E (Fwd)8.7
Mkt Cap$21.7B
EV/EBITDA7.5
Profit Mgn19.3%
ROE19.7%
Rev Growth-4.1%
Beta0.65
Dividend6.36%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.41bullish
IV66%elevated
Max Pain$55-2.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicsouthern California
    10-K Item 1: 'an approximately 50,000 square-mile area of southern California. SCE serves approximately 5 million customers in its service area'
  • HIGHregulatoryCPUC
    10-K Item 1: 'The CPUC regulates SCE's cost of capital, including its capital structure and authorized rates of return'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-23Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Maria Rigatti to resign effective July 3, 2026 and retire September 1, 2026. Aaron D. Moss (current SCE CFO since 2022) elected EVP and CFO of EIX effective July 3, 2026. Board also expanded from 11 to 12 members; M. Susan Hardwick elected independent director.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $52.50Resistance $75.90

Price Targets

$52
$60
A.Upside+7.1%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EIX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $56.21, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: southern California; Concentration risk — Regulatory: CPUC. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $52.31. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EIX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $60.22 (+7.1% upside). Prior stop was $52.31. Stop-loss: $52.31.

What are the risks of investing in EIX?

Concentration risk — Geographic: southern California; Concentration risk — Regulatory: CPUC; Thin upside margin: 7.1%.

Is EIX overvalued or undervalued?

Edison International trades at a P/E of 5.7 (forward 8.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EIX?

25 analysts cover EIX with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $69.

What does Edison International do?Edison International is the parent holding company of Southern California Edison (SCE), an investor-owned electric...

Edison International is the parent holding company of Southern California Edison (SCE), an investor-owned electric utility serving approximately 5 million customers across a 50,000 square-mile service territory in southern California, with CPUC-authorized revenues of $9.7 billion for 2025. SCE earns revenue through rates authorized in quadrennial General Rate Case proceedings; Edison International also owns Trio, an energy advisory firm.

Related stocks: ELPC (Companhia Paranaense de Energia) · NEE (NextEra Energy, Inc.) · PCG (Pacific Gas & Electric Co.) · ED (Consolidated Edison, Inc.) · CNP (CenterPoint Energy, Inc (Holdin)
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