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EDConsolidated Edison, Inc.Sell5.2·$113.99+2.74%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The stock has traded past its analyst consensus target, leaving negative implied upside from current levels; a recent earnings miss, deeply negative free cash flow, a high yield flagged as potentially uncovered, and concentrated exposure to a single state regulator and metropolitan area combine to produce an unfavorable risk/reward that supports reducing the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Regulatory Geographic ConcentrationStable
  • Negative Free Cash Flow Earnings QualityStable
  • Stock Above Analyst TargetStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Consolidated Edison, Inc. (ED) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. At $113.99, A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Regulatory: NYSPSC; Concentration risk — Geographic: New York City.

Consolidated Edison is a New York holding company whose principal subsidiaries — CECONY and O&R — deliver electricity, natural gas, and steam under regulated tariffs approved by the NYSPSC. CECONY serves approximately 3.7 million electric and 1.1 million gas customers in New... Read more

$113.99-1.9% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#18 of 42 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-1.98%
IncomeYield3.05%(5y avg 3.46%)Payout57.97%sustainable
Stop $110.17Target $111.81(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst target$110.13-3.4%16 analysts
$111.81our TP
$113.99price
$110.13mean
$97
$130

Sell if holding. At $113.99, A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Regulatory: NYSPSC; Concentration risk — Geographic: New York City. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Consolidated Edison, Inc.

About Consolidated Edison, Inc.

Consolidated Edison's regulated Utilities — CECONY and O&R — collectively serve approximately 4.1 million electric customers and over 1.2 million gas customers across New York City, Westchester County, southeastern New York, and northern New Jersey. CECONY generated $11.7 billion in electric delivery revenues in 2025 and operates the single longest underground electric distribution system in the United States. Both Utilities are subject to NYSPSC-approved rate plans; FERC regulates electric transmission rates.

Con Edison earns revenue from rate-based delivery of electricity, natural gas, and steam under tariffs approved by the NYSPSC, with rates set to recover the Utilities' cost of service including a return on equity. CECONY's electric delivery revenues include a revenue decoupling mechanism, so delivery revenues are generally not affected by changes in delivery volumes from levels assumed when rates were approved. In 2025, 56% of the electricity CECONY delivered was purchased by customers from other suppliers under a retail choice program, with CECONY earning delivery fees without commodity margin. The Utilities estimate capital expenditures will exceed $37,100 million over the next five years, driven by grid infrastructure investment. CECONY's steam system, the largest in the United States, delivers approximately 16,975 MMlb of steam annually to approximately 1,490 Manhattan customers. Con Edison Transmission invests in electric transmission projects through joint ventures subject to FERC regulation.

Show full overview

The NYSPSC wields broad authority over the Utilities: it may impose material penalties for violations of state utility laws, conduct at-least-five-year reviews of a utility's service adequacy, and in extreme cases revoke or modify operating certificates. Rate plans include negative revenue adjustments for failure to meet operating and customer satisfaction standards. The NYSPSC approved CECONY's and O&R's emergency response plans in March 2025 and required updated 2026 plans by December 2025. In March 2026, Con Edison disclosed via Form 8-K that the Companies entered into a new Credit Agreement with Bank of America, N.A. as Administrative Agent, replacing two prior credit facilities from 2023 and 2025.

See also: Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

From Consolidated Edison, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Regulatory: NYSPSC
Concentration risk — Geographic: New York City
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.2
P/E (Fwd)17.6
Mkt Cap$42.0B
EV/EBITDA11.5
Profit Mgn12.5%
ROE8.7%
Rev Growth6.2%
Beta0.26
Dividend3.05%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV50%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHregulatoryNYSPSC
    10-K Item 1: 'The Utilities are subject to regulation by the NYSPSC, that under the New York Public Service Law, is authorized to set the terms of service and the rates the Utilities charge'
  • HIGHGeographicNew York City
    10-K Item 1: 'CECONY provides electric service to approximately 3.7 million customers in all of New York City (except a part of Queens) and most of Westchester County'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-11Item 1.01LOW
    Con Edison, CECONY, and O&R entered into a new Credit Agreement on March 11, 2026 with Bank of America, N.A. as Administrative Agent, replacing prior facilities. No reason cited beyond maturity/renewal.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-11Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Termination of two prior credit agreements: the March 27, 2023 Credit Agreement and the March 24, 2025 364-Day Revolving Credit Agreement, both with Bank of America, N.A. Terminated upon entry into replacement Credit Agreement same date.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.1
Gap
5.0
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVE8K FLAG 1.02Momentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
75 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $102.82Resistance $114.09

Price Targets

$110
$112
A.Upside-1.9%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ED stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $113.99, A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Regulatory: NYSPSC; Concentration risk — Geographic: New York City. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $110.17. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ED stock price target?

Take-profit target: $111.81 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $110.17. Stop-loss: $110.17.

What are the risks of investing in ED?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: NYSPSC; Concentration risk — Geographic: New York City; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is ED overvalued or undervalued?

Consolidated Edison, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.2 (forward 17.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ED?

26 analysts cover ED with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $110.

What does Consolidated Edison, Inc. do?Consolidated Edison is a New York holding company whose principal subsidiaries — CECONY and O&R — deliver electricity,...

Consolidated Edison is a New York holding company whose principal subsidiaries — CECONY and O&R — deliver electricity, natural gas, and steam under regulated tariffs approved by the NYSPSC. CECONY serves approximately 3.7 million electric and 1.1 million gas customers in New York City and Westchester County, generating $11.7 billion in electric delivery revenues in 2025.

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