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ECHOEchoStar CorporationSell3.4·$99.25+0.98%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

ECHO carries a serious bankruptcy-related news flag and negative sentiment heading into an earnings catalyst with a 3/4 beat streak, against a backdrop of extreme short interest and capitulation-level oversold momentum.

Thesis pillars

  • Bankruptcy News FlagStable
  • Negative Sentiment Ahead Of CatalystStable
  • Extreme Short InterestStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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EchoStar Corporation (ECHO) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ShortHigh Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $99.25: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.4/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 36%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

EchoStar Corporation is a holding company operating four segments — Pay-TV (DISH® and SLING® TV, 6.998 million subscribers), Wireless (Boost Mobile® and Gen Mobile®, 7.511 million subscribers), Broadband and Satellite Services (739,000 subscribers), and Other — after... Read more

$99.25+24.3% A.UpsideScore 3.4/10#45 of 45 Telecom Services
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-1.56%
Stop $92.41Target $123.53(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$145.33+46.4%3 analysts
$123.53our TP
$99.25price
$145.33mean
$161

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $99.25: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.4/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 36%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 3.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and news bankruptcy. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About EchoStar Corporation

About EchoStar Corporation

EchoStar Corporation operates four segments generating revenue from 6.998 million Pay-TV subscribers under the DISH and SLING brands, 7.511 million Wireless subscribers under Boost Mobile and Gen Mobile, and 739,000 Broadband subscribers, following a 2025 pivot away from its own 5G Network after the FCC determined the company's spectrum utilization was inconsistent with the public interest.

EchoStar's Pay-TV segment earns subscription revenue from DISH satellite television and SLING TV streaming services, competing against larger cable, satellite, and internet-based video providers; SLING subscribers generate lower average revenue per user than DISH TV subscribers, and continued mix shift toward SLING has weighed on blended Pay-TV ARPU. The Wireless segment sells nationwide service under the Boost Mobile and Gen Mobile brands and, following the AT&T Transactions, operates as a Hybrid MNO in which EchoStar runs its own network core and billing systems while AT&T supplies radio access network infrastructure and spectrum through December 2031, with two additional two-year extension options available. Broadband and Satellite Services provides consumer and enterprise satellite connectivity, including in-flight connectivity for commercial and business aviation, and depends on continuous utilization of EchoStar's available satellite capacity to generate revenue.

Show full overview

EchoStar's Wireless segment now runs on a two-counterparty network dependency: the 10-K states the company depends on T-Mobile and AT&T under the MNSA and NSA agreements to provide network services to its Wireless subscribers, and any system failure or termination of either agreement could materially harm results. This dependency deepened after the FCC's 2025 review forced EchoStar to abandon its own 5G Network buildout and sell spectrum to AT&T for up to $22.65 billion and to SpaceX for up to $20 billion, transactions that remain subject to FCC and Department of Justice approval and are not expected to close before the first half of 2026.

See also: Communication Services · Telecom Services

From EchoStar Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07

Recent Developments — EchoStar Corporation

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jun 25, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Dean Manson resigned as Chief Legal Officer and Secretary effective June 26, 2026, after 26 years with EchoStar and Hughes Network Systems, and will remain as Senior Advisor during the transition. The filing indicates EVP of Government Affairs Jeffrey Blum will take on related responsibilities, thou

Generated 2026-07-07T19:32:30Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-890.4
Mkt Cap$29.4B
EV/EBITDA36.0
Profit Mgn-97.6%
ROE-112.3%
Rev Growth-5.2%
Beta1.00
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C1.28bearish
IV66%elevated
Max Pain$70-29.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierT-Mobile and AT&T network services
    10-K Item 1A: 'Through the MNSA and the NSA, we depend on T-Mobile and AT&T to provide network services to our Wireless subscribers.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-25Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Dean Manson resigned as Chief Legal Officer and Secretary effective June 26, 2026, after 26 years with EchoStar and Hughes Network Systems, and will remain as Senior Advisor during the transition. The filing indicates EVP of Government Affairs Jeffrey Blum will take on related responsibilities, though further detail was not captured in the retrieved text.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.2
Value Rank
2.0

Unprofitable operations — net margin -97.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.3
Current Ratio
1.2
Gross Margin
1.4
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
2.5
Operating Margin
3.6
Cash-burning: FCF -3% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Revenue shrinking — -5.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.2
Declining revenue: -5%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 25, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+10.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Volatile — 6.4% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Short Interest
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
News Risk
2.0
Implied Vol
2.4
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Days To Cover
3.7
Put Call
4.8
Beta
7.0
High short interest justified: 36%High IV: 66%Above max pain $70Multi-category risk: financial, regulatory
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5NEWS BANKRUPTCYExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
25 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $94.62Resistance $131.22

Price Targets

$92
$124
A.Upside+24.5%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)
! momentum at 1.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! NEWS:BANKRUPTCY

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ECHO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $99.25: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.4/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 36%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $92.41. Score 3.4/10, high confidence.

What is the ECHO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $123.53 (+24.3% upside). Prior stop was $92.41. Stop-loss: $92.41.

What are the risks of investing in ECHO?

Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0).

Is ECHO overvalued or undervalued?

EchoStar Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -890.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ECHO?

10 analysts cover ECHO with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $145.

What does EchoStar Corporation do?EchoStar Corporation is a holding company operating four segments — Pay-TV (DISH® and SLING® TV, 6.998 million...

EchoStar Corporation is a holding company operating four segments — Pay-TV (DISH® and SLING® TV, 6.998 million subscribers), Wireless (Boost Mobile® and Gen Mobile®, 7.511 million subscribers), Broadband and Satellite Services (739,000 subscribers), and Other — after transitioning to a Hybrid MNO model reliant on AT&T's network. In 2025, the company agreed to sell a material portion of its spectrum to AT&T for up to $22.65 billion and to SpaceX for up to $20 billion.

Related stocks: KYIV (Kyivstar Group Ltd.) · TEO (Telecom Argentina SA) · VEON (VEON Ltd.) · RCI (Rogers Communication, Inc.) · AD (Array Digital Infrastructure, I)
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Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga1d agoRISKBankruptcy
Benzinga6h agoAnalyst
Benzinga5d ago