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ECHOEchoStar CorporationSell5.6·$98.62
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

EchoStar looks cheap at a 5.8x forward P/E with 27.2% upside to the analyst target, but it is cash-burning (free cash flow at -129% of revenue), revenue is shrinking 4%, and the chart is in a confirmed downtrend with 22% short interest.

Thesis pillars

  • Cash Burn Weak Quality↑Improving
  • Declining Revenue Base↓Deteriorating
  • Cheap Forward Valuation Upside↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 2, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

EchoStar Corporation (ECHO) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5QualityShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. At $98.62, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

EchoStar Corporation is a holding company operating four segments — Pay-TV (DISH® and SLING® TV, 6.998 million subscribers), Wireless (Boost Mobile® and Gen Mobile®, 7.511 million subscribers), Broadband and Satellite Services (739,000 subscribers), and Other — after... Read more

$98.62+14.9% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#18 of 41 Telecom Services
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-7.91%
Stop $91.72Analyst target $113.27(−13% haircut)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst consensus$130.20+32.0%10 analysts with price targets
$113.27Analyst target
$98.62price
$130.20mean
$156

Sell if holding. At $98.62, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 116d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About EchoStar Corporation

About EchoStar Corporation

EchoStar Corporation operates four segments generating revenue from 6.998 million Pay-TV subscribers under the DISH and SLING brands, 7.511 million Wireless subscribers under Boost Mobile and Gen Mobile, and 739,000 Broadband subscribers, following a 2025 pivot away from its own 5G Network after the FCC determined the company's spectrum utilization was inconsistent with the public interest.

EchoStar's Pay-TV segment earns subscription revenue from DISH satellite television and SLING TV streaming services, competing against larger cable, satellite, and internet-based video providers; SLING subscribers generate lower average revenue per user than DISH TV subscribers, and continued mix shift toward SLING has weighed on blended Pay-TV ARPU. The Wireless segment sells nationwide service under the Boost Mobile and Gen Mobile brands and, following the AT&T Transactions, operates as a Hybrid MNO in which EchoStar runs its own network core and billing systems while AT&T supplies radio access network infrastructure and spectrum through December 2031, with two additional two-year extension options available. Broadband and Satellite Services provides consumer and enterprise satellite connectivity, including in-flight connectivity for commercial and business aviation, and depends on continuous utilization of EchoStar's available satellite capacity to generate revenue.

Show full overview

EchoStar's Wireless segment now runs on a two-counterparty network dependency: the 10-K states the company depends on T-Mobile and AT&T under the MNSA and NSA agreements to provide network services to its Wireless subscribers, and any system failure or termination of either agreement could materially harm results. This dependency deepened after the FCC's 2025 review forced EchoStar to abandon its own 5G Network buildout and sell spectrum to AT&T for up to $22.65 billion and to SpaceX for up to $20 billion, transactions that remain subject to FCC and Department of Justice approval and are not expected to close before the first half of 2026.

See also: Communication Services · Telecom Services

From EchoStar Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 4, 2026

Recent Developments — EchoStar Corporation

Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:49:09Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Mar 1, 2027116d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 78%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)3.6
P/E (Fwd)5.7
Mkt Cap$28.7B
EV/EBITDA12.2
Profit Mgn81.3%
ROE82.3%
Rev Growth-68.8%
Beta—
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.01bearish
IV76%elevated
Max Pain$60-39.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierT-Mobile and AT&T network services
    10-K Item 1A: 'Through the MNSA and the NSA, we depend on T-Mobile and AT&T to provide network services to our Wireless subscribers.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-25Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Dean Manson resigned as Chief Legal Officer and Secretary effective June 26, 2026, after 26 years with EchoStar and Hughes Network Systems, and will remain as Senior Advisor during the transition. The filing indicates EVP of Government Affairs Jeffrey Blum will take on related responsibilities, though further detail was not captured in the retrieved text.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.7
Support Resistance
1.9
52w Position
3.4
Gap
7.0
GatesA.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 116d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $82.73Resistance $102.46

Price Targets

$92
$113
A.Upside+14.9%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-03-01 (116d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ECHO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $98.62, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Prior stop was $91.72. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ECHO stock price target?

Analyst target: $113.27 (+14.9% upside). Prior stop was $91.72. Stop-loss: $91.72.

What are the risks of investing in ECHO?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Elevated risk factors.

Is ECHO overvalued or undervalued?

EchoStar Corporation trades at a P/E of 3.6 (forward 5.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ECHO?

14 analysts rate ECHO, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 10 analysts publish price targets averaging $130.

What does EchoStar Corporation do?EchoStar Corporation is a holding company operating four segments — Pay-TV (DISH® and SLING® TV, 6.998 million...

EchoStar Corporation is a holding company operating four segments — Pay-TV (DISH® and SLING® TV, 6.998 million subscribers), Wireless (Boost Mobile® and Gen Mobile®, 7.511 million subscribers), Broadband and Satellite Services (739,000 subscribers), and Other — after transitioning to a Hybrid MNO model reliant on AT&T's network. In 2025, the company agreed to sell a material portion of its spectrum to AT&T for up to $22.65 billion and to SpaceX for up to $20 billion.

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