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DRVNDriven Brands Holdings Inc.Sell5.7·$14.47+2.55%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Attractive valuation multiples — including a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 9 times and a PEG ratio below 1 — and a strong three-quarter earnings beat streak sit alongside a confirmed technical downtrend and material leverage, leaving the stock in an unresolved tension between fundamental value and price momentum that a thin risk/reward ratio captures precisely.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Earnings Beat PatternStable
  • Cheap Valuation Best In Class MarginsStable
  • Confirmed Downtrend Death CrossStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $14.47 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5.

Driven Brands, the largest automotive services company in North America by location count, operates 4,200+ locations in 49 U.S. states and Canada under brands including Take 5 Oil Change, Meineke, Maaco, CARSTAR, and AutoGlassNow. The company generated approximately $1.9 billion... Read more

$14.47+2.3% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#4 of 18 Auto & Truck Dealerships
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.83%
Stop $13.46Target $14.80(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$17.01+17.6%10 analysts
$14.80our TP
$14.47price
$17.01mean
$13
$22

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $14.47 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — Driven Brands Holdings Inc.

Generated 2026-07-06T07:01:40Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202627d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.8
P/E (Fwd)9.7
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA12.6
Profit Mgn9.7%
ROE19.8%
Rev Growth8.2%
Beta0.96
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.20bearish
IV94%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-21Item 2.02LOW
    Driven Brands released a press release on April 21, 2026 disclosing expected performance for Q4 2025, FY2025, and Q1 2026, and provided an update on the filing status of the FY2025 Form 10-K and its anticipated impact on the Q1 2026 Form 10-Q.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-21Item 3.01MEDIUM
    Driven Brands received a Nasdaq non-compliance notice on April 15, 2026 for failing to timely file its FY2025 Form 10-K (12b-25 late notice filed Feb 26, 2026). Notice has no immediate effect on listing or trading. Company intends to regain compliance.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-05Item 3.01MEDIUM
    Driven Brands received a second Nasdaq non-compliance notice on June 1, 2026 for failing to timely file its Q1 2026 Form 10-Q. Company has until July 31, 2026 to submit a compliance plan; Nasdaq may grant until November 25, 2026. No immediate effect on listing.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.4
Support Resistance
0.9
52w Position
4.7
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)8K FLAG 3.01,3.01Momentum 8.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.12Resistance $14.71

Price Targets

$13
$15
A.Upside+2.3%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.3% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DRVN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $14.47 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $13.46. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DRVN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.80 (+2.3% upside). Prior stop was $13.46. Stop-loss: $13.46.

What are the risks of investing in DRVN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5.

Is DRVN overvalued or undervalued?

Driven Brands Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.8 (forward 9.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DRVN?

17 analysts cover DRVN with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Driven Brands Holdings Inc. do?Driven Brands, the largest automotive services company in North America by location count, operates 4,200+ locations in...

Driven Brands, the largest automotive services company in North America by location count, operates 4,200+ locations in 49 U.S. states and Canada under brands including Take 5 Oil Change, Meineke, Maaco, CARSTAR, and AutoGlassNow. The company generated approximately $1.9 billion in net revenue from $6.1 billion in system-wide sales in fiscal 2025, with a mix of company-operated and franchised locations across oil change, collision repair, paint, glass, and parts distribution.

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