Attractive valuation multiples — including a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 9 times and a PEG ratio below 1 — and a strong three-quarter earnings beat streak sit alongside a confirmed technical downtrend and material leverage, leaving the stock in an unresolved tension between fundamental value and price momentum that a thin risk/reward ratio captures precisely.
Thesis pillars
- Strong Earnings Beat Pattern→Stable
- Cheap Valuation Best In Class Margins↑Improving
- Confirmed Downtrend Death Cross↓Deteriorating
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships
Sell if holding. At $13.61, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 8.7%.
Driven Brands, the largest automotive services company in North America by location count, operates 4,200+ locations in 49 U.S. states and Canada under brands including Take 5 Oil Change, Meineke, Maaco, CARSTAR, and AutoGlassNow. The company generated approximately $1.9 billion... Read more
Sell if holding. At $13.61, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 8.7%. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Passes 4/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-26Recent Developments — Driven Brands Holdings Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS RBC Capital Maintains Outperform on Driven Brands Hldgs, Lowers Price Target to $17 — benzinga Jun 12, 2026 positive
- NEWS BTIG Reiterates Buy on Driven Brands Hldgs, Maintains $17 Price Target — benzinga Jun 12, 2026 positive
- NEWS Crude Oil Edges Higher; Driven Brands Posts Upbeat Earnings — benzinga Jun 11, 2026 positive
- NEWS Driven Brands Hldgs Q1 2026 Earnings Call: Complete Transcript — benzinga Jun 11, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Driven Brands Hldgs Affirms FY2026 Adj EPS Guidance of $1.15-$1.25 vs $1.21 Est; Affirms FY2026 Sales Guidance of $1.950 — benzinga Jun 11, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-07-26T09:23:00Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-21Item 2.02LOWDriven Brands released a press release on April 21, 2026 disclosing expected performance for Q4 2025, FY2025, and Q1 2026, and provided an update on the filing status of the FY2025 Form 10-K and its anticipated impact on the Q1 2026 Form 10-Q.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-21Item 3.01MEDIUMDriven Brands received a Nasdaq non-compliance notice on April 15, 2026 for failing to timely file its FY2025 Form 10-K (12b-25 late notice filed Feb 26, 2026). Notice has no immediate effect on listing or trading. Company intends to regain compliance.SEC filing →
- 2026-06-05Item 3.01MEDIUMDriven Brands received a second Nasdaq non-compliance notice on June 1, 2026 for failing to timely file its Q1 2026 Form 10-Q. Company has until July 31, 2026 to submit a compliance plan; Nasdaq may grant until November 25, 2026. No immediate effect on listing.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $13.61, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 8.7%. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $13.05. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $14.80 (+8.7% upside). Prior stop was $13.05. Stop-loss: $13.05.
Thin upside margin: 8.7%; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Earnings in 4 days (event risk).
Driven Brands Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.8 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
17 analysts cover DRVN with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $17.
What does Driven Brands Holdings Inc. do?Driven Brands, the largest automotive services company in North America by location count, operates 4,200+ locations in...
Driven Brands, the largest automotive services company in North America by location count, operates 4,200+ locations in 49 U.S. states and Canada under brands including Take 5 Oil Change, Meineke, Maaco, CARSTAR, and AutoGlassNow. The company generated approximately $1.9 billion in net revenue from $6.1 billion in system-wide sales in fiscal 2025, with a mix of company-operated and franchised locations across oil change, collision repair, paint, glass, and parts distribution.