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DOOBRP Inc.Sell5.5·$57.72-1.69%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

BRP has delivered exceptional earnings performance over four consecutive quarters with an average beat exceeding 50% and strong 30% revenue growth, but high financial leverage, declining forward estimates, and a price that has reached the analyst target constrain the near-term setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Earnings DeliveryStable
  • Revenue Growth LeadershipStable
  • High Leverage Balance Sheet RiskStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

BRP Inc. (DOO) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $57.72 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.2): -1.5.

BRP Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells powersports vehicles and marine products in the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and internationally. It operate4s through two segments, Powersports and Marine. The... Read more

$57.72+1.7% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#4 of 10 Recreational Vehicles
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield21.19%
IncomeYield1.22%(5y avg 0.82%)Payout21.41%sustainable
Stop $54.99Target $58.86(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$69.25+20.0%4 analysts
$58.86our TP
$57.72price
$69.25mean
$73

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $57.72 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.2): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Aug 28, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.2): -1.5
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.6
P/E (Fwd)17.2
Mkt Cap$4.2B
EV/EBITDA5.8
Profit Mgn3.0%
ROE52.3%
Rev Growth29.5%
Beta1.02
Dividend1.22%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.22bearish
IV59%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume
4.7
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $56.69Resistance $63.37

Price Targets

$55
$59
A.Upside+2.0%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.7% upside)
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-28 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DOO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $57.72 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.2): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $54.99. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DOO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $58.86 (+1.7% upside). Prior stop was $54.99. Stop-loss: $54.99.

What are the risks of investing in DOO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.2): -1.5; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is DOO overvalued or undervalued?

BRP Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.6 (forward 17.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DOO?

23 analysts cover DOO with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $69.

What does BRP Inc. do?BRP Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells powersports vehicles and marine...

BRP Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells powersports vehicles and marine products in the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and internationally. It operate4s through two segments, Powersports and Marine. The Powersports segment offers year-round products, such as all-terrain vehicles, side-by-side vehicles, and three-wheeled and two vehicles; seasonal products, including snowmobiles, personal watercraft, and pontoons; and OEM engines, which includes parts, accessories and apparel (PA&A), engines for karts, recreational aircraft and jet boats, and other services. The Marine segment includes boats, pontoons, related PA&A, and other services. It offers its products under SKI-DOO, LYNX, CAN-AM, SEA-DOO, QUINTREX, ROTAX brands. The company was formerly known as J.A. Bombardier (J.A.B.) Inc. and changed its name to BRP Inc. in April 2013. BRP Inc. was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Valcourt, Canada.

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