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DOOBRP Inc.Sell5.3·$64.51-0.43%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

BRP has delivered exceptional earnings performance over four consecutive quarters with an average beat exceeding 50% and strong 30% revenue growth, but high financial leverage, declining forward estimates, and a price that has reached the analyst target constrain the near-term setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Earnings DeliveryStable
  • Revenue Growth LeadershipStable
  • High Leverage Balance Sheet RiskDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

BRP Inc. (DOO) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $64.51 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.2): -1.5.

BRP Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells powersports vehicles and marine products in the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and internationally. It operate4s through two segments, Powersports and Marine. The... Read more

$64.51-6.3% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#4 of 10 Recreational Vehicles
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield19.00%
IncomeYield1.09%(5y avg 0.82%)Payout21.41%sustainable
Stop $60.61Target $74.19(default +15%)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$71.14+10.3%4 analysts
$74.19our TP
$64.51price
$71.14mean
$75

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $64.51 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.2): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Aug 28, 202612d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.2): -1.5
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.4
P/E (Fwd)18.3
Mkt Cap$4.7B
EV/EBITDA6.3
Profit Mgn3.0%
ROE52.3%
Rev Growth29.5%
Beta1.03
Dividend1.09%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C4.13bearish
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$40-38.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.7
Support Resistance
2.7
52w Position
5.8
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $58.88Resistance $66.64

Price Targets

$61
$74
A.Upside-6.3%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-28 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DOO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $64.51 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.2): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Prior stop was $60.61. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

What is the DOO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $74.19 (-6.3% upside). Prior stop was $60.61. Stop-loss: $60.61.

What are the risks of investing in DOO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.2): -1.5; Elevated risk factors.

Is DOO overvalued or undervalued?

BRP Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.4 (forward 18.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DOO?

22 analysts cover DOO with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $71.

What does BRP Inc. do?BRP Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells powersports vehicles and marine...

BRP Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells powersports vehicles and marine products in the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and internationally. It operate4s through two segments, Powersports and Marine. The Powersports segment offers year-round products, such as all-terrain vehicles, side-by-side vehicles, and three-wheeled and two vehicles; seasonal products, including snowmobiles, personal watercraft, and pontoons; and OEM engines, which includes parts, accessories and apparel (PA&A), engines for karts, recreational aircraft and jet boats, and other services. The Marine segment includes boats, pontoons, related PA&A, and other services. It offers its products under SKI-DOO, LYNX, CAN-AM, SEA-DOO, QUINTREX, ROTAX brands. The company was formerly known as J.A. Bombardier (J.A.B.) Inc. and changed its name to BRP Inc. in April 2013. BRP Inc. was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Valcourt, Canada.

Related stocks: BC (Brunswick Corporation) · MCFT (MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.) · LCII (LCI Industries) · PATK (Patrick Industries, Inc.) · PII (Polaris Inc.)
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