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DMLPDorchester Minerals, L.P.Hold7.5·$28.00+2.04%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Dorchester Minerals combines best-in-class quality metrics — a perfect 9/9 financial health score, 41% margins, and free cash flow running at 141% of net income — with 36% year-over-year revenue growth at a PEG of 0.30; the near-term setup requires patience as price momentum consolidates, and a put/call ratio of 4.33 along with a yield trap warning warrant monitoring before committing to a full position.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Quality MetricsStable
  • Strong Growth Attractive Absolute ValuationStable
  • Momentum Pullback Above 200day MaImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. (DMLP) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Near 52-week high (4.0% away); Overbought (RSI 95).

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. is a Delaware limited partnership that owns mineral, royalty, overriding royalty, and net profits interests across 594 counties and parishes in 28 states, plus a Net Profits Interest paying 96.97% of net profits from Operating Partnership working... Read more

$28.00+8.2% A.UpsideScore 7.5/10#3 of 48 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.98%
IncomeYield9.26%(5y avg 10.70%)Payout200.84%at-risk
Entry $25.32(support + ATR)Stop $24.46Target $27.39(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Near 52-week high (4.0% away); Overbought (RSI 95). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $27.79 has reached target $27.39. No upside to wait for. Score 7.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong overall score: 7.5/10
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Near 52-week high (4.0% away)
Overbought (RSI 95)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.7
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA9.4
Profit Mgn40.9%
ROE21.5%
Rev Growth36.4%
Beta0.52
Dividend9.26%
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.40bullish
IV67%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerExxon Mobil and Chevron (combined operators)25%
    10-K Item 1: 'Royalty revenues from properties operated by Exxon Mobil Corporation and its subsidiaries and Chevron Corporation and its subsidiaries, together, represented approximately 25% of total operating revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicBakken and Permian Basin
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of the properties subject to the NPI are properties located in the Bakken region and Permian Basin.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Dividend Safety
2.2
Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
Low model confidence on this dimension (25%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.6
Bollinger
1.3
52w Position
9.2
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 8.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
95 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.10Resistance $27.95

Price Targets

$24
$25
$27
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.1%
Max %2.1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts0
Consensus
Avg Target

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for DMLP.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DMLP stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Near 52-week high (4.0% away); Overbought (RSI 95). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $27.79 has reached target $27.39. No upside to wait for. Target $27.39 (-2.2%), stop $24.46 (−14.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 7.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DMLP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.39 (+8.2% upside). Target $27.39 (-2.2%), stop $24.46 (−14.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $24.46.

What are the risks of investing in DMLP?

Near 52-week high (4.0% away); Overbought (RSI 95).

Is DMLP overvalued or undervalued?

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. trades at a P/E of 19.7 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

0
What does Dorchester Minerals, L.P. do?Dorchester Minerals, L.P. is a Delaware limited partnership that owns mineral, royalty, overriding royalty, and net...

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. is a Delaware limited partnership that owns mineral, royalty, overriding royalty, and net profits interests across 594 counties and parishes in 28 states, plus a Net Profits Interest paying 96.97% of net profits from Operating Partnership working interests. Royalty revenues from Exxon Mobil- and Chevron-operated properties together represented approximately 25% of 2025 total operating revenues, and a significant portion of NPI properties are concentrated in the Bakken and Permian Basin.

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