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DMLPDorchester Minerals, L.P.Buy Wait7.7·$27.71+0.43%
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Dorchester Minerals combines best-in-class quality metrics — a perfect 9/9 financial health score, 41% margins, and free cash flow running at 141% of net income — with 36% year-over-year revenue growth at a PEG of 0.30; the near-term setup requires patience as price momentum consolidates, and a put/call ratio of 4.33 along with a yield trap warning warrant monitoring before committing to a full position.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Quality MetricsImproving
  • Strong Growth Attractive Absolute ValuationStable
  • Momentum Pullback Above 200day MaImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. (DMLP) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Wait for pullback to $27.18. BUY gates pass at $27.71, but near 52-week high (4.3% away) argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $27.18 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. is a Delaware limited partnership that owns mineral, royalty, overriding royalty, and net profits interests across 594 counties and parishes in 28 states, plus a Net Profits Interest paying 96.97% of net profits from Operating Partnership working... Read more

$27.71+17.6% A.UpsideScore 7.7/10#1 of 48 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield9.17%
IncomeYield11.64%(5y avg 10.70%)Payout145.19%at-risk
Entry $27.18(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $25.98Target $31.87(default +15%)A.R:R 0.0:1

Wait for pullback to $27.18. BUY gates pass at $27.71, but near 52-week high (4.3% away) argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $27.18 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Score 7.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong overall score: 7.7/10
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Near 52-week high (4.3% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.7
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA8.1
Profit Mgn45.3%
ROE28.0%
Rev Growth73.1%
Beta
Dividend11.64%
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.39bullish
IV59%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerExxon Mobil and Chevron (combined operators)25%
    10-K Item 1: 'Royalty revenues from properties operated by Exxon Mobil Corporation and its subsidiaries and Chevron Corporation and its subsidiaries, together, represented approximately 25% of total operating revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicBakken and Permian Basin
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of the properties subject to the NPI are properties located in the Bakken region and Permian Basin.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·3 ceiling hits

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Dividend Safety
3.5
Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
Low model confidence on this dimension (25%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.2
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
72 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.34Resistance $28.03

Price Targets

$26
$27
$32
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.1%
Max %2.3%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts0
Consensus
Avg Target

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for DMLP.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DMLP stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $27.18. BUY gates pass at $27.71, but near 52-week high (4.3% away) argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $27.18 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Target $31.87 (+15.0%), stop $25.98 (−6.7%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 7.7/10, high confidence.

What is the DMLP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $31.87 (+17.6% upside). Target $31.87 (+15.0%), stop $25.98 (−6.7%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $25.98.

What are the risks of investing in DMLP?

Near 52-week high (4.3% away).

Is DMLP overvalued or undervalued?

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. trades at a P/E of 15.7 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

0
What does Dorchester Minerals, L.P. do?Dorchester Minerals, L.P. is a Delaware limited partnership that owns mineral, royalty, overriding royalty, and net...

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. is a Delaware limited partnership that owns mineral, royalty, overriding royalty, and net profits interests across 594 counties and parishes in 28 states, plus a Net Profits Interest paying 96.97% of net profits from Operating Partnership working interests. Royalty revenues from Exxon Mobil- and Chevron-operated properties together represented approximately 25% of 2025 total operating revenues, and a significant portion of NPI properties are concentrated in the Bakken and Permian Basin.

Related stocks: SM (SM Energy Company) · MGY (Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation) · REPX (Riley Exploration Permian, Inc.) · CHRD (Chord Energy Corporation) · SD (SandRidge Energy, Inc.)
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